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September 2016, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 2 Sep 2016 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (185 lines)
Expires:201609022000;;830008
FPUS51 KBTV 021031
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
629 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016


VTZ006-022000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
629 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 80. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201609021100;;829950
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 02 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    61  56  83 N7        30.09R                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    49  48  97 CALM      30.11R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    49  48  97 CALM      30.08R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  51  93 MISG      30.04R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    56  55  98 NW5       30.08R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    60  60 100 N5        30.07R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    52  49  89 CALM      30.07R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    50  48  93 CALM      30.05R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    57  55  91 N9        30.09R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    56  54  92 N7        30.09R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    54  52  93 CALM      30.06R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A N13G26      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  55  82 N3          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  57  82 N21         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  57  77 NW15        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;821661
FXUS61 KBTV 020702
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
302 AM EDT Fri Sep 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Other than variable cloud cover this morning, mainly clear skies
are expected by later today into the coming weekend as strong high
pressure builds across northern New York and northern New England.
This high will become anchored across our area through the middle
of next week keeping any effects from tropical cyclone Hermine
well south as mainly clear skies continue along with warming
temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 302 AM EDT Friday...The overall forecast remains on track
for today as upper trough clears south and is gradually replaced
by building heights and anticyclonic flow aloft. Thus the idea of
variable morning cloudiness followed by increasing afternoon
sunshine still appears reasonable under light northerly flow.
Model 925 mb temperatures by late afternoon are running just a tad
cooler (1-2C) than yesterday and will keep with prior forecasters
idea of tempering high temperatures back just a tad offering
readings in the 67 to 74 range.

By tonight into Saturday, deep-layer ridge continues to build into
the area with rising heights and increasingly robust synoptic-scale
subsidence. Other than patchy fog overnight, mainly clear/sunny skies
are expected. Dry air along with good radiational cooling tonight
will foster a wider than normal temperature range during the period.
Lows tonight mainly in the 40s to around 50, though with customary
variability as Lake Champlain shore communities will be somewhat
milder while a few cooler northern mountain hollows may fall into
the mid and upper 30s. Highs on Saturday about 2-3 degrees warmer
than today, or generally in the 71-78 range.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... 
As of 302 AM EDT Friday...High pressure...both at the surface and
aloft...become established over the area Saturday night into
Sunday. Clear skies and light winds are expected during this time
period with the high right over us. Full sunshine during the day
on Sunday will lead to high temperatures a couple of degrees
warmer than Saturday with highs in the 70s to around 80...which is
a couple of degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Friday...Overall looking at a rather quiet
period. Main feature will be the continued warming trend with
upper ridge remaining over the region right through Wednesday.
Warming 925 millibar temperatures through the period will raise
high temperatures up a couple of degrees everyday and by the
Tuesday/Wednesday time period most locations will be in the lower
to mid 80s. Upper ridge will keep tropical system well to our
south...which should be stalled somewhere off the New Jersey
coast. Only impacts look to be increasing high clouds on Monday
and perhaps a slight chance of showers over the southern portions
of Rutland and Windsor counties...but most of the impactful
weather from this system will remain well south of the area. Upper
ridge looks to break down late Wednesday night and especially
Thursday when southwest flow aloft develops over the area giving
us a chance of showers or storms...especially over the northern
areas.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Through 06z Saturday...SCT/BKN VFR cigs from 050-090 AGL expected
through 15Z, then trending SKC by late afternoon into tonight as
deep layer high pressure builds atop region. Exception at KSLK
where occnl BKN MVFR cigs from 015-025 AGL expected through 12Z.
Winds light and variable early this morning, trending light
northerly 5-10 kts from 12Z onward.

Outlook 06Z Saturday through Tuesday...

06Z Saturday through Tuesday: VFR/high pressure. IFR/LIFR likely
in br/fg at KSLK/KMPV 06-12Z each morning.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...JMG

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