Expires:202301071800;;244959
FPUS51 KBTV 071103
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
559 AM EST Sat Jan 7 2023
VTZ018-071800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
559 AM EST Sat Jan 7 2023
.TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of snow showers this morning. Little or
no snow accumulation. Highs around 30. Northwest winds around
10 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows around 12. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds around
10 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Near steady temperature in the mid
20s. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s.
Highs in the upper 20s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows
around 20. Highs in the upper 20s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs
around 30.
$$
Expires:202301071200;;246571
ASUS41 KBTV 071130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT JAN 07 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-071200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 34 31 88 N7 30.04R WCI 28
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 34 29 82 SE3 30.01R HAZE
MORRISVILLE LGT SNOW 32 29 88 N6 30.02R FOG WCI 26
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 33 31 92 MISG 29.98R
LYNDONVILLE* LGT SNOW 31 31 99 CALM 29.99R
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 36 32 86 CALM 30.02R
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 34 32 92 CALM 30.02S
SPRINGFIELD FOG 30 29 96 CALM 30.03R VSB 1/2
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 31 28 90 W6 30.07R WCI 25
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 31 28 88 W5 30.01R WCI 26
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 35 26 69 SW6 30.04S WCI 30
ISLAND POND* N/A 30 N/A N/A NW5 N/A WCI 25
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 30 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 23 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 32 30 93 NW12 N/A WCI 23
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 34 32 93 N15 N/A WCI 24
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 37 34 87 N10 N/A WCI 30
$$
Expires:No;;239913
FXUS61 KBTV 070905
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EST Sat Jan 7 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Aside from scattered snow showers in the higher terrain,
dry conditions are expected today as modest west and northwest breezes
finally transport drier air into the region. Seasonable cold
and sunny skies are expected tomorrow followed by a quick shot
of light mountain snow showers on Monday. Quiet weather resumes
midweek before a storm system impacts the region late in the
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 404 AM EST Saturday...A weak cold front oriented from
southwest to northeast is gradually shifting southeastward early
this morning through our region. On the north side of the
boundary, surface winds are turning northwesterly as surface
pressure rises steadily, but significantly colder air will lag
behind as flow just above the surface is mainly westerly. A more
substantial air mass change will occur later today as a deeper
northerly component to the wind develops. The combination of
lingering low clouds and cold air advection will battle daytime
heating to keep temperatures from warming much, especially in
northern/western portions of the region closer to the source air
mass and where the colder air pushes in sooner. So high
temperatures may be reached this morning in most areas,
especially where skies remain overcast. Upslope snow showers,
and brief rain/snow showers along the front, are expected to
have little impact, although some surfaces may become icy where
temperatures slip below freezing amid plenty of standing water.
Given the combination of low sun angle, post-frontal inversion,
and recent wet weather, have erred on the side of cloudier
skies through the day despite ridging building into the area.
Partial clearing is favored in the western Champlain Valley and
portions of Orange and Windsor counties with northwesterly
downsloping off of higher terrain, with otherwise cloudy and
seasonably chilly conditions today. Precipitation chances this
afternoon will wane as moisture and lift will no longer overlap
with abundant mid-level drying, although a reinvigoration of
mountain snow showers tonight is possible as low level
temperatures become supportive of snow even with shallow cloud
depths.
As the polar high pressure area approaches from the northwest, a
building pressure gradient will help increase cold air advection
this evening. This scenario will set the stage for a cold night
as subsidence gradually helps more clearing to occur.
Temperatures will settle into the teens, with opportunity for
locally colder values where winds are light and skies clear out.
For the first night in several days, not looking at any patchy
fog as fresh northwest winds will scour out surface moisture
that would support any development. No real changes from
previous forecasts that Sunday will be a real winner for outdoor
activities, as sunny skies and light winds are expected with
deep layer ridging through the day. High clouds will arrive late
in the day ahead of an upper level trough and light winds will
shift southerly/southwesterly in advance of this feature. Given
abundant dry air and sunshine, sensible heating should be fairly
strong to help boost temperatures to near normal values in the
upper 20s to mid 30s for highs.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 326 AM EST Saturday...A relatively quiet period of wx as
sfc high pres shifts off the East Coast by Monday. Guidance has
come into better agreement with showing northern stream s/w
energy and pocket of better mid lvl moisture moving acrs our
northern cwa late Monday into Monday night. Have bumped pops
into the chc range for the northern Dacks into the mtns of
central/northern Greens from 21z to 09z Monday/Monday night.
Energy moves from west to east quickly acrs our cwa and pocket
of mid lvl moisture is limited in areal coverage, so only
anticipating minimal snowfall in the mtns. Progged 925mb temps
ahead of this weak system are btwn -2C and -4C, which wl support
highs mid 30s to near 40F, while summits hold in the mid/upper
20s. Modest caa develops behind boundary on Monday with progged
925mb temps falling btwn -8C and -12C by 12z Tues, supporting
lows mid teens summits to mid 20s CPV/lower CT River Valley on
Tues morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 326 AM EST Saturday...Fcst remains very quiet for midweek
with 1030mb sfc high pres nosing into our cwa, while the core of
the coldest air is passing us by to our north. This results in
generally dry conditions with slightly above normal temps for
Tues thru Thurs time frame. Highs mainly in the upper 20s to mid
30s and lows mid teens to lower 20s.
Overall pattern looks to become more active for Friday into next
weekend, as guidance is showing northern and southern stream
energy phasing and developing a full latitude mid/upper lvl trof
acrs the eastern conus. The large scale synoptic pattern looks
rather complex attm, with plenty of uncertainty on trof
development/placement and associated evolution of sfc low pres
and retreating high pres over eastern Canada. As system becomes
closed off and deepens guidance seems to agree on a slow moving
system, which could impact the region for several days. The
trends support increasing pops to likely for Friday into
Saturday, along with warming thermal profiles associated with
deep southerly flow as system is progged to become negatively
tilted. For now have chc of snow Friday/Fri night, before
warming profiles support a mix of rain/snow on Saturday, as
lingering cool air modifies from retreating sfc high pres. At
this time all potential hazards from snow/rain/wind and ice
remain on the table. Expect better run to run consistency and
agreement in guidance to evolve by early next week as system
comes ashore acrs the western CONUS. Stay tuned, otherwise we
have temps in the 30s on Friday and well into the 30s to near
40F for next Saturday, with lows in the 20s to lower 30s for
now.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions are
present at our TAF sites at this hour, with temporary IFR
conditions possible just about anywhere through the next six
hours for either snow showers or mist as moist conditions and
light flow continues. Westerly low level flow, or locally
northwesterly at BTV and MPV, will develop in the wake of a
weak cold front moving southeastward, although wind speeds will
remain mainly 5 to 10 knots through the period. This front is
currently past MSS and will pass through the rest of the
airspace by 12Z. Cooling and drying of air aloft will promote a
thinning, but persistent, MVFR cloud deck at most sites, as low
level moisture is trapped below frontal inversion. PBG has the
best chance of seeing scattered clouds, but expect trend back
to MVFR ceilings areawide after any short lived improvements
towards 00Z. By that time, winds at all sites should shift to
northwesterly in the 6 to 11 knot range.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Boyd
NEAR TERM...Boyd/Kutikoff/Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Taber
LONG TERM...Taber
AVIATION...Kutikoff/Neiles
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