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March 2001, Week 2

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Subject:
From:
Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 11 Mar 2001 06:50:04 -0500
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433
FPUS51 KBTV 110832
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

VTZ001-NYZ028-035-112100-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-NORTHEAST CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...SOUTH HERO...TICONDEROGA
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING.  SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID
30S.  SOUTHWEST WIND AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 10 TO 15.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  CHANCE OF SNOW 40
PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW IN
THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ002-005-009-112100-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...ST. ALBANS
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING.  SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID
30S.  SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
EXCEPT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS WHERE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TOWARD MORNING.  LOW 10 TO 15.  NORTHWEST
WIND 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.  CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW IN
THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-112100-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING.  SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID
30S.  SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL
INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.  BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TOWARD
MORNING.  LOW 5 TO 10 ABOVE.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  CHANCE OF SNOW 60
PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW 20
TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 20 TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ011-012-112100-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING.  SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S.  SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.  LOW 10 TO 15.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH
THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  CHANCE OF SNOW
40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW IN
THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

NYZ026-027-112100-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY.  SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1
TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID 30S.  SOUTHWEST
WIND 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR.  LOW 10 TO 15.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH
EARLY...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.  CHANCE OF
SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW 20
TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 20 TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-112100-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHWEST CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE
332 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY.  SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1
TO 2 INCHES BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR.  AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.  LOW 5 TO 10
ABOVE.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH EARLY...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.  CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIPITATION AFTER MIDNIGHT.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.TUESDAY...MIXED PRECIPITATION LIKELY EARLY...THEN CHANGING TO
RAIN.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW 20
TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 20 TO 25 AND HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH AROUND 40.

$$








   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]

Texas Emergency Information:   [2]HERE   Emergency Managers go:   [3]HERE

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 110719
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
219 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

SATELLITE TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW MORE EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUDS
APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST.  THESE CLOUDS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AT
THE MOMENT.  WELL DEFINED ISENTROPIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY SIGNAL
SHOWS UP AT BOTH 500-300MB AND 400-200MB IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  THIS SUGGESTS DYNAMIC SUPPORT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS THE DAY
WEARS ON AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW.  UPSTREAM SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND BUFCAN RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AREA
OF SNOW APPROACHING THE REGION.  WILL MENTION SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS VERMONT.
WILL ALSO GO WITH CATEGORICAL POPS FOR THIS EVENT.  LIKE THE IDEA
FROM THE DAY SHIFT OF GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THIS
EVENT AS QPF AMOUNTS STILL LOOK TO BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH HAS JUST MOVED
INTO WESTERN MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING.  COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE
INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE IN THE DAY AND ACROSS VERMONT TONIGHT
AND ALSO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ENHANCED SNOWFALL POTENTIAL.  MAX
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY/S READINGS BASED ON LOW
LEVEL THICKNESS TRENDS.  THIS PUTS MOST AREAS IN THE 30S TODAY.

LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE THE RULE DURING THE EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT THEN CLEARING TO EVENTUALLY TAKE PLACE LATE.  NORTHWEST
UPSLOPE FLOW COMPOSITE SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR UPSLOPE
ENHANCED PRECIPITATION TONIGHT ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.  NORTHWEST LOW LEVEL WINDS
INCREASE EARLY TONIGHT AND COMBINED WITH DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES
FROM THE SURFACE TO 850 MB AND LINGERING 850 MB MIXING RATIOS...
SUGGEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE
GREEN MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING.  WILL MENTION THE POTENTIAL FOR
ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW IN THIS AREA.  BUFKIT SHOWS THE UPSLOPE
COMPONENT QUITE NICELY WITH LOW LEVEL OMEGA ON THE KBTV SOUNDING DUE
TO THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND NORTHWEST WINDS WHILE NO OMEGA SHOWS
UP ON THE KPLB SOUNDING WHERE NORTHWEST WINDS AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
EXIST.  BECAUSE OF THIS...WILL NEED TO SPLIT THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
APART.  ONLY OTHER AREA WHERE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT
WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST VERMONT...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF ORLEANS...LAMOILLE...AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

ON MONDAY...SURFACE HIGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
AND SUBSTANTIAL DRYING TAKES PLACE BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER
TROUGH.  THUS PLENTY OF SUNSHINE SHOULD EXIST WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

