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December 2017, Week 5

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Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 29 Dec 2017 06:50:02 -0500
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Expires:201712292100;;627338
FPUS51 KBTV 291124
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
621 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017


VTZ006-292100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
621 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017

.TODAY...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of light snow. Highs around
1 above. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of light snow until
midnight, then partly cloudy after midnight. Cold with lows around
12 below. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent.
Wind chill values as low as 27 below. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a
slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs around
7 above. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 20 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Cold with lows around 12 below. Northwest winds around
10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 29 below. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Cold with highs around 2 below. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. Wind chill values as low as 32 below. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold with lows 15 below to 20 below
zero. 
.NEW YEARS DAY...Partly sunny. Cold with highs around 5 below. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold with lows around 20 below. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs 5 to 10 above. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around zero. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 15. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Cold with lows around zero. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs around 10 above. 

$$


Expires:201712291200;;627665
ASUS41 KBTV 291130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI DEC 29 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    -7 -14  71 E8        30.33F WCI -23          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY   -17 -20  86 CALM      30.25S                  
MORRISVILLE      N/A     -4 -22  41 S3        30.28S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A    -19 -23  81 MISG      30.28F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR     -20 -26  74 W3        30.22S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR     -10 -15  78 CALM      30.31S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY   -11 -15  82 MISG        N/A                   
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    -8 -15  71 CALM      30.28F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR     -12 -17  80 CALM      30.35S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR     -19 -24  77 SW3       30.25S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    -6 -13  71 CALM      30.27F                  
SUTTON*          N/A    -17 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A    -26 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A    -22 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A    -15 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -4 N/A N/A NW24        N/A  WCI -29          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A      1  -6  71 N5          N/A  WCI  -8          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A      3  -8  60 W9          N/A  WCI -11          

$$


Expires:No;;623003
FXUS61 KBTV 290925
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
425 AM EST Fri Dec 29 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Below normal temperatures...on the order of 20 to 25 degrees
below normal...will continue through this weekend and into much
of next week. Winds will not be as strong as the past couple of
days and as a result wind chills will not be a concern.
However...there will be two periods of gusty northwest winds and
very cold temperatures... this Sunday and Monday and again for
the middle part of next week... that will result in wind chill
issues.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 425 AM EST Friday...Wind chill warnings and advisories 
have been cancelled as winds are generally under 5 mph. It still
remains very cold...but wind not a factor anymore. 
Otherwise...shortwave trough coming out of the eastern Great 
Lakes will enhance dynamic support over parts of the area today.
Moisture should become sufficiently deep over the northern half
of Vermont later this morning and especially this afternoon and
evening for the development of some light snow. Most favorable 
location will be over the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont. High 
temperatures today will generally be in the single digits above 
zero...which is a few degrees warmer than yesterday.

Any light snow over northeast Vermont this evening will come to
an end and skies will start to clear out. With cold air mass 
still over the region overnight lows will be from 5 below to 15 
below with some mountain locations pushing 20 below. On 
Saturday...clouds will be increasing across the area as upper 
low moves into the region. The threat for light snow and snow 
showers will exist...especially in the afternoon. Saturday looks
to be the warmest day of the coming days with highs in the 5 to
15 above range.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 425 AM EST Friday...Upper level shortwave continues to 
move through the region Saturday night, bringing with it minimal
precipitation, mostly across the southern counties. Overall, 
look for amounts of an inch or less across the CWA. As the 
shortwave departs, the next round of arctic air moves in during 
the day Sunday, leading to another day of temperatures 
struggling to get back to zero across most of the area. 


&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 425 AM EST Friday...The long term will offer no lasting 
relief from the bitter cold with New Year's Eve and Day bringing
another round of temperatures 25 to almost 30 degrees below 
seasonal normals. Brisk northwesterly winds through this 
timeframe will likely lead to another period of wind chill 
advisories/warnings across the CWA. Those looking to venture 
outdoors for New Years Eve/New Years activities should be 
prepared for bitter cold and plan in advance to wear many layers
and take precautions against frostbite. 

Tuesday will see a brief pattern change as a strengthening shortwave 
will dig through the central US into the southeastern US, bringing 
some warmer southwesterly air into the northeast. This will bring 
daytime highs into the double digits through the midweek with some 
valley locations pushing near 20 degrees. Compared to the prior 
week, this will feel like a heat wave.  

The shortwave swings through the region Thursday and looks to bring 
some widespread snow showers, though models still don't have a firm 
grasp on how exactly the system will play out at this time. Though, 
things look to take yet another plunge in as another shot of arctic 
air looks to move in at the very end of the period. 

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR conditions expected through the
period with the exception of possible MVFR conditions at KBTV
through 12z as clouds from Lake Champlain move toward the area.
Otherwise expecting increasing mid and high level clouds as the
day wears on...but ceilings will remain above 5000 feet. Winds
will generally be under 10 knots through the period.

Outlook...

Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
New Years Day: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
The KTYX (Montague NY) radar will be out of service into the
weekend and possibly early next week as a motor and power 
supply have failed. Parts are on order and are scheduled to
arrive tomorrow.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Verasamy
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Evenson
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV

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