469
FPUS51 KBTV 220815
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-221600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20
MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW 45 TO 50. SOUTH
WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 60.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY WITH A CHANCE OF LATE DAY SHOWERS. HIGH 60 TO
65.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...COLDER WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 30. HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-221600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW 40 TO 45. LIGHT
WIND.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF LATE DAY SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...COLDER WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S. HIGH 40 TO 45.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH NEAR 40.

$$

VTZ011-012-221600-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 60.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF LATE DAY SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...COOLER WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING SHOWERS. LOW
AROUND 40. HIGH IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGH 40 TO 45.

$$

NYZ026-027-221600-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGH IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF EVENING SPRINKLES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. LOW 45
TO 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 60.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 40.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...COLDER WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S. HIGH 40 TO 45.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-221600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
315 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGH NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW FROM THE UPPER 30S
TO THE MID 40S. LIGHT WIND.
.TUESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 55 TO 60.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...COLDER WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING SNOW SHOWERS. LOW
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGH 35 TO 40.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

ST. JEAN







                          National Weather Service
     Click for - [1]Internet problems during major weather? EMWIN live
               weather broadcast information available here.

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 220722
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
220 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

JET STREAM TO REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT...LEAVING A RATHER MUNDANE WEATHER FORECAST.  00 UTC
MODELS KEEPING PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER OVER THE REGION TODAY...YET
RISING THICKNESSES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH MAX TEMPERATURES IN
THE 60S JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE.

CLOUDS HANG AROUND TONIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE CUTS ACROSS CENTRAL QUEBEC
PROVINCE.  DON'T REALLY SEE ENOUGH DYNAMICS FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIP
CHANCES...HAVE WORDED ZONES FOR SPRINKLES.  WARM OVERNIGHT MIN
TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 30S IN THE DACKS TO NEAR 50 IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.

MODELS IMPLYING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AS A SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA.  SIGNIFICANT SUBSIDENCE SHOULD ERODE SOME
OF THE CLOUD COVER...SO HAVE FOLLOWED DAY SHIFT FORECAST TREND OF
BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  MAX TEMPERATURES 55-60F.

3 TO 5 DAY...PER 00 UTC AVN MODEL...MAIN PRECIP THREAT WILL BE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT FROM SYSTEM CURRENTLY BARRELING THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.  THERE MAY BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT
FROM ANY WARM FRONTAL BANDS THAT STRENGTHEN OUT AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM...BUT FOR NOW IT'S TOO SPECULATIVE TO ADD SHOWERS TO THE
FORECAST.  THE REST OF THE EXTENDED IS IN GOOD SHAPE.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220129
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
830 PM EST SUN NOV 21 1999

CLOUD COVER VARIES ACRS FA WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACRS SRN ADRNDKS
INTO CENTRAL VT WITH A MIX OF LOW AND MID CLDS IN MOHAWK VLY AND
LOW/HI CLDS ACRS ST LWRNC VLY AND NRN TIER.

MDLS INDICATE LLVL MOISTURE WL INCREASE DRG NGT FOR A PRETTY UNIFORM
SC LYR ACRS FA BUT ERLY CLRG WL ALLOW FOR SOME PTCHY FOG AND STRATUS.

PRVS FCST HAS A GOOD HNDL ON THIS SCENARIO AND THUS NO ANTICIPATED
CHGS TO SKY CONDS COME ZONE RELEASE. TMPS ALRDY AT FCST MIN LVLS AND
ANTICIPATED CLD CVR SHLD STABILIZE OR CAUSE TMPS TO RISE A BIT
OVRNGT. HERE...I/LL WAIT UNTIL RELEASE TIME TO MAKE ANY CHGS...MAY
WORD FCST AS TEMPS INSTEAD OF MINS LIKE KGYX DISCUSSED IN THEIR AFD.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 212012
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
311 PM EST SUN NOV 21 1999

THE BIG STORY THRU WEDNESDAY WL BE THE UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPS...AS
H5 RDG RMNS PARKED OVR ERN U.S. AND ADJACENT CSTL WATERS. XPC TEMPS
TO AVERAGE CLOSE TO 20 DEG ABV NORMAL THRU THIS PERIOD. MORE
SEASONABLE AIR ARRIVES THANKSGIVING. WITH RDG DOMINATING...NO SGFNT
PCPN EXPECTED TIL APRCH OF CDFNT LATER WED.

CLDS HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT IN ADRNDKS AND ST LWR VLY ALL DAY TDY...
WHILE A HEALTHY DOSE OF NOVEMBER SUN HAS PREVAILED ACRS REST OF FA.
AMT OF CLOUD COVER WL CONTINUE TO BE A FORECASTING PROBLEM NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. MODELS INDICATING AN INCR IN LLVL MSTR TONITE WHICH
SHUD RESULT IN SKIES BCMNG M/CLDY. WITH HIGH DWPTS AND GENERALLY CLR
SKIES FOR FIRST PART OF THE NITE HOWEVER...XPC SOME PTCHY FOG TO
FORM.

ON MONDAY...RDG AXIS MOVES EAST...TEMPORARILY. THIS ALLOWS SOME MID
LVL MSTR TO CIRCULATE ARND HI NORTHWARD INTO FA. XPC CLDS TO BE
DOMINANT...WITH SOME SUNNY INTERVALS PSBL. VERY LITTLE FORCING...
SO RISK OF PCPN MINIMAL. WL CONTINUE GOING FCST MENTIONING CHC
SPRINKLES.

BACKDOOR FRONT DROPS SOUTH FROM CANADA MON NITE RESULTING IN LOW POP
-SHRA. AVN MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS FEATURE THAN ETA/NGM...AND GIVEN
POSN OF UPR RDG...BELIEVE THE TRUTH LIES WITH ETA/NGM. AIRMASS BEHIND
THE FRONT STILL UNSEASONABLY MILD HOWEVER...SO REGARDLESS WHICH MODEL
IS CORRECT RE POSN OF FRONT...TEMPS ON TUES WL RMN WAY ABV NORMAL.

EXTENDED: CDFNT MOVES THRU FA WED NITE. BEST CHC SHWRS WL BE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE. MORE SEASONABLE TEMPS RETURN FOR
THURS/FRI. LINGERING SNOW/RAIN SHWRS THURS AM BEHIND FRONT.
UNSETTLED FRI