Expires:201606052000;;991967
FPUS51 KBTV 050758
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
356 AM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016
VTZ006-052000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
356 AM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016
.TODAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR
100 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN
60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S.
$$
Expires:201606051100;;998492
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 63 52 67 S3 29.81F
MONTPELIER FAIR 54 52 93 CALM 29.92F
MORRISVILLE FAIR 51 49 92 CALM 29.89F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 54 50 86 MISG 29.88F
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 53 50 91 CALM 29.91F
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 66 53 63 SW6 29.86S
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 57 54 89 CALM 29.90S
HIGHGATE* FAIR 59 51 74 E5 29.81F
NEWPORT* FAIR 50 49 97 CALM 29.89F
BENNINGTON LGT RAIN 63 60 90 CALM 29.86S
SUTTON* N/A 55 N/A N/A MISG N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 52 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 55 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 55 N/A N/A SW20 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 63 59 88 SW1 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 61 57 88 NW5 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 61 59 94 E1 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;995430
FXUS61 KBTV 050903
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
503 AM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Clouds will continue to increase ahead of warm front that will
spread rain - heavy at times - across the North Country this
morning from southwest to northeast. A brief break on Monday will
be followed by a large upper low that will bring cooler and
showery weather through the rest of the week. Temperatures will be
below normal Wednesday into next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 503 AM EDT Sunday...Models have remained pretty consistent
with impending rain event. Very moist air filtering in today with
PWATs increasing to 1.6 to 1.8 inches will result in moderate to
heavy rainfall and cloudy conditions as a warm front encroaches
upon the region. Expect orographic enhancement to the rainfall
along the eastern slopes of the Green mountains and into the
eastern slopes of the Adirondacks in the southeasterly low level
jet of 30- 45kts that develops around 15z. After initial WAA surge
of rain passes, sfc occluded front and band of differential PVA
moves through late Sunday afternoon into the first half of Sunday
night, bring a second surge of moderate to briefly heavy
rainfall...with rain tapering off to showers most sections by 06Z
Monday.
There is a chance for some thunderstorm development mainly for
the St Lawrence Valley and Northern Adirondacks as some
instability develops in breaks of rain around 18z, ahead of the
sfc occluded front. Mesoscale models depict the line of heavy
showers/ possible tstorms moving across the St Lawrence Valley and
portions of northern New York before weakening around sunset,
before reaching the Champlain Valley. BUFKIT model soundings
support stabilizing rain will keep lapse rates benign for most
areas. Areas of strongest shear do not appear to align with
available instability.
Storm total rainfall expected generally 1-2 inches with highest
amounts across higher terrain and east facing slopes. Streamflows
are very low across the region, and soil moisture is also below
average. These factors should preclude any significant hydro
concerns Sunday into Sunday night, but will see within bank rises
on the area rivers through Monday AM.
Breezy/gusty S-SE winds may develop this afternoon with strong
gradient flow. Low-level stability will generally preclude any
strong sfc winds, but could be slightly stronger with downslope
effects on the immediate western slopes of the Green mountains
from Rutland north to Lincoln to Jeffersonville.
Max temperatures today will be noticeably cooler in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. PWATs decrease to near normal overnight with gradually
diminishing cloud cover. Min temperatures remain in the 50s to low
60s as southerly flow continues.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 419 AM EDT Sunday...On Monday, expecting partly sunny skies
with just a low chance for rain showers. Temperatures will climb
to the upper 70s to near 80 in some valley locations. Monday night
expecting partly cloudy skies with just a slight chance for some
showers. Upper shortwave to move through the region on Tuesday
with a chance of showers, that will linger into Tuesday night.
Highs will be in the 70s on Tuesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 419 AM EDT Sunday...On Wednesday, ECMWF and GFS models show
a sharp upper trough will move east from the Great Lakes across
the region during the day on Wednesday. Models also show a very
cold pool of air aloft with this upper trough, which will lead to
steep lapse rates developing across the region on Wednesday. Have
raised chance superblend pops to low likely pops on Wednesday for
showers. Wet bulb zero values run between 4000-5000 feet on
Wednesday, so would not be surprised if there is some small hail
with any showers that develop, along with an isolated thunderstorm
possible. Temperatures will be well below seasonable norms on
Wednesday with highs in the lower 60s, except in the 50s over the
Adirondacks. The region will remain under cyclonic flow from a
closed upper low over Canada on Thursday with a chance for more
showers on Thursday. Models trending drier for Friday with partly
cloudy skies. The region will be under northwest flow aloft on
Saturday, with models hinting at a chance of showers on Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 06z Monday...Cloud cover increasing ahead of warm front
this morning, remaining VFR thru 10-12Z Sunday. Becoming MVFR
with developing moderate to heavy rainfall from sw to ne across
the region. HIR TRRN OBSCD by mid-morning. Cigs and vsbys will see
periods of IFR at all sites during heavy bouts of rain today.There
looks to be a brief break during the mid day, when rain becomes
more showery.
Variable winds will be light this morning before shifting south
at 5-15kts this morning. Will be a bumpy climb out Sunday morning
with surface winds forecast less than 10 kts and 40 kt winds at
2k-3k ft level. Could lead to some low level wind shear mainly
between 12z-18z before mixing reaches kmss and kslk.
Outlook 06z Monday through Thursday...
06z Monday-12z Monday...Generally MVFR with intervals of IFR in
moderate rain and stratus, tapering off to showers from west to
east by 06Z Monday. HIR TRRN OBSCD thru 06z Monday.
12z Monday-12z Tuesday...VFR. Possible overnight LIFR fog at MPV
and SLK Monday night and Tuesday night.
12z Tuesday through Thursday...VFR with brief periods of MVFR
ceilings in showers with upper trough moving through the region.
&&
.MARINE...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Increasing pressure gradient will strengthen southerly winds this
afternoon across the Champlain Valley. Channeling affects across
the valley and Lake Champlain will increase wind speeds to 20 to
30 knots by this afternoon. This will result in wave heights of 3
to 5 feet, especially across the broad lake. Waters will be choppy
due to these strong winds and waves. Expect areas that will be
most impacted by these hazardous conditions will be the broad lake
and southward facing bays and inlets.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos/KGM
NEAR TERM...Banacos/KGM
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...KGM/Hanson
MARINE...KGM
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