Expires:202304031500;;143639
FPUS51 KBTV 030706
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
301 AM EDT Mon Apr 3 2023
VTZ018-031500-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
301 AM EDT Mon Apr 3 2023
.TODAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers this afternoon.
Breezy with highs around 50. South winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up
to 40 mph this afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers until
midnight, then a slight chance of rain or snow showers after
midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Light and
variable winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 40. Chance of rain
90 percent.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of
rain 70 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s.
Lows in the lower 20s.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Highs in the mid 40s. Lows
in the upper 20s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
$$
Expires:202304031100;;153684
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON APR 03 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 28 13 53 CALM 30.06R
MONTPELIER MOCLDY 17 11 77 CALM 30.10R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 18 14 84 S5 30.08R WCI 11
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 18 12 77 MISG 30.09R
LYNDONVILLE* N/A 14 10 82 CALM 30.09R
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 23 14 70 S3 30.08S
RUTLAND* PTCLDY 23 11 60 SE10 30.08R WCI 12
SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 21 16 81 CALM 30.12R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 25 15 65 CALM 30.06R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 21 9 58 S3 30.07R
BENNINGTON PTCLDY 23 13 65 CALM 30.07R
ISLAND POND* N/A 9 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 10 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 12 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 19 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 32 19 59 S12 N/A WCI 23
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 19 59 S21 N/A WCI 20
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 32 16 51 S13 N/A WCI 22
$$
Expires:No;;145866
FXUS61 KBTV 030756
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
356 AM EDT Mon Apr 3 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A clipper system will bring scattered shower activity this
afternoon with a cold front washing out over the area. Mild
weather is expected both today and tomorrow. Some sprinkles or
light drizzle will be possible as the remnant frontal boundary
staggers back to the north into Tuesday night and Wednesday
morning. Some light sleet or freezing rain will be possible
along the international border before temperatures warm above
freezing mid to late morning. Scattered showers will remain
possible until a stronger cold front shifts south and east
Thursday. Somewhat cooler conditions with dry high pressure
will start off the upcoming weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Monday...A clipper system is poised to run eastwards
across the Great Lakes region north through Montreal this evening.
The warm front is about half way across Lake Ontario at the moment,
and the reflectivity that passed over Toronto did not reach the
ground. The result should be largely the same as the warm front
advances over northern New York and Vermont, with a lot of virga due
to low-level dry air. The warm front shifts northeast mid to late
morning, and southerly flow and partly cloudy skies should warm us
into the upper 40s to mid 50s. It will be breezy with south winds 15
to 20 mph, gusting to 30 at times. Northern slopes of the Dacks
could experience some gusts to 40 mph. Late evening, the clipper
will pull away and northerly flow on the backside will drive a cold
front southwards. Again, dry air will likely inhibit widespread
precipitation from reaching the ground, though the odds are a bit
better with the cold front.
This front will slowly descend south overnight, where moisture
profiles are a bit better. Rain across central Vermont and the
Adirondacks with snow at higher peaks will gradually taper off as
the front washes out. Abundant clouds and little cold advection will
likely keep overnight lows in the 30s. Then for Tuesday, a thin
strip of moisture will linger across central New York and southern
Vermont, waffling north later in the day near the washed out remnant
front. Without significant forcing, this will likely just produce
very light rain or drizzle. At this time, the feature appears to
stay south of the area, but have a fairly large swath of slight
chance PoPs in case it ends up positioned further north. High
temperatures somewhat cooler in the abundant clouds, with mid 40s to
near 50.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Monday...Light freezing rain potential is the main
forecast challenge for Tuesday night. As stationary boundary across
the southern tier of NY returns northward as a warm front Tuesday
night, concern is the presence of shallow, subfreezing air across
our northern areas, courtesy of light N-NE winds and strong high
pressure across southern Quebec. As warm front lifts northward,
isentropic ascent results in development of overcast skies and light
precipitation, especially after midnight. At present, appears most
likely areas for subfreezing temperatures (30-32F) will be across
the St. Lawrence Valley and along the Intl border across northern
VT. In these locations, some light freezing rain accumulation is
possible during the pre-dawn hours Wednesday with potential for
localized icy travel conditions. Will continue to monitor, but
currently up to 0.1" ice accumulation is possible in the St.
Lawrence Valley, with a few hundreths of an inch possible elsewhere
across northern areas of the forecast area. We have included mention
of this in the morning Hazardous Weather Outlook.
Heading into Wednesday, should see temperatures continue to warm as
warm front lifts across the North Country and into southern Quebec
by late afternoon/early evening. May see cooler conditions in the
low-mid 40s east of the Green Mtns. However, developing S-SE winds
and WAA should allow temperatures to climb into the lower 50s
Wednesday afternoon across the Champlain Valley, and into the 55-60F
range for the Adirondacks and St. Lawrence Valley. Periods of
additional warm frontal rainfall are likely, generally accumulating
in the 0.25 - 0.50" range. PoPs of 70-90% are forecast, highest
across northern sections. Winds may become moderately strong in the
afternoon with southerly gradient flow. Have included south winds 15-
25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. If steeper low-level lapse rates and
warmer temperatures materialize, may see somewhat stronger winds
with better downward mixing, especially with channeling in the
Champlain Valley.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Monday...North Country will be in the warm sector of
deep low pressure system expected to be tracking newd across
northern Ontario Wednesday night. Continued S-SW winds should keep
Wednesday night lows in the mid 40s in most locations, except upper
30s to lower 40s east of the Green Mountains. Should see one more
period of rain shower activity as trailing cold front arrives late
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Cold front gradually clears
the region later Thursday, with gradual clearing taking place during
Thursday night. Highs on Thursday will generally be in the upper 50s
across nrn NY, and low- mid 60s across VT. However, these highs will
generally be reached early in the day before onset of low-level CAA
in the wake of the cold front. Low-level CAA and gusty NW winds
continue Thursday night into Friday. With 850mb temperatures falling
to -9C to -11C on Friday, should see daytime temperatures below
seasonal levels, and generally in the low-mid 40s for highs. Strong
high pressure across the Great Lakes Friday afternoon will build
eastward, bringing cool, mostly clear and dry conditions Friday
night and into the upcoming weekend. Should see widespread lows in
the 20s Friday night, and upper teens in the Adirondacks and
Northeast Kingdom. Highs on Saturday will only be in the mid 40s to
near 50. Better modification of the air mass is expected Sunday with
highs 55-60F.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions are expected the
next 24 hours. High clouds are expanding over the area, with
calm to light south or southeast winds at present. A warm front
shifts east between 09z and 13z, but will largely be virga.
Still, ceilings should fall as it passed to 3500-5000 ft agl.
Behind the warm front, south winds will increase towards 9 to 15
knots sustained with gusts 16 to 25 knots through about 21z. A
cold front will slide south about 20z, but again, likely virga
due to dry air. Odds of activity reaching the ground look best
at KEFK and KRUT. After 21z, winds will become southwesterly and
gradually fall to 4 to 8 knots. By 03z, showers will be limited
mostly to KRUT and perhaps KMPV. Periods of LLWS are possible
after the warm front from 13z through 06z Tuesday, though it
seems sporadic and not widespread, with explicit mentions where
confidence is highest at KSLK and KMSS. Conditions near the
surface may still be somewhat turbulent over the region either
way through 06z Tuesday.
Outlook...
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Likely
SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with gusts
to 30 kt. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Haynes
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