Expires:202103142000;;942558
FPUS51 KBTV 140712
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
309 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021
VTZ018-142000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
309 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021
.TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Snow
accumulation around an inch possible. Windy with highs in the
upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph,
increasing to 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph this
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Little or no
additional snow accumulation. Windy with lows around 1 above.
Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill
values as low as 23 below.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then clearing. Windy with
highs around 17. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph. Wind chill values
as low as 27 below.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 3 above. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 10 above.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s.
$$
Expires:202103141100;;950783
ASUS41 KBTV 141031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 14 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLEAR 31 22 69 W6 29.87F WCI 25
MONTPELIER MOCLDY 27 22 81 NW6 29.86F WCI 20
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 31 19 61 NW12G21 29.84F WCI 22
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 25 21 85 MISG 29.81F
LYNDONVILLE* LGT SNOW 25 23 93 SW5 29.80F WCI 19
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 25 20 83 CALM 29.88F
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 31 22 69 W8 29.88F WCI 23
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 29 19 66 SW3 29.88F
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 31 19 61 W3 29.87S
NEWPORT* LGT SNOW 25 23 91 NW5 29.82S WCI 20
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 31 17 56 SW5 29.90S WCI 26
ISLAND POND* N/A 23 N/A N/A NW7 N/A WCI 15
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 23 N/A N/A MISG N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 34 27 75 W15 N/A WCI 24
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 36 21 55 SW9G18 N/A WCI 29
$$
Expires:No;;943787
FXUS61 KBTV 140800
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
400 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Widely scattered snow showers will redevelop this afternoon in a
brisk northwesterly flow. Highs will reach the low to mid 30s
by midday, with temperatures slowly falling this afternoon, and
then dropping quickly into the single digits for tonight. Very
low wind chills are expected tonight into Monday morning.
Moderate northwest winds continue on Monday with ineffective
sunshine as temperatures rise only to the upper teens to lower
20s for afternoon highs. A warming trend is expected for Tuesday
and Wednesday, with no significant precipitation systems
expected over the next 5 to 7 days.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...A fast-moving shortwave trough south
of James Bay will traverse across the North Country this
afternoon. Associated height falls and forcing for ascent will
combine with developing surface-based instability (SBCAPE ~100
J/kg) to produce widespread snow shower activity this afternoon.
In the absence of an organizing boundary, appears snow showers
will be cellular in nature, and may see brief moderate/heavy
snow across especially higher terrain areas. May also see some
graupel in stronger reflectivity cores. Indicated max PoPs of
70-80% across n-central and northeastern VT, and generally
30-70% elsewhere. Snow accumulations generally less than 1"
across valley locations, but 2-4" are possible across the higher
summits through early tonight, especially across the central
and northern Green Mountains. Temperatures by mid-day will reach
the low-mid 30s. Thereafter, increasing NW winds and low-level
CAA will allow temperatures to slowly fall this afternoon.
Increasing pressure gradient and steep surface-based lapse rates
will promote increasingly gusty conditions. Looking for
widespread 15-25 mph winds, with gusts 32-38 mph during much of
the afternoon hours.
These gusty NW winds and plummeting temperatures tonight will
create areas of very low wind chill values. As a result, have
issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the northern Adirondacks and
Essex County VT from 05-15Z, where wind chill readings should
fall into the 20 to 25 below range. Overnight lows generally
-3F to +7F across the North Country. Snow shower activity will
generally taper off to just a few mountain flurries by midnight.
Monday will feature mostly sunny skies, but unseasonably cold
conditions with 850mb temperatures of -20C to -25C at 15Z.
Should see highs on Monday in the mid-teens across the northern
Adirondacks and across Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, and lower
20s for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valleys. NW winds will
diminish somewhat to 10-15 mph, but temperatures will be
15-20deg below the 30-year climo mean for mid-March.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 317 AM EDT Sunday...Clear and cold weather continues
Monday night with 1030 hPa surface high building atop the
region. Undercut blended guidance in the Dacks/northeastern VT
where deepest snow cover remains, and closer to guidance in the
valleys in the absence of a snow pack - mainly +/- single digits
to around 10 above. Flow turns light southerly on Tuesday as
high slides east leading to a sharp warming trend by afternoon
with highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 317 AM EDT Sunday...Consensus continues to build that a
nice stretch of weather is in store for the region during the
remainder of the forecast period. A weak wave with decaying mid-
level warm advection will lift northeast through the region
Tuesday night into early Wednesday with possibly a few/spotty
light sprinkles or flurries, so continued lower end PoPs in the
10-20% range for this period. Otherwise, the back end of the
work week is now appearing mainly dry as this morning's GFS has
trended solidly into the ECMWF and Canadian camp which have
shown more consistency over the past few days. This argues for
another Canadian high pressure center building southward with a
mainly dry frontal passage by Thursday, essentially shunting the
remnants of the current high plains storm south of our region
Thursday night/early Friday. The surface high center then builds
atop the region by next weekend with clear skies and nil PoPs.
Temperatures remain seasonably mild in the 40s for Wed/Thu, then
trend cooler (upper 20s to mid 30s) for Friday behind
Thursday's frontal passage before moderating nicely once again
by next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 12Z Monday...Periods of MVFR snow showers early this
morning will give away to VFR conditions from 11-16Z. Thereafter,
instability-driven snow shower activity will become widespread
during the afternoon hours. These snow showers should result in
brief periods of MVFR or IFR conditions at the TAF locations
between 17-22Z, and will likely be most frequent at SLK and MPV.
May see a bit of graupel in the stronger cells. West to northwest
winds around 10 knots early this morning will become increasingly
gusty during the daylight hours. Should see widespread NW winds
15-25kts this afternoon with gusts up to 35kts.
Outlook...
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Wind Chill Advisory from 1 AM to 11 AM EDT Monday for VTZ004.
NY...Wind Chill Advisory from 1 AM to 11 AM EDT Monday for
NYZ029>031-034.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Banacos
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