SKIVT-L Archives

April 2023, Week 1

SKIVT-L@LIST.UVM.EDU

Options: Use Monospaced Font
Show HTML Part by Default
Show All Mail Headers

Message: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Topic: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Author: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]

Print Reply
Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 7 Apr 2023 06:50:04 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (219 lines)
Expires:202304071800;;386988
FPUS51 KBTV 071035
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
632 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023


VTZ018-071800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
632 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. Lows around 20. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
up to 30 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:202304071100;;386816
ASUS41 KBTV 071030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI APR 07 2023

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-071100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    40  26  57 W5        30.17R TC   4           
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     39  22  50 VRB6      30.16S TC   4           
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    42  24  49 SW6       30.13R TC   6           
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     30  26  85 MISG      30.10S TC  -1           
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     37  24  58 S3        30.11S TC   3           
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      39  26  61 S3        30.19S TC   4           
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     41  24  51 W9        30.19S TC   5           
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     34  27  75 CALM      30.19S TC   1           
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      40  28  60 W6        30.16R TC   5           
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    39  25  56 W14G29    30.10R WCI  31 TC   4   
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     40  23  50 SW6       30.23S TC   4           
ISLAND POND*     N/A     39 N/A N/A SW10        N/A  TC   4           
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A  TC   2           
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     37 N/A N/A SW7         N/A  TC   3           
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A W51G67      N/A  WCI   1 TC  -5   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     41  32  70 W13         N/A  TC   5           
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     43  27  52 SW14G25     N/A  TC   6           

$$


Expires:No;;379689
FXUS61 KBTV 070758
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
358 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Cooler weather is expected today and Saturday after yesterday's cold 
frontal passage. Today will be blustery with gusty northwest winds, 
and there may be a few passing light snow showers or flurries across 
the Northeast Kingdom. Otherwise, dry conditions can be expected 
over the weekend and through much of next week. Sunday will see the 
start of a gradual warming trend with highs to be some 15 to 20 
degrees above normal by mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 339 AM EDT Friday...A secondary cold front currently lies just
to our northwest this morning and it will slowly push southward
through the day today. So while we'll start out with some sunshine,
clouds will increase by mid-morning as the front and its associated
upper shortwave cross our region. Moisture is pretty scanty with
this front, so don't anticipate much more than some passing flurries
or light snow showers, mainly over the Northeast Kingdom. The bigger
impact will be the cold air advection, which will help to steepen
lapse rates and enhance mixing. Winds will be gusty out of the
west/northwest as a result, with gusts of 25 to 35 mph expected.
Mixing will also serve to lower dewpoints this afternoon; have
continued with the idea of minimum relative humidities dropping into
the 25 to 35 percent range. Given the gusty winds, fire weather
concerns are heightened, but overall fuels remain wet, which helps
to lessen the threat. Highs today will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

The chilly weather continues tonight and right into Saturday as high
pressure starts to build into our area. Winds will subside a bit
this evening, but there should be just enough gradient to preclude
optimal radiational cooling conditions. Still, expect lows tonight
to drop into the teens and 20s. Thankfully, Saturday will see ample
sunshine and lighter winds than today. Highs will be a few degrees
warmer than today, mainly in the upper 30s to mid/upper 40s.
Dewpoints will once again drop through the day due to mixing;
widespread readings in the single digits are expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 341 AM EDT Friday...A very quiet period of wx is
anticipated as large 1036mb high pres builds directly over our
cwa. This large area of high pres wl result in very dry
conditions with large diurnal swings in temps btwn overnight
lows and daytime highs. For Sat night, given light winds and
clear skies have trended toward the cooler side of guidance with
lows ranging from the lower teens (NEK/SLK) to lower/mid 20s
CPV/SLV. For highs I tried to show a large spread btwn valleys
and summits, given dry airmass and steepening lapse rates with
values ranging from near freezing to lower 50s depending upon
elevation. Next target of opportunity, based on soundings was to
lower aftn dwpts toward the NBM 10th percentile, as drier air
aloft should mix toward the sfc, resulting in min rh values on
Sun aftn in upper teens to upper 20s. Winds during this period
wl be mainly light and trrn driven, given sfc high pres wl be
directly overhead, so not anticipating any fire wx headlines
attm.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 341 AM EDT Friday...Little change in guidance with high
confidence of above normal temperatures and dry conditions
prevailing for most of next week. The only weather of note, is a
minor backdoor cool front on Tues into Weds, but latest guidance
shows best advection staying north of our cwa. In addition, a
spot sprinkle is possible associated with some increasing mid
lvl moisture, but measurable qpf is not anticipated with this
feature. The next concern wl be potential for slightly stronger
850mb winds to mix toward the sfc late Tues into Weds,
supporting localized higher gusts in the 15 to 25 mph. These
winds, combined with near critical min rh's could provide us 
with some fire wx concerns for Tues/Weds time frame next week, 
especially acrs lower elevations where snow melt has occurred 
and fuels wl be drying under mostly sunny and warm conditions.
Have trended dwpts toward the NBM 10th percentile for most of
next week, given drier air aloft and potential for some mixing
toward the sfc. Also, have trended toward the warmest guidance,
supporting highs upper 50s to mid 60s Tues, well into the 60s to
near 70F on Weds, and upper 60s to mid 70s on Thurs. We will
continue to monitor trends and make necessary adjustments to
winds/rh's as confidence increases on the potential for mixing
for the Tues/Weds time frame. Otherwise, expecting a dry and
very warm week ahead, associated with large dome of high pres
parked acrs the eastern CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...Conditions to remain mainly VFR through
the TAF period. Mid/high clouds streaming overhead through 13z,
then scattered to broken low cloud deck will develop 
thereafter, mainly 3500-5000 ft, though KEFK will have ceilings
right around 3000 ft. West/southwest winds 5 to 10 kt will turn
more toward the northwest through early Friday morning. Winds
will increase sharply by 12z, with speeds 10-15 kt with gusts
around 25 kt. Winds will subside after 00z. 

Outlook...

Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Taber
LONG TERM...Taber
AVIATION...Hastings/Neiles

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html

ATOM RSS1 RSS2