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November 1999, Week 4

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Subject:
Re: Winter? or "Definitely Losing It"
From:
CHris Davies <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 28 Nov 1999 12:42:46 -0800
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (68 lines)
Oh man i sure as hell hope hes right.  I heard that global warrming has been
happening for thousands of years, anyone else hear about this, i think i saw
it on abc news or something.   I would take another bad year of snow for an
ice age, hell yeah!
~CHris

Skip King wrote:

> Jim wrote:
>
> > pretty. :-)  Rumor has it that we are going to have a very snowy
> > December that will help but supposedly the rest of the winter is going
> > to suck.  If scientists are correct about what's happening with the
> > globe in the upcoming years then even eastern areas heavily dependent
> > on snowmaking may not survive.  Can anyone imagine prime mid-winter
> > conditions being like what's at Killington right now?  Scary thought.
> >  Jim
>
> This all goes into the FWIW category.... it is a scary thought
> indeed, but there're other schools of thought regarding some of
> Jim's points... there are indications that the NAO (North Atlantic
> Oscillation, for lack of better terms, Atlantic equivalent of the
> ENSO/La Nina cycle) is going to have a negative tilt this year and
> may have a negative tilt for a good long while.... these negative tilts
> are VERY favorable to lotsa snow in the Northeast. (suggest a look
> at http://www.intellicast.com/DrDewpoint/Library/1103/ for a deeper
> understanding -- Dr. D. is pen name of intellicast chief
> meterorolgist Dr. Joseph D'Aleo.
>
> One of my local meteorologist buds, by the way, is just finishing up
> his doctorate in global climatology.. his thesis, based on extensive
> study of ice core samples on the Greenland ice sheets, is that
> we're actually overdue for the start of a mini-ice age.  Scratched my
> head about this four years ago when he told me that we were in a
> five year period which would signal the changeover... predicted then
> that winter weather in New England would be wildly variable and
> pretty frustrating for ski resort operators during that period.
> Obviously, too soon to tell if he's right or not, but he had that four
> year thing pretty well nailed... on recent query, he allowed as how if
> global warming was in fact a result of human activity all it was
> doing was forestalling the inevitable.
>
> FWIW, in a private correspondence regarding last winter's weather,
> Dr. D'Aleo told me:
>
>  "In addition, the eastern tropical Pacific was especially slow to
> cool. It really didn't drop and stay below normal until this spring.
> Now it is cold. And so is the atmosphere. The global mean 500mb
> temperatures are near the coldest since satellite measurements
> began in 1979."
>
> It's that last that I find intriguing with regard to global warming
> theory...
>
> Time to go split wood?
>
> skip
>
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