Expires:201609052000;;964177
FPUS51 KBTV 050728
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
326 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016


VTZ006-052000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
326 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LOWS AROUND 60. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. 

$$


Expires:201609051100;;971323
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON SEP 05 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    59  54  83 CALM      30.27S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       52  51  97 CALM      30.33F VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       52  51  97 CALM      30.32S VSB 1/2          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     54  53  97 MISG      30.29F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   RAIN      51  50  98 NE3       30.32F VSB<1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     54  54 100 CALM      30.27S FOG              
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     55  51  86 SE14      30.29R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    49  47  93 CALM      30.31R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      56  56  99 CALM      30.28S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      52  51  99 CALM      30.31S                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    51  48  89 CALM      30.29R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A N13         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  59  82 SE6         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  61  88 SE7         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  59  94 SE2         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;967181
FXUS61 KBTV 050836
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
436 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will remain over
the north country through Wednesday, with fair and dry weather
expected. A change in the current dry weather pattern will occur
on Thursday with increasing chances for showers from Thursday
through Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 400 AM EDT Monday...The ridge of high pressure at the
surface and aloft will remain over the north country through
tonight, with fair and dry weather expected. Any valley fog across
eastern and northeast Vermont, as well as in the sheltered valleys
of the Adirondacks will burn off by mid morning. A mostly sunny
day is expected across the region today. There could be some high
thin cirrus clouds at times over the region today and tonight from
the remnants of post-tropical cyclone Hermine. Highs today will be
mainly in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Tonight, expecting mainly clear skies across the region tonight.
Expecting some more valley fog to form after midnight tonight
across the sheltered valleys of eastern and northeast Vermont, as
well as the sheltered valleys of the Adirondacks. Lows tonight
will be mainly in the 50s, with some 40s over The Adirondacks and
northeast Vermont.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 428 AM EDT Monday...Main challenge is what will be the
impacts of post-tropical cyclone Hermine on our weather for Tue-
Wed. Right now continuing with a mainly dry forecast though with
some clouds in eastern VT with onshore flow but confidence in
exactly how it plays out is not high. Looks like the low-level
moisture that advects north and west will at least bring scattered
cumulus clouds but at worst could be broken to overcast
stratocumulus or stratus by late Tue and Tue night with a sprinkle
in far SE VT with blocked upslope flow but PoPs only about 20%
near KVSF.

The cyclone has all but stalled out and even some westward movement
noted in satellite imagery early this morning. The surface and
upper low are expected to wobble around each other south of New
England with little movement during the day Tue but perhaps some
northerly or north northeasterly movement.

850mb temps between 13 and 16C coolest SE and 925mb temps
19-22C..support highs around 85 Champlain and Saint Lawrence
Valleys with upper 70s to lower 80s in the mountains and eastern
VT.

Overnight lows will be several degrees warmer than previous couple
of nights with some clouds around with temps mainly in the low
50s SLK/Northeast Kingdom to lower 60s near Lake Champlain.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 428 AM EDT Monday...
The early part of the long term still depends on where Hermine and
the upper low tracks.  It would appear based on latest model
guidance that the track will take it from somewhere south of the New
England coast on Wed north of the 40N/70W Wed night with minimal
effects but will continue to monitor. In the meantime, the NW part
of area will be increasingly under the influence of the westerlies
aloft. 850 temps warm to 15-17C which should give us temps well
into the 80s.

Weak short waves may effect us as early as Wednesday night with a
chance of showers. Moisture and instability of 500-1000 J/kg and
shear increase to 25 to 35 kts on Thu with a pre-frontal trough
leading to a chance of showers and thunderstorms. 850 temps
continue warm so highs again well into the 80s on Thu.

A front will follow late Thu night with continued chance of showers
and storms followed by clearing and drier and Friday but ECMWF and
GFS differ on amount of cooling and drying. So highs Friday
somewhere in the 70s to lower 80s with 850 temps 12-14C.

Models in agreement over the weekend as a strong upper level trough
and frontal system approach with showers with a warm then cold
front.  Some clearing is possible by later on Sunday with cooler
temperatures. High generally in the 70s with clouds and chance of
showers.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Through 00Z Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions expected through the
period as a ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft
remains over the region. Areas of dense valley fog over the
sheltered valleys of eastern and northeast Vermont, as well as the
sheltered valleys of northern New York will burn off by 13Z
Monday.

Outlook 06Z Tuesday through Friday...

06z Tuesday through 12Z Thursday...VFR, except IFR/VLIFR in
patchy overnight fog - primarily at KSLK and KMPV.

12Z Thursday through 00Z Saturday...Mainly VFR with brief MVFR
possible in a few showers.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...WGH/Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html