Expires:201805172000;;083959
FPUS51 KBTV 170743
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
341 AM EDT Thu May 17 2018
VTZ006-172000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
341 AM EDT Thu May 17 2018
.TODAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers this morning,
then sunny this afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph
in the morning, becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance
of rain 80 percent.
.SUNDAY...Occasional showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain
80 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows around 50. Chance of rain
70 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s.
$$
Expires:201805171100;;090854
ASUS41 KBTV 171030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU MAY 17 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 60 55 83 S10 29.94R
MONTPELIER FAIR 49 49 100 CALM 29.99R
MORRISVILLE FAIR 48 48 100 CALM 29.96R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 49 47 93 MISG 29.95R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 50 49 93 CALM 29.98R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 58 54 88 S3 29.97S
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 55 53 93 SE3 29.99S
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 52 51 97 CALM 29.98S
HIGHGATE* FAIR 59 55 88 S7 29.94R
NEWPORT* FAIR 52 50 91 CALM 29.95R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 58 55 90 CALM 30.00R
ISLAND POND* N/A 46 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 43 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 52 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 50 N/A N/A W26 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 55 54 94 SW10G18 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 54 50 87 S8 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 57 57 100 SW7 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;085002
FXUS61 KBTV 170811
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
411 AM EDT Thu May 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A dry cold front will slowly move through the region this morning
and afternoon bringing with it near to slightly below average
temperatures. This weekend will see rain move in as low pressure
lifts northeastward from the Ohio Valley into New York and New
England. Next week will see a return to drier conditions and above
normal temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 402 AM EDT Thursday...This morning will bring a dry cold front
out of Canada will just a remote chance of precipitation this
morning. Hi-res models show small window after sunrise for a
brief, passing shower, but any area that sees anything will be
looking at a trace amount at best. Expect the winds to shift to
the north this morning as the front slides south through the
CWA. Along with the wind shift, a drier airmass with cooler
temps which will lead to highs this afternoon about 5-7 degrees
cooler than Wednesday, but still right near seasonal normals.
Thursday night should be dry as well as skies clear and temps
cooling quickly into the low to mid 30s, and possibly mid 20s in
parts of the Dacks, so we'll need to continue to monitor for frost
potential but no fog is expected.
Dry weather continues for Friday as high pressure settles in behind
the front. While skies will remain relatively cloud free,
especially across the northern counties, northerly flow will
continue, for most of the day, keeps high temps again right near
seasonal normals.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 408 AM EDT Thursday...The ridge aloft over the Northeast
breaks down and high pressure will move east of Maine and
Canadian maritimes Friday night into Saturday. A cool and
increasingly moist low-level southeast return flow becomes
established by Saturday morning as a warm front develops to our
southwest.
Good strong warm advection and moisture convergence is evident
Saturday at 925/850 mb as winds increase to 30 to 50kt leading to
modest QG forcing. This along with a surge of 1.50" of precipitable
water will bring about rain moving in from southwest to northeast
overspreading the entire region between 12 and 18z Sat. Rain will
become more showery in nature Saturday night as the best warm
advection and overrunning lifts northeast of the area during the
overnight hours. Some of the area especially in northern NY may get
into the warm sector while east of the Greens its less likely. The
NAM is showing some CAPE of 250-500 J/kg in NY, mainly elevated
while the GFS is less. Showalter nears zero and Ks in the 30s, so
thunder is not out of the question, but averaging NAM/GFS have left
out thunderstorms at this point, but something to watch in later
forecasts. Its looking like about a half inch of rain is expected
with locally 0.75 to near an inch over the south central Greens.
Temperatures a bit tricky. First Friday night as it will start out
mainly clear and calm but high clouds increase the second half of
the night. Going with lows mostly in the 40s but could be some 30s
in the north, perhaps near freezing in the northern Adirondacks and
NEK of VT. Saturday looking at cool highs mainly in the 50s perhaps
touching 60 in the north in the morning before the rain moves in
and temperatures fall a bit. Some of the model temperatures even
suggest the higher terrain in the south could be in the upper 40s
for highs on Sat. Little change in temps for Saturday night with
lows ranging from the upper 40s east of the greens to mid 50s in the
St. Lawrence valley.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 408 AM EDT Thursday...Some showers will linger Sunday as
a weak cold front moves through behind departing low pressure.
Monday is looking dry right now with a NW flow aloft and weak
high pressure. Things become a bit more uncertain next week as
the flow aloft backs to more westerly with perhaps a weak short
wave or two embedded for another chance of showers Tuesday into
Wednesday. Temperatures continuing close to average with highs
in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 40s to around 50
each day.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday... Expect VFR Conditions overall for the
period. Exceptions will be KRUT with MVFR ceilings over the next
few hours and KSLK/KBTV/KMPV possibly seeing MVFR as well right
around sunrise for an hour or two as front to our north begins
to sag south. Any MVFR ceilings should lift through the morning
hours as drier air moves in with VFR conditions expected through
the remainder of the period.
LLWS is expected over the next few hours at all stations with
decent pressure gradient and 35 to 40 kt jet at 2000ft and
lighter surface winds. Southerly winds overnight will veer to
the NW around 5-10 kt as front moves through the area between
11-13z.
Outlook...
Friday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Verasamy
NEAR TERM...Verasamy
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Verasamy
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