IN THE EXTENDED...GOING FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN REAL GOOD SHAPE WITH
A VARIETY OF WEATHER ANTICIPATED LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO SYSTEMS
TRYING TO PHASE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY ON
MONDAY/TUESDAY.  CLOUDS SHOULD BE ON THE INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT AND
THE THREAT OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.  GOING FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED WELL.  DEEP AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP THAT WILL HELP CHANGE ANY MIXED
PRECIPITATION OVER TUESDAY MORNING TO JUST STRAIGHT RAIN.  GOING
FORECAST ALSO HAS THIS COVERED WELL...BUT WILL UP THE POPS TO THE
LIKELY CATEGORY FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.  WARMER AIR MOVES IN
AND MOST AREAS SHOULD REACH INTO THE LOWER 40S.  THE WARMER AIR
COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE LARGE SNOWPACK
OVER THE REGION AND WILL OBVIOUSLY HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE
AMOUNT OF SNOW THAT MAY MELT FROM THIS SYSTEM.  PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EVENTUALLY MOVES
INTO NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. AS THE SYSTEM
PASSES TO OUR EAST/NORTHEAST...ANY RAIN SHOULD CHANGE BACK TO SNOW
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  CURRENT FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED WELL
AND SEE NO REASON TO MAKE ANY CHANGES FOR THE WEDNESDAY TIME PERIOD.
THE SAME HOLDS TRUE FOR THURSDAY AS WE SHOULD BE ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THIS SYSTEM AND THERE MAY STILL BE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
COLDER AIR FILTERS BACK INTO THE REGION. REST OF EXTENDED REMAINS
UNCHANGED AT THIS TIME.

WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 230 AM

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 110153
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
850 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2001

LEFTOVER STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS SLOW TO DISSOLVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES TO CONTINUE IN NORTHEASTERN VERMONT AND THE ADIRONDACKS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN CLEARING WILL ENSUE.  THE ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY HAS BEEN CLEAR ALL EVENING...BUT WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
THE TEMPERATURES HAVE STAYED UP AROUND 30F.  THE SAME IS TRUE IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND IN SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...WHERE CLEARING IS
JUST BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD MOST LOCATIONS.  WILL MASSAGE CLOUD
WORDING A BIT IN ZONES.

LOOKING UPSTREAM UNDER THE SURFACE RIDGE HEADING THIS WAY...DEW
POINT TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 15-20F RANGE.  WITH THIS AIR ADVECTING
OVER OUR REGION TONIGHT...HAVE RAISED THE FORECAST MIN TEMPERATURES
ABOUT 5F FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.  18 UTC ETA FOLLOWS PREVIOUS MODEL
RUNS FOR TOMORROW'S PRECIP AND COLD FRONT...NO UPDATES TO OTHER
PERIODS EXCEPT TO TREND CLOUD WORDING FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 102045
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2001

SFC/UPR RIDGE OF HIGH PRESS STARTS TO BUILD ACRS THE FA TONITE FROM
THE WEST...AS A CF DROPS DOWN ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION. THIS CF TO
SWEEP ACRS THE FA BY LATER ON SUN...AS ANOTHER AREA OF HI PRESS
BUILDS ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION. THIS HI TO BUILD ACRS THE FA FROM
THE WEST ON SUN NITE/MON. S/W TO MOVE UP THE OH RIVER VLY AND INTO
THE GREAT LKS REGION ON MON AS WELL. 12Z MODELS DON/T APPEAR TO BE
DEEP ENUFF WITH THE STORM SYS LOCATED ACRS ONT AT 18Z TODAY.

H85 WAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE...THEN CAA (STRENGTHENING
WITH TIME) ON SUN/SUN NITE. NEUTRAL ADVECTION FOR EARLY MON...THEN
MORE WAA BY LATER ON MON. ANY LOW-LVL MOISTURE LINGERING ACRS THE FA
ATTM TO DRY UP TONITE...THEN PLENTY OF LOW-LVL (AND MID-LVL) MOISTURE
TO MOVE IN ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST ON SUN. LOW-LVL MOISTURE
ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA EARLY ON SUN (BEST MOSTLY TO THE
SOUTH OF THE FA THOUGH). LOW-LVL (AND MID-LVL) MOISTURE TO LINGER
ACRS THE FA EARLY ON SUN NITE. DRY LOW AND MID-LVLS FOR MON. GOOD
LOW-LVL MOISTURE ADVECTION TO START TO TAKE PLACE ACRS NRN NY
STATE/SRN VT BY LATER ON MON. LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES TO BE HI LATER ON
SUN. PW VALUES WITH CF STILL APPEAR TO BE AROUND 0.5".

