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FARMCOLLIE Archives

July 2005

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Subject:
Re: CEA and farm collies/probability
From:
Annie Prokop <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Farm Collie Breed Conservancy and Restoration <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 1 Jul 2005 06:29:36 -0700
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (16 lines)
Your right Rini- laws of chance and probability.

Rini <[log in to unmask]> wrote:> that of the resulting pups, half of them will be
> carriers as well.

This has been a good discussion, and I'm learning all the time (and
could use to, says my teenager ).
Actually, the incidence of a trait showing up in 50% of the pups works
out if there are thousands of pups...most litters are smaller. With a small
sample size litter of 3 to10, the probability of a pup being a carrier is a
coin flip and not much effected by percentages. All could have it, or maybe
none have it. You can easily get five heads in a row with that coin...

Rini
"They say I have ADD but they just don't under... HEY, A CHICKEN!"

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