Expires:202301011000;;872138
FPUS51 KBTV 010232
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
929 PM EST Sat Dec 31 2022
VTZ018-011000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
929 PM EST Sat Dec 31 2022
.REST OF TONIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
.NEW YEARS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and
variable winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Light and
variable winds.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers or a chance of freezing rain. Highs in
the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely or a chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of precipitation
70 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Highs in the mid 20s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the upper 20s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs
in the lower 30s.
$$
Expires:202301011200;;895527
ASUS41 KBTV 011130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN JAN 01 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-011200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 47 44 90 NW8 29.70R
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 47 42 83 VRB6 29.68R
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 47 43 86 NW7 29.67R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 37 36 96 MISG 29.62R
LYNDONVILLE* N/A 44 43 97 W9G21 29.65R FOG
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 46 46 100 CALM 29.70R
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 50 43 76 W13G18 29.72R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 35 34 96 CALM 29.68R FOG
HIGHGATE* N/A 42 41 96 NW3 29.72R FOG
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 44 41 92 CALM 29.66R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 46 36 68 W13G23 29.77R
ISLAND POND* N/A 45 N/A N/A W12 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 45 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 43 N/A N/A SW5 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 36 N/A N/A W37G51 N/A WCI 21
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 46 41 81 NW21 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 52 41 66 W8G15 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;894874
FXUS61 KBTV 011121
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
621 AM EST Sun Jan 1 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
Warm temperatures continue across the region through the first half
of this week. Midweek brings another round of precipitation that
could bring a wintry mix early on Tuesday and around of snow on
Thursday. The back half of the week will see quieter weather and a
return to more seasonable temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Sunday...A mix of rain and foggy conditions
continues this morning which should being to taper off in most of
the valleys by sunrise. While in the higher elevations and NEK,
chances for seeing snow will continue throughout the morning as we
shift to northwesterly flow as the surface trough moves out of the
region. Overall, snowfall does not look to be too impactful, just a
dusting to 2" along the higher elevations. New Years Day high
temperatures will reach the lower to mid 40s before temps to fall
during the afternoon as the cold front moves the region.
New Years night again looks dry in the valleys with continued
chances for some light snow in the higher elevations. Even with the
push of colder air into the region, the airmass won't change
significantly as overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to lower
30s, well above seasonal normals.
Monday will see more of the same as weak high pressure will move in
early on Monday keeping the valleys dry, but a weak shortwave could
bring another round of snow showers across the higher elevations.
look for high temperatures in the 30s to low 40s
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 303 AM EST Sunday...High pressure will shift off to our east
Monday night, making way for low pressure developing over the
Midwest. This feature will gradually lift north and east, crossing
the Great Lakes late Tuesday and eventually moving just to our north
Tuesday night. Strong warm air advection will take place Monday
night and Tuesday on a 70+ kt southwest 850mb jet, resulting in an
area of steady precipitation lifting into our area late Monday night
and Tuesday. Temperatures in the wider valleys will quickly warm
above freezing with the onset of precipitation, but the cold air
will likely be harder to scour out in the usual sheltered locations
east of the Adirondacks and Greens, as well as the northern St
Lawrence Valley. Hence a brief period of freezing rain will be
possible in these areas Tuesday morning as warmer air spreads over
colder air trapped at the surface. However, expect temperatures to
warm above freezing by late morning/noon time, so any ice
accumulation would be minimal, just a few hundredths or so.
Widespread rain showers are expected by Tuesday afternoon. Given
favorable jet dynamics and PWATs up to 1.25 inches (3-4 standard
deviations more than normal), some briefly moderate to heavy
rainfall will be possible. The warm air advection rain will quickly
lift north of the international border Tuesday evening, with hints
of a possible dry slot working into our area, so showers should
become more scattered in nature overnight. Given the fast movement
of this system, rainfall totals through Tuesday night will range
from a third to three-quarters of an inch. Daytime highs on Tuesday
will be coolest east of the Greens where warming will be slowest;
these areas will top out in the lower 40s. Elsewhere, highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s are expected, with the southern St Lawrence
Valley seeing the mildest conditions. That being said, temperatures
will likely continue to warm overnight, and expect most locations to
at least approach 50 by early Wednesday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Sunday...Things look fairly unsettled for at least
the first half of the extended period with the aforementioned cold
front remaining in the vicinity. The front will push southward
through our region on Wednesday, and daytime highs will rely heavily
on how quickly it exits to our south. Given how models have
struggled with the recent mild spell, have stayed closer to the
slower and warmer solutions for Wednesday, and think the front won't
clear our area until late Wednesday evening. This gives highs
ranging from the lower 50s in the north, where the front will move
through earlier in the day, to nearly 60F in southern locations.
Expect there'll be a resurgence in precipitation as the front moves
through; the CMC is particularly robust as it develops a wave of low
pressure that traverses along the front which would slide just to
our south. Much cooler and drier air will spread over the area
behind the front, changing rain showers over to snow as
precipitation winds to an end by Thursday morning. Thereafter, other
than the fact it'll be sharply colder after Wednesday's mild
temperatures, things are somewhat uncertain as models are struggling
with the evolution of the upper trough, allowing several lobes of
vorticity to rotate over or very near New England. The air behind
the front will be quite dry, so even should one of these upper
shortwaves move overhead, precipitation chances would be low due to
lack of moisture. Have stayed close to a model blend for the end of
the week given the model differences. Temperatures will definitely
feel cold, especially Thursday when we'll only top out in the 20s.
There should be a warming trend for Friday and Saturday, with us
returning to near or slightly above normal by the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 12Z Monday...A mix of MFVR to LIFR around the region
with KPBG being the one exception, currently VFR. west-
northwest 5 to 10 knots by 12z Sunday. MSS/SLK will generally
see IFR throughout the day with some bouncing back and forth
between LIFR and MVFR. While all other stations will range
between VFR and MVFR over the TAF period. Winds be out of the
west/northwest at 5-10 kts before increasing to 10-15kts after
15z before decreasing back below 10kts after 21z.
Outlook...
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance RA,
Slight chance SN.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
FZRA.
Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Definite SHRA, Chance
FZRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance
SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NOAA Weather Radio WXM-44 atop Mount Ascutney is currently off
the air due to a suspected problem with the RF transmission
cable/jumper at the antenna. A site visit will be necessary to
isolate the issue and, unfortunately, a return to service is
unknown at this time.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Verasamy
NEAR TERM...Verasamy
SHORT TERM...Hastings
LONG TERM...Hastings
AVIATION...Verasamy
EQUIPMENT...BTV
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.
To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html
|
