Expires:202305271800;;153101
FPUS51 KBTV 271044
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
641 AM EDT Sat May 27 2023
VTZ018-271800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
641 AM EDT Sat May 27 2023
.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
10 mph.
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and variable
winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around
10 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around
10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Highs in the
lower 80s. Lows around 60.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s.
$$
Expires:202305271100;;152581
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT MAY 27 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 45 40 82 SE3 30.32R TC 7
MONTPELIER CLEAR 39 35 86 CALM 30.35S TC 4
MORRISVILLE CLEAR 37 34 89 CALM 30.34R TC 3
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 38 35 89 MISG 30.32R TC 3
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 39 36 91 CALM 30.34R TC 4
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 39 39 97 CALM 30.33R TC 4
RUTLAND* CLEAR 40 36 86 SE6 30.35R TC 4
SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 39 37 92 CALM 30.35R TC 4
NEWPORT* FAIR 42 38 86 CALM 30.33R TC 6
BENNINGTON CLEAR 39 32 76 CALM 30.35R TC 4
ISLAND POND* N/A 32 N/A N/A CALM N/A TC 0
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 34 N/A N/A MISG N/A TC 1
LAKE EDEN* N/A 39 N/A N/A CALM N/A TC 4
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 46 N/A N/A CALM N/A TC 8
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 54 43 66 S8 N/A TC 12
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 50 43 76 S7 N/A TC 10
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 48 45 87 SW6 N/A TC 9
$$
Expires:No;;153307
FXUS61 KBTV 271047
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
647 AM EDT Sat May 27 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure anchored across the North Country this weekend
will result in dry conditions and warm temperatures. Today we
will see temperatures in the mid 70s to near 80 under mostly
sunny skies. On Sunday temperatures climb well into the 80s, but
humidity levels will remain low. A weak backdoor front pushes
across Vermont with slightly cooler temperatures for Monday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 641 AM EDT Saturday...Minor tweak to increase clouds as IR
and early morning vis satl imagery shows mid lvl clouds angling
toward northern VT, including the NEK. Otherwise a cool start
with temps ranging from near 30F SLK/Island Pond to mid/upper
40s locally here in the CPV. Wl have to see if clouds impact
temps today, but overall a wonderful day is anticipated for our
cwa.
Previous discussion below:
A large and expansive dome of high pres is centered acrs the
central Great Lakes with dry northerly flow prevailing over the
ne conus. Water vapor shows weak embedded lobe of mid lvl
moisture advecting toward the International Border, which wl
result in some intervals of mid lvl clouds today. The main
challenge this weekend wl be temps given warming 925mb thermal
profiles. Progged 925mb temps near 18C today support highs mid
70s to lower 80s, warm another 1 to 3C on Sunday with values 19C
to 21C acrs our fa. These values with plenty of dry air and
good mixing support highs well into the 80s on Sunday with maybe
a spot 90 or two in the warmer urban centers of the CPV. Have
noted some drier dwpts near 900mb this aftn, which with good
mixing should result in lowering sfc dwpts and min rh's in the
26 to 32% range. Have utilized the NBM 10th percentile dwpts to
capture this potential. Also, blended some lower dwpts on
Sunday, based on mixing up to 850mb per latest sounding data.
For tonight, temps wl be 3 to 7 degrees warmer with lows
mid/upper 30s NEK/SLK to l/m 50s CPV and parts of the SLV. Winds
remain light and mainly trrn driven thru the period.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 305 AM EDT Saturday...A backdoor cold front will be the main
feature of the short term period due to high pressure dropping
southeastward across Quebec. Perhaps a narrow band of moisture could
accompany the front through the North Country, which could result in
a few extra clouds, but no precipitation is anticipated. Model
soundings are showing some CAPE across the Adirondacks during the
afternoon Monday, but subsidence from high pressure should limit any
shower/t-storm production. Lows Sunday night are expected to be
around average in the 50s for most, but this front could cause
temperatures to be slightly lower Monday than Sunday, with highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s, still well above normal with mostly
sunny skies. Winds will start Sunday night out of the northwest, but
switch around to the southeast with the frontal passage.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 305 AM EDT Saturday...Warm, dry weather continues into midweek
with a Rex Block pattern in place. Highs will be steadily rising
each day through late week, with temperatures reaching the 80s each
day and potentially even some spots hitting 90 F Thursday under high
pressure. Winds will return out of the north/northwest throughout
the week, which we often associate with cooler temps, but this time
we'll actually be advecting in warmer air. Despite high pressure
keeping most of the forecast area dry, the heat and forcing ahead of
the next backdoor cold front could trigger a couple showers or
thunderstorms in the higher terrain Thursday afternoon and evening
with PoPs up to 30% at most.
A challenging part of the forecast continues to be timing the
eventual breakdown of the Rex Block. Our next chance of more
widespread precipitation looks to be toward the end of the week
along the previously mentioned backdoor front. Currently have only
30-40% chance of precip for Friday as confidence is relatively low,
but this cold front appears stronger than the one mentioned in the
short term, dropping temperatures to the lower and mid-80s Friday,
then potentially even bringing us back into the 70s again Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 12Z Sunday...VFR conditions prevail at all taf sites
for the next 12 to 24 hours. Intervals of mid lvl clouds are
possible from time to time over the next 6 to 12 hours,
especially EFK/MPV, but no impacts anticipated. Winds light and
trrn driven this morning, become southwest to northwest at 4 to
8 knots, except southeast at PBG. Given developing 10 to 15
knots developing 200 to 500 ft off deck and no recent rainfall,
not anticipating fog/br again overnight.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Memorial Day: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Storm
LONG TERM...Storm
AVIATION...Taber
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