On Wed, 8 Mar 2006 10:27:17 -0700, Marc Chrusch <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

>Ben wrote:
>>I think you're wise to include the detail for many reasons (credibility
>>and the interest of others on the list as the top two..) I wouldn't have
>>you remove them.
>>
>>Maybe when you're done the email, scan through and write a quick summary
>>paragraph - 2-3 English sentences with what we might expect over the
>>next couple days, and maybe a quick blurb about long-range changes if
>>there's something significant.
>
>What he said. And put that
>plain-english-without-weather-geek-terminology executive summary as
>the first item in the post.
>

Will do.  But Marc, what do you care about New England weather?

SUMMARY:
Cool air slowly eroding with light mixed precip tomorrow afternoon/night
changing to rain episodes every few days over the next week.  Temps will be
mild to well above normal by Monday.  Weekend looks ok right now with
weather causing spring conditions of firm in the morning and soft in the
afternoon.  Pattern becomes colder with at least a shot of mountain snow
later next week.

FORECAST:    

Tomorrow, light mixed precipitation breaks out from southwest to
northeast...starting down arould Albany in the morning and reaching northern
VT during the afternoon.  Onset of precip may be sleet/freezing rain
changing to rain in the Champlain Valley westward.  Light freezing rain
continues in the Green Mountains of northern VT.  Little ice accretion
possible.  Winds start off light but become strong by afternoon out of the SW.

Temps slowly rise on Thursday night and by Friday afternoon, any breaks in
cloud cover will send temps soaring.  40's in the mountains and low 50's in
the larger valleys on Friday.  Cold front moves through Friday evening with
some rain showers changing to snow showers across the higher terrain with
minimal accumulations.  

Saturday could be gorgeous with mountain temps in the 30's and valleys in
the 40's.  Need the sun to come out to soften things up as it might be firm
in the morning. Light winds.

Sunday, temps start out below freezing from Saturday night and warm into the
upper 30's and low 40's during the day on a light to breezy SW wind.  Some
rain showers are likely late in the day and overnight.  

Monday is downright hot with temps in the 50's to possibly 60's in the
Champlain Valley.  Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon with
cold front to bring an end to the well above normal temps.

Midweek looks mild and active with a good chance of another rain or snow event.

DISCUSSION:
Western trough and eastern ridge will bring a series of low pressure systems
 up the Ohio Valley and through the Great Lakes region.  Warm front will
lift north of the region tomorrow bringing bouts of light precip tomorrow
evening and overnight with WAA.  Mtn valleys will hold cold air at the
surface so warming aloft will create a brief period of sleet followed by
light freezing rain east of the Green Mountain spine.  Areas in NH and ME
could see some accumulating snow and sleet before freezing rain.  Sugarloaf
looks to see 2-4" of snow and sleet as deeper cold air holds tough.  SWly
low level jet increases from 20kts to nearly 60kts tomorrow afternoon per
5km ETA...especially along western slopes of the Green Mountains.  Summits
look real windy gusts over 50mph and possibly mixing down to lower
elevations.  Any lifts affected by a SW wind will likely go on hold tomorrow
afternoon.  Moist, warm air advection brings in PWATS in excess of 1" which
is the most moisture our air has held since the last thaw.  Cold front
should swing through on Friday afternoon with some heavier
showers...transitioning to snow showers across the Adirondacks and then
northern and central Greens...then the White Mountains.  Slight upslope
moisture flow and cold air advection could bring up to 2" across the 'Dacks
and northern Greens on Friday night as 850's and 2m temps per 12z GFS go
back below 0C by Saturday morning.  High pressure builds in for the weekend
but rapid Pacific Flow moves squashes that SEward very quickly.  Northeast
gets into warm SW return flow and another system brings warmth and rain late
on Sunday with very warm temps on Monday.  Monday between 6am-noon...GFS has
5,000ft temps in the low 50's!  Mixing down to the valley's, temps on Monday
may exceed 60, especially in the Champlain Valley.

        
    

 

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html