Expires:202107182000;;055235
FPUS51 KBTV 180804
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
359 AM EDT Sun Jul 18 2021
VTZ018-182000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
359 AM EDT Sun Jul 18 2021
.TODAY...Areas of dense fog this morning. Rain. Highs in the mid
60s. East winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming northeast this afternoon.
Chance of rain near 100 percent.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of rain until midnight, then rain
likely after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of rain in the morning, then
scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. North
winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
40 percent.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of
rain 60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
$$
Expires:202107181100;;061638
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 18 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON LGT RAIN 64 63 96 N6 30.04S FOG
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 61 60 97 CALM 30.10S FOG
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 63 62 97 N3 30.07S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 63 61 93 MISG 30.05S
LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 61 59 93 NW5 30.10S
MIDDLEBURY* HVY RAIN 61 60 98 CALM 30.02S
RUTLAND* LGT RAIN 64 64 100 SE6 30.02S
SPRINGFIELD LGT RAIN 65 64 97 VRB3 30.03S
HIGHGATE* DRIZZLE 65 64 97 CALM 30.06R
NEWPORT* LGT RAIN 63 60 91 CALM 30.10R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 68 67 96 CALM 29.98S
ISLAND POND* N/A 63 N/A N/A NE1 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 61 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 61 N/A N/A E2 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 57 N/A N/A E18G30 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 66 75 100 W1 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 64 100 NW10 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 64 63 94 NW15 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;055668
FXUS61 KBTV 180809
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
409 AM EDT Sun Jul 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Soaking rainfall will shift east of the area this morning. Scattered
showers will redevelop later today with some additional showers and
thunderstorms Monday forced by an upper level low pressure system.
Higher chances of showers and scattered storms will follow on
Tuesday with the approach of a cold front on Tuesday. Unsettled and
cool weather will follow for the remainder of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 359 AM EDT Sunday...It's been a soggy night through much
of the North Country with steady moderate rainfall of 0.1 to
0.2" per hour over much of the area resulting in many 0.5" to
1.25" observations through the early morning hours.
Unfortunately this heavier rain will not get into the far
northern portions of the region that are in the largest rainfall
deficits, and the widespread rain will be pushing east of the
area this morning. The remainder of the Sunday will see low
cloud cover that will greatly limit high temperatures. We
continue to advertise a cool day with temperatures mainly in the
mid-60s to low 70s, except in the St. Lawrence Valley where
some sunshine is expected. Also expect some more rain to
develop, with best chances over south central Vermont and
Adirondacks closer to the 700-850 millibar low pressure system
slowly approaching from the west during the afternoon. This rain
will continue into at least the first portion of the night.
With the low pressure system passing to our south, we still
should see more of a stratiform rather than convective rain
during this period with a stable low-level atmosphere as winds
continue to be light north or northeasterly. These winds will
promote cool conditions with temperatures similar to the
previous night with lows ranging from the upper 50s to low 60s.
The trailing 500 millibar trough will make its move across and east
of the North Country on Monday. The coolest air aloft will be
centered over our area, which will promote steep lapse rates and
instability. The big question is how much sunshine will there be to
start the day. With enough surface heating, we will see low-level
lapse rates that will allow for some vigorous convection and
development of isolated thunderstorms capable of producing small
hail. Not much of a wind threat with any of these storms given weak
wind fields. Coverage of thunderstorms will not be widespread,
although pinprick showers will possibly become numerous during the
afternoon. With return of sunshine given increasing surface pressure
and related loss of low clouds, temperatures should recover to near
normal in the mid-70s to low 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 409 AM EDT Sunday...Any showers or storms Monday evening
will come to an end as the atmosphere becomes more stable and
upper trough moves further to the east. Shortwave trough will
move down from Canada during the late morning and afternoon
hours on Tuesday. Dynamic support will be increasing for showers
and enough instability should develop for a thunderstorm
threat. As a result will continue with the idea of showers
likely and a slight chance of thunder. High temperatures on
Tuesday will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 409 AM EDT Sunday...The shortwave trough that moves down
from Canada on Tuesday is slow to move east Tuesday night and
Wednesday. This will help keep the chance of showers going,
especially over Vermont. Eventually this feature moves far
enough east to have precipitation come to an end and at this
time Thursday is generally looking dry. For the remainder of the
extended period we continue to be in cyclonic flow aloft and
there will be a slight chance/chance of showers through much of
the Friday through Sunday time period. Thermal profile, clouds,
and periods of precipitation suggest high temperatures in the
extended will generally be slightly below normal through the
entire period.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...A mix of VFR/MVFR/IFR will continue as
widespread light rain, with locally heavy rain over the next
six hours, impacts all terminals except for MSS. Best chance of
IFR rain is at BTV and MPV, with otherwise steadier rain
resulting in some MVFR conditions through 12Z. Clouds will lower
over time resulting in IFR ceilings at MPV and RUT as soon as
08Z, and these IFR ceilings may persist at these sites and
joined by some additional scattered showers after 18Z. Similar
conditions at BTV and SLK are expected but with mainly MVFR
ceilings. Winds will be light northeasterly through the period.
Outlook...
Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Kutikoff
NEAR TERM...Kutikoff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Kutikoff
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