Expires:202003032100;;424267
FPUS51 KBTV 031138
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
635 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020
VTZ006-032100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
635 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020
.TODAY...Areas of fog this morning. Cloudy with a slight chance
of light snow this morning, then partly sunny with a chance of
rain this afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s. Light and variable
winds, becoming southeast around 10 mph this afternoon. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Rain. Snow likely after midnight. Snow accumulation a
dusting to 2 inches. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph, becoming southwest with gusts up to 25 mph after
midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of snow showers. A chance of
rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely in the
afternoon. Additional snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches
possible. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Additional light snow accumulation possible. Lows in the
upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs in the
upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the
upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow.
Lows 10 to 15.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10 above.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
$$
Expires:202003031200;;423873
ASUS41 KBTV 031130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE MAR 03 2020
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-031200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 37 35 92 CALM 29.68S
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 37 34 89 CALM 29.69F
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 33 32 96 SW3 29.68S FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 34 32 92 MISG 29.66S
LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 33 32 96 CALM 29.68S
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 38 36 91 SE3 29.68S
RUTLAND* FAIR 45 39 81 SW5 29.70R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 34 30 85 CALM 29.70S
HIGHGATE* FAIR 33 32 96 CALM 29.69S FOG
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 34 34 100 CALM 29.67S
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 43 34 70 CALM 29.71R
ISLAND POND* N/A 32 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 32 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 36 N/A N/A NW26 N/A WCI 23
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 37 36 93 NE5 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 36 36 100 E5 N/A WCI 32
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 39 37 93 NW1 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;424672
FXUS61 KBTV 031148
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
648 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
Relatively dry conditions with above normal temperatures are
expected today across the North Country. Change comes quickly
this evening as a trough of low pressure brings widespread
precipitation to the entire area. The majority of the
precipitation will be in the form of rain, but transition to
some snow as precipitation decreases in areal coverage early
Wednesday morning. There will still be some lingering rain and
snow showers throughout the day on Wednesday before cooler and
drier weather moves in on Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 648 AM EST Tuesday...Overall forecast in good shape with
only minor tweaks needed at this time. Still dealing with a
little fog this morning, which should dissipate by mid-morning,
and quite a bit of cloud cover. There are a few breaks in the
overcast and have accounted for this in the grids. Any lingering
showers over northeast Vermont will be dissipating over the
next couple of hours and going forecast has this covered well.
Previous Discussion...
A band of showers extending from northwest Vermont into Essex
County New York will continue moving eastward early this
morning. The band should exit the area by 700 am or 800 am and
relatively dry conditions develop for the rest of the morning
and early afternoon. Change take place later this afternoon as
deeper moisture moves up into the area on southwest flow aloft.
Upstream shortwave trough will increase dynamic support at the
same time and we should see fairly widespread precipitation
spread from southwest to northeast across the area. With highs
in the 40s to around 50 the precipitation will be in the form of
rain. The area coverage or rain should reach its peak during
the first half of the night, then precipitation lifts northeast
of the area. As it does some colder air begins to move back into
the region, especially across the far northern portions of New
York and Vermont. Entire area will be in broad cyclonic flow
aloft and we should still have showers lingering around,
especially in the mountains. With highs in the mid 30s to mid
40s the showers will be either rain or snow. From late Tuesday
night into Wednesday the mountains could see 1 to 4 inches with
an inch or less at the lower elevations. One item of note on
Wednesday will be deeper mixing based on forecast soundings.
Thus with stronger flow aloft over the area...we should see
sustained winds in the 10 to 20 mph range from the west and
gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 353 AM EST Tuesday...Wednesday night into Thursday,
departing system will quickly intensify after shifting east of
our area. Lingering moisture and sufficient low-level lapse
rates should allow for some terrain- dependent snow showers
overnight with lows in the 20s to lower 30s. By Thursday
morning, moisture begins to thin and snow showers should come to
an end by late morning. This should lead to dry conditions with
clouds scattering out some. Westerly flow will become more
southwesterly, and some slightly warmer air will advect into the
region Thursday afternoon. Anticipate most areas will top out
in the mid 30s to upper 30s in the Adirondacks and Northeast
Kingdom, with near 40 to mid 40s in the valleys.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 353 AM EST Tuesday...A surface low will track southeast
from the Great Lakes region and pass to our south under the
influence of a building upper ridge and a developing low in the
Atlantic Ocean. How far south this weak low moves varies between
latest 00Z deterministic guidance. However, all the dynamics of
this low quickly wanes as the coastal low begins to develop in
earnest well offshore. The Great Lakes low will open up. With
marginal moisture and north winds, light snow will be possible
Friday before dry air quickly brings precipitation chances to a
close.
Briefly cooler conditions on Saturday as surface high settles
overhead. By Saturday night, a strong mid-level ridge will progress
eastwards and we will quickly moderate and be back in the 40s by
Sunday with mostly dry conditions. Another surface high will begin
to build over the Hudson Bay, with a thin area of mid-level moisture
streaming east between the two highs. This could cause some very
light precipitation while we await the surface low next Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...Ceilings will generally be in the MVFR
and VFR categories...but over northern New York there will be
periods where ceilings are below 1000 feet through 15z. Fog
will continue to exist across parts the area with IFR/MVFR
visibilities expected through 15z. Overall conditions will
improve after 15z with ceilings and visibilities generally in
the MVFR and VFR categories. However...after 23z rain will
become widespread through the remainder of the period as a
trough of low pressure moves into the region. Conditions will
return to the IFR and MVFR categories. In addition...low level
wind shear will develop over the area with south to southeast
winds of 30 knots at 2000 feet and generally light and variable
winds at the surface. After 06z a cold front will move across
the area and winds will become more west and southwest with
speeds in the 10 to 15 knot range. Precipitation will be
moving out of the area, but some spots will see rain change to
snow. Visibilities will generally be in the MVFR and VFR
categories.
Outlook...
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SN.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance RA, Chance
SN.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SN.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Haynes
LONG TERM...Haynes
AVIATION...Evenson
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