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SKIVT-L  March 2019, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2019, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 17 Mar 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (227 lines)

Expires:201903172000;;505208
FPUS51 KBTV 171042
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
639 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2019


VTZ006-172000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
639 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers.
Lows around 15. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds around
10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 9 above. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 10 to 15. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the mid 30s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows 10 to 15. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 30. 

$$


Expires:201903171100;;504832
ASUS41 KBTV 171030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 17 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    22   7  52 NW13      30.09R WCI  10          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  18  14  84 NW12      30.06R FOG     WCI   5  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    20   4  50 NW15      30.06R WCI   6          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     21  10  62 MISG      30.02R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      18   8  65 SW12      30.01R WCI   6          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    22  13  66 N8        30.08R WCI  13          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    25  11  55 NW7       30.04R WCI  17          
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    26   6  42 NW7       30.04R WCI  18          
HIGHGATE*        N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
NEWPORT*       FAIR      17   4  57 W7        30.02R WCI   7          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    26  12  55 VRB6      30.06R WCI  19          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A NW10        N/A  WCI   3          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     18 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     16 N/A N/A SW3         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     25   9  50 NW13G20     N/A  WCI  13          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     25  10  54 NW12        N/A  WCI  14          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     27  14  59 N10G20      N/A  WCI  17          

$$


Expires:No;;497518
FXUS61 KBTV 170730
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
330 AM EDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
The area will continue to experience below normal temperatures
and some scattered snow showers through Monday morning, before a
drying trend kicks off the work week. Temperatures will remain 
below seasonal norms through Tuesday night, but increasing 
southerly flow Wednesday will allow temperatures to return to 
near or just above normal values. Precipitation chances increase
Wednesday night through Thursday as a trough moves through. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 321 AM EDT Sunday...Radar imagery shows diminishing snow 
showers in the wake of the passage of a weak trough earlier this 
morning. As an upper-level wave exits to the east, lack of any 
real forcing to speak of will support a general drying trend 
through the remainder of the morning. There may be a few 
exceptions where a stray snow shower may linger through around 
dawn though, (including Burlington, where northwesterly flow 
snow showers are notoriously hard to shut off). After dawn
though, most areas should be dry. However, HiRes models are 
indicating a reblossoming of some scattered snow showers this 
afternoon amid an increasingly unstable lower atmosphere. Deep 
forcing/moisture is lacking however, so not expecting any 
accumulations. In addition to some scattered convective snow 
showers, a well mixed boundary layer extending to 800 mb or so 
will support some westerly gusts, generally 10-20 mph, during 
the afternoon hours. Highs today will be in the upper 20s to low
30s.

Another weak shortwave will move through the area tonight, which 
will maintain some scattered light snow shower activity through
the overnight hours. Portions of the northern Adirondacks may 
pick up a dusting to a few tenths of an inch thanks to some 
modest moisture advecting eastward off of Lake Ontario, but not 
expecting any accumulations further east in Vermont. Winds will 
diminish overnight tonight, allowing temperatures to drop into 
the teens. 

Broad cyclonic flow will remain over the region Monday, keeping
generally unsettled, cloudy weather in place. Monday does look
to trend drier though in the absence of any upper waves progged
to move through. However, can't rule out a stray snow shower
here or there with continued instability in the low-levels.
Highs will once again be below normal in the upper 20s to low 
30s.


&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 321 AM EDT Sunday...Area remains in northwest flow aloft Monday
night and Tuesday. This will result in below normal
temperatures...especially with low temperatures Monday night with
lows in the single digits and teens. Highs on Tuesday will generally
be in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Not expecting any precipitation
during this period with drier air and surface high pressure building
into the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 321 AM EDT Sunday...Dry weather continues Tuesday night into
the first half of Wednesday. Warm air advection develops as flow
aloft backs to the west and southwest. While low temperatures
Tuesday night will be at or below normal we should see at or above
normal temperatures on Wednesday with highs in the upper 30s to mid
40s. The backed flow to the southwest is an indication an upper
level trough is approaching and chances for precipitation will
increase as the trough moves across the area Wednesday night into
Thursday. Have gone with a chance of rain or snow showers Wednesday
night and a chance of rain showers for Thursday with snow showers
confined to the higher elevations. Starting Thursday night and
continuing into the weekend we will have northwest flow aloft become
established over the area and thus expecting a return to below
normal temperatures and drier weather with just a chance for some
lingering snow showers on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Snow showers are diminishing over the area
early this morning after a band of heavier snow pushed through
over the last couple of hours. Expecting KMSS/KPBG/KRUT to be
mainly VFR through the remainder of the TAF period. KSLK, KBTV,
and KMPV will see snow showers lingering a littler longer
through the overnight hours, but expecting all of these sites to
trend VFR between 08Z and 12Z as snow showers end. After a
mainly dry end to the morning, HiRes models are indicating some
scattered snow showers redeveloping during the afternoon hours.
While conditions are expected to be primarily VFR through the
afternoon, any terminals that do see some passing snow showers
will see a temporary reduction to MVFR/IFR visibilities and
ceilings. Between 00Z and 06Z tonight, expecting a slight 
increase in snow shower activity over northern New York 
terminals as a weak upper wave moves through. 

Light westerly winds will continue through the morning, then
increase into the afternoon with some gusts 10-20 mph possible
between 15Z and 21Z. Winds will diminish after 00Z as high
pressure builds in. 

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHSN.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RSD
NEAR TERM...RSD
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...RSD

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February 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 5
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October 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 2
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 5
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