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SKIVT-L  January 2020, Week 1

SKIVT-L January 2020, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 2 Jan 2020 06:50:03 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (247 lines)

Expires:202001022100;;734724
FPUS51 KBTV 021119
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
615 AM EST Thu Jan 2 2020


VTZ006-022100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
615 AM EST Thu Jan 2 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow. Little or no
snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Northeast winds around
10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow likely. Additional light snow accumulation
possible. Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. Highs
in the mid 20s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 15. 
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs
in the upper 20s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Lows around 20. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the upper 20s. 

$$


Expires:202001021200;;735088
ASUS41 KBTV 021130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU JAN 02 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-021200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      30  23  75 S10       29.80R WCI  21          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      25  19  78 W6        29.81R WCI  18          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      29  20  69 SW6       29.78R WCI  23          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     24  21  88 MISG      29.78R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    27  23  85 CALM      29.78R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      28  23  81 VRB6      29.84R WCI  22          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      23  21  92 CALM      29.84R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    35  26  71 S6        29.78S WCI  30          
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    29  21  71 CALM      29.76S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      25  18  74 CALM      29.87R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     27 N/A N/A W5          N/A  WCI  21          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     27 N/A N/A SW9         N/A  WCI  17          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     34  28  80 SE12        N/A  WCI  25          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A      9   1  72 S20         N/A  WCI -11          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  28  86 SE6         N/A  WCI  26          

$$


Expires:No;;734881
FXUS61 KBTV 021124
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
624 AM EST Thu Jan 2 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A relatively warm and dry day is anticipated today as temperatures 
reach the mid 30s to lower 40s. Our next weather system arrives late 
Friday into the upcoming weekend with a mixture of rain and snow, 
ending as a period of snow. Temperatures continue to be on the 
milder side of normal with highs in the 30s to around 40 and lows in 
the 20s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 618 AM EST Thursday...No significant changes were needed
with this update. The low clouds have finally eroded from all
but the Northeast Kingdom, though some mid and high clouds 
are now spilling across the region. Temperatures are mainly in
the mid 20s to lower 30s. Have made some adjustments to sky
cover for through the morning hours to match the latest
satellite trends. Otherwise the forecast is in good shape and no
other changes were needed.  

Previous discussion...Quiet weather expected today as ridging 
builds to our south. Meanwhile, weak low pressure will push 
eastward across Ontario and Quebec. This will place us in 
southwest flow and warm air advection, making for another 
warmer-than-normal day. A few light showers may develop over far
northern areas, particularly the higher terrain, in response to
the aforementioned low, but expect most of the region will 
remain dry. South to southwest winds will keep temperatures 
nearly steady overnight, generally in the lower to mid 30s, with
upper 20s east of the Greens. Precipitation chances increase on
Friday as a weak shortwave traverses around the top of the 
ridge. Initially, the best forcing will remain to our south, 
keeping any precip over more southern portions of our forecast 
area, but a weak cold front approaching from Canada will allow 
additional showers to develop over the northern higher terrain 
in the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the mid 30s to 
around 40, so expect precip will be a rain/snow mix changing 
over to rain for all but the highest terrain. Regardless, liquid
and snow amounts will be fairly minor.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 332 AM EST Thursday...Friday night looks quiet across the North
Country with a surface low tracking well to the north of Montreal.
Winds will begin to switch from the west-northwest to the southwest
overnight Friday into Saturday morning in response to a developing
low pressure over the Ohio River Valley. Overnight lows will remain
mild with most places only dipping into the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Saturday, on the other hand, looks to be active as the
aforementioned low pressure system begins to track northeastward
into southern New England. Models remain in good agreement with the
primary low pressure system tracking into central Pennsylvania
Saturday afternoon before a triple point low develops near Rhode
Island and eventually absorbs this low Saturday night. It's at this
point that models begin to diverge in solutions. The upper level
pattern has been rather chaotic over the past several days with a
series of low amplitude features embedded in both the southern and
northern jet streams. Ultimately, the northern and southern streams
will phase but it looks like this won't happen until Saturday night
or possibly as late as Sunday morning. This impacts us quite a bit,
surprisingly, as the phasing of these two branches of the jet stream
will dictate the evolution of the new coastal low as we head into
Saturday night.

As it stands now, it looks like precipitation will overspread the
North Country Saturday afternoon. A mix of rain and snow appears
likely at the onset of precipitation at this time, with snowfall
most likely over northern New York and northern Vermont. Further
south, precipitation type becomes a boundary layer issue as
temperatures are expected to warm into the mid 30s to lower 40s on
Saturday. This will likely limit snow accumulations over Vermont
during the daylight hours. Colder air will filter in quickly both
aloft and at the surface Saturday night which will change all
precipitation over to snow. Snow accumulations at this time appear
to range from 2-4 inches at less than 2000 ft with up to 6 inches
possible toward the higher summits of the Adirondack and Green
Mountains. One thing to watch over the coming days will be the track
and timing of the triple point low. This feature could bring higher
or lower snow amounts depending on how the upper level pattern
develops as some guidance indicates a rapidly deepening coastal low.
Any track further south would limit snowfall across the area and a
track further north could hint at some warmer air delaying the
transition to rainfall.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 332 AM EST Thursday...Snow will taper off through the overnight
hours on Sunday but the actual timing will depend on the placement
of the developing low off the east coast. On and off snow showers
will be seen Monday through Wednesday as we remain under the
influence of a deepening upper level trough and continued cold air
advection. There is a chance for some strong convective snow showers
Tuesday afternoon ahead of a cold front with the GFS and ECMWF both
depicting increased chances for snow with some weak low level
instability. Any lingering snow showers behind the cold front will
finally dissipate Thursday afternoon as deep layer ridging builds
back across the east coast. Temperatures will start out above normal
on Monday but will drop back to near normal values on Wednesday
following the cold front.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 12Z Friday...VFR conditions to prevail through today
into tonight with just some mid and high clouds across the
region. A few showers are possible over the higher terrain over
the next 24 hours, but do not anticipate significant reductions
in visibility. MVFR ceilings will develop at KMSS and KSLK
overnight. Low level wind shear at KSLK will subside by 15z
today, but expect low level wind shear to develop over the area
after 22z and continue through 06z-08z as southwesterly winds 
aloft increase across the region.

Outlook...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
SHSN.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Chance RA, Chance
SN.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with local VFR possible.
Likely SN.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Clay
LONG TERM...Clay
AVIATION...Hastings

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December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
December 2004, Week 4
December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
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March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
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January 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 4
December 2002, Week 3
December 2002, Week 2
December 2002, Week 1
November 2002, Week 5
November 2002, Week 4
November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
September 2001, Week 5
September 2001, Week 4
September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 3
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August 2001, Week 1
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June 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 5
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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May 2000, Week 3
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May 2000, Week 1
April 2000, Week 5
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April 2000, Week 3
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April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 1
February 2000, Week 5
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February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
January 1999, Week 4
January 1999, Week 3
January 1999, Week 2
January 1999, Week 1
December 1998, Week 5
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