Expires:202207062000;;769763
FPUS51 KBTV 060710
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
306 AM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022
VTZ018-062000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
306 AM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022
.TODAY...Patchy fog this morning. Cloudy with a slight chance of
showers and drizzle this morning, then partly sunny this
afternoon. Highs around 70. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance
of rain 20 percent.
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and
variable winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Highs in the mid 60s. Lows
in the upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
$$
Expires:202207061100;;778965
ASUS41 KBTV 061030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2022
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-061100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 63 61 93 NW16 29.79R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 65 60 84 W10 29.81R
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 63 60 90 N13G20 29.78R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 64 62 93 MISG 29.71R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 63 61 94 SW5 29.76S
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 64 64 100 N7 29.77R FOG
RUTLAND* LGT RAIN 64 64 100 N7 29.79R
SPRINGFIELD LGT RAIN 66 65 96 CALM 29.73R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 61 60 96 N10 29.80R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 61 59 91 NW8 29.77R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 69 66 90 W6 29.78R
ISLAND POND* N/A 63 N/A N/A W8 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 61 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 55 N/A N/A NW32 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 57 54 88 N24 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;771622
FXUS61 KBTV 060754
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
354 AM EDT Wed Jul 6 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
The combination of building surface high pressure and dry air aloft
will help to erode clouds across our region this morning with mostly
sunny skies anticipated by afternoon. Temperatures will warm into
the 70s with comfortable humidity values, while cooling into the mid
40s to mid 50s tonight. Our next weak system approaches on Thursday
night into Friday with just a slight chance of precipitation, before
another beautiful weekend is on tap with warm days and cool nights.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Wednesday...Fcst challenge is timing of clearing
today, followed by temps into Thurs. Water vapor shows deep
subsidence directly acrs our cwa this morning behind departing
s/w energy and sfc low pres that brought 0.25 to 0.50" of precip
to our region yesterday. This dry air aloft wl help to erode
low stratus clouds/drizzle from nw to se acrs our cwa today,
with first spots to clr being the SLV and western CPV and lower
CT River Valley. Upslope regions of the dacks and greens wl be
last to clr and wl see some patchy drizzle/br thru 15z,
especially above 1500 ft. Downslope northwest winds wl help in
the clearing process in these areas. Speaking of winds, expect
some localized gusts in the 15 to 20 mph range this morning,
especially CPV from FSO to BTV to RUT. Progged 925mb temps
change little behind departing low pres, with values in the
17-19C range, but with more sun this aftn expect highs mid 70s
to near 80F in the urban heat island of the CPV.
Tonight...1020mb sfc high pres noses into northern NY from
central Canada, with light northerly flow prevailing. Still some
uncertainty on potential clouds at 4000 feet and additional
layer above 15000 feet associated with convective debris blow
off. However, soundings show mostly clr skies for part of the
overnight hours, so have kept temps close to previous fcst from
near 40F NEK/SLK to l/m 50s in the CPV. Did mention with clear
skies, light winds, and recent rainfall some patchy valley fog
in deeper protected valleys of the dacks and greens of VT.
Thursday wl feature some fair wx cumulus clouds developing over
the trrn associated with sfc heating/bl moisture and weak
instability, but otherwise another beautiful North Country
Chamber of Commerce type day with comfortable temps/humidity
values. Progged 925mb temps climb a degree or two with values in
the 18-20C range, supporting mid 70s to lower 80s. A few spot
83-84F degree readings are possible in the BTV area, if slightly
better mixing can occur.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 352 AM EDT Wednesday...Main change for this period has been to
pull back on precipitation chances as the 00z model suite, including
ensemble guidance, has trended drier than previously forecasted.
We'll remain between two systems, an upper trough centered well to
our north and a weak low pressure skirting off to our south. A weak
cold front will cross the region during the day Friday, but with its
parent low so far removed, forcing is not impressive. Have therefore
gone with mainly 30-50% chances of precipitation as any showers
would likely remain light and scattered in nature. Indeed, total
rainfall amounts are expected to remain less than a tenth of an
inch, with the bulk of the activity occurring during the daylight
hours Friday. Temperatures Thursday night and Friday will be close
to normal with overnight lows in the 50s to around 60 and daytime
highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Friday night will be a little
cooler after the frontal passage; great sleeping weather with
temperatures dipping into the mid 40s to mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Wednesday...It's looking like we'll have beautiful
weather for next weekend into early next week as a large Canadian
high will settle over the region. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will
be a good 5-10 degrees below normal, but with ample sunshine and
light winds, it'll still be very pleasant. Highs will be in the 70s
to near 80 both days. The high starts to move to our east on Monday,
resulting in increasing west/southwest flow which will warm
temperatures back up into the upper 70s to mid 80s. The next chance
for precipitation arrives on Tuesday with a cold frontal passage
with showers and possible thunderstorms.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Very challenging aviation fcst with
regards to changing conditions at our taf sites and categories
ranging from VFR to LIFR crntly. Highest confidence of IFR/LIFR
conditions for the next 6 hours will be at SLK/MPV and BTV,
while IFR CIGS/VIS wl develop at RUT by 08z associated with
northerly flow behind sfc cold frnt. PBG with developing
north/northwest flow wl experience mainly MVFR with intervals of
IFR cigs possible, while mainly a combination of IFR cigs/vis
prevails at Newport thru 12z. MSS will see improving conditions
btwn 08z-10z as drier air and cigs lift toward mvfr/vfr by
sunrise. Thinking any restrictions to vis due to fog/br should
improve overnight as north winds develop at 5 to 10 knots and
mixing improves behind cold frnt. Winds continue to increase aft
sunrise at 5 to 15 knots with localized higher gusts, as
conditions improve from IFR to VFR at most sites by 15z.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Hastings
LONG TERM...Hastings
AVIATION...Taber
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