Expires:201606012000;;799408
FPUS51 KBTV 010721
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
319 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016


VTZ006-012000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
319 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. 

$$


Expires:201606011100;;806743
ASUS41 KBTV 011030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-011100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      60  50  69 NW6       30.12R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      53  50  89 CALM      30.16R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      55  52  89 CALM      30.14R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     55  51  86 MISG      30.10R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      57  53  85 NW3       30.14R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      51  49  92 SE5       30.13R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      51  48  89 CALM      30.12R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      57  49  74 N7        30.14R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      56  51  82 N8        30.15R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      49  46  90 CALM      30.09R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A N7          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  52  72 N2          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  52  72 N16         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  52  72 NW15        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;800279
FXUS61 KBTV 010747
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
347 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide fair and seasonably mild temperatures
into Thursday afternoon. A weak cold front will cross the area later
Thursday into the first half of Friday with scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms. High pressure and mainly dry weather then return
for Saturday before a trend toward cooler, more unsettled weather
arrives from Sunday onward into the early portions of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Another quiet 24 hours on tap for
the forecast area as deep layer ridging builds southward from
southern Canada. Blocked low-level northerly flow has fostered
some pesky stratocumulus early this morning from the Adirondacks
east into much of northern VT, but as background flow weakens and
the boundary layer deepens after sunrise expect this to dissipate
leaving a largely sunny day with just some passing thin high
clouds. High temperatures a blend of persistence and bias-
corrected MOS output offering values ranging from the mid 70s to
around 80 under tolerable humidity levels.

Then more of the same by tonight as high pressure remains atop the
region and edges eastward over time. Mainly clear to partly cloudy
skies continue as winds trend generally light south to
southeasterly, though somewhat higher along the western slopes of
the Greens and especially over Lake Champlain where low-level jet
development will push gusts in excess of 20 kts after midnight (see
marine section below). Low temperatures mainly ranging through the
50s to locally near 60F in the Champlain and St Lawrence Valleys.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 347 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper level shortwave approaches
from central Ontario with associated surface low skimming lower
James Bay on Thursday. This surface low will be dragging a cold
front across eastern North America, bring a chance of showers and
thunderstorms to northern New York, mainly during the afternoon
and evening. Ahead of this front, southerly flow with possible
development of low level jet will result in warm temperatures and
breezy conditions. Max temperatures expected to reach mid 70s to
low 80s for the Champlain valley and areas west. Green mountains
and areas east will be slightly cooler in more a southeasterly
flow.

Cold front will move across the North Country Thursday night into
Friday morning, helping to limit available instability and
thunderstorm potential. PWATS peak to 1-1.5 inches Thursday
afternoon but begin to decrease heading into early Friday morning.
Clouds and lingering showers expected over the high terrain and
areas east of the Champlain Valley, as models show weak vort max
moving across the North Country on Friday. PWATS will settle to
near average or less during the day, indicative of the drying
trend.

Temperatures continue to be above normal with mins in the 50s and
Friday maxes reaching the 70s with warmest daytime temps in the St
Lawrence Valley where best chance of clearing skies will be.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 347 AM EDT Wednesday...Generally drying Friday night, but
clouds remaining as upper trough affects the region with surface
ridging beginning to build in. Above normal temperatures continue
through the weekend with drier conditions for Saturday. Ridging
lines up at the surface and aloft Saturday into early Sunday
morning. This will be replaced by an upper longwave trough that
will bring an extended period of showers. Models continue to
differ on details but agree on the trough and associated surface
low becoming cut-off. Therefore the low looks to be slow to move
out of the region, keeping chances for periods of rain at least
Sunday night through the rest of the long term.

Temperatures will trend cooler throughout the period, with
slightly below normal temperatures expected for the new work week.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Through 06z Thursday...VFR through the forecast period. Have
removed all mention of potential br/fg at KSLK/KMPV terminals
through 12Z given cloud cover and persistent winds to 15 kts just
off the deck keeping near-surface RH levels lower than earlier
indications. SCT/BKN VFR cigs in the 040-070 AGL range to affect
northern terminals through 12Z, then trending SKC with passing SCT
high clouds above 200 AGL thereafter. No precipitation is
expected. Winds light north to northwesterly 5 to 10 kts through
12Z, then trending variable less than 10 kts thereafter at most
terminals with flow being heavily governed by lake breezes and/or
terrain-driven influences.

Outlook 06z Thursday through Sunday...

06Z Thursday through 00Z Friday...VFR/high pressure.

00Z Friday through 00Z Saturday...VFR with scattered
showers/isolated thunder and brief MVFR visibilities with passing
frontal boundary.

00Z Saturday onward...VFR/high pressure.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Southerly low level jet development
expected later tonight into Thursday as high pressure edges east
and a tightening pressure gradient develops ahead of approaching
weak front. Southerly winds expected to increase into the 10 to 20
knot range later this evening and especially overnight with speeds
increasing into the 20 to 30 knot range by Thursday. Choppy to
occasionally rough lake conditions are expected during this
period, especially on the broad lake and in bays/inlets with open
southerly exposures. Waves generally to run in the 1 to 3 foot
range from midnight tonight onward into Thursday, with local
values to 4 feet in the broad lake north of Willsboro and
Shelburne Points. These conditions may pose a hazard to small
craft.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...JMG
MARINE...JMG

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