ANY CLDS ACRS THE FA SHOULD BE DISSIPATING EARLY...WITH MORE CLDS ON
THE WAY FOR NRN NY STATE LATE TONITE. PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE
IN GOOD SHAPE WITH LIKELY POPS FOR MON. SN AMTS SHOULD END UP BEING
JUST UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE HIR TRRN BY EARLY SUN NITE. -SHSN
SHOULD LINGER INTO EARLY ON SUN NITE BEFORE THINGS START TO CLEAR
OUT. MON LOOKS LIKE A NICE DAY TO MELT SOME THAT ABUNDANT SNOWCOVER
OUTSIDE.

NGM/AVN MOS NUMBERS MODIFIED SLIGHTLY IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD USING
T1MIN/T1MAX TEMPS.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...THINGS LOOK CONFUSED. 00Z MRF RUN LOOKS
SUSPICIOUSLY BOGUS TO ME SO HAVE LEANED MORE ON EUROPEAN MODELS.
ANYWAY...STORMS TO MOVE TO THE WEST AND SE OF THE FA ON TUE/WED. CHC
OF RAIN OR MIXED PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE ON TAP FOR THESE SYSTEMS.
CF TO CROSS THE AREA ON THU (CHC OF SNSN). WK HI PRESS LOOKS TO BE ON
TAP FOR FRI/SAT...HENCE DRY FORECAST FOR THEN FOR NOW.

WORK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP ASAP.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://emwin.hcad.org/
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

366
ASUS51 KBTV 111105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN MAR 11 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-111200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    25  19  78 S12       29.84S WCI   7
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    14  11  87 CALM      29.85S
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    10   7  87 CALM      29.83S
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       19  17  92 CALM      29.82F
RUTLAND        PTCLDY    21  16  79 S5        29.87R WCI  21
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     16  14  92 CALM      29.88R
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    15  14  95 CALM      29.90S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      11:00PM, Saturday March 10, 2001
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Nicholas Savoie
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: Becoming mostly clear, which will allow temperatures to fall.
   We can expect lows in the teens. Winds will be lighter than what they
   were today at 5 mph out of the west.

   Sunday: Early sunshine will give away to increasing clouds with light
   snow developing around noon. Two inches or less of snow accumulation
   are possible with this storm system. There could be some higher
   amounts on the mountaintops. Highs will be in the mid 30's. Winds will
   be out of south around 10 mph.

   Sundy Night: The light snow will be ending by midnight. Becoming
   partly cloudy late with temperatures in the single digits. Winds will
   be out of the northwest at 10 mph, which will create wind chills of
   -10.

   Monday: Partly sunny skies all day with temperatures in the 30's. A
   perfect day to go skiing!

                             Extended Forecast

   Tuesday: Looks like we are back to the ugly weather. We will
   experience snow changing to rain. Highs will climb into the lower 40's
   with the help of a southerly flow. Lows will be in the upper 20's.

   Wednesday: The wet weather will hang on for one more day. It will be a
   damp day with light rain showers and drizzle. We could have some foggy
   areas as well, especial at night. Highs once again will be in the
   lower 40's with lows in the mid 30's.

   Thursday: Any rain showers left over will change to snow with no
   accumulations expected. Highs will be in the 30's and lows will be in
   the teens.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Last nights storm didn't leave us with much snow. We received a trace
   to up to 3.5 inches of snow in West Danville. That seems to be the
   highest amount around this area that was reported to the National
   Weather Service. Now our weather looks to be interesting. We have a
   weak system of low pressure moving through the area Sunday afternoon
   and evening. The next big storm looks to be on Tuesday. However, this
   storm looks like it will bring mostly rain as the storm goes north of
   us, which will allow warmer air to our south to move into our area.
   This storm system will last right into Wednesday, as it will take its
   time to pass by. So get out and enjoy the sunshine on Monday.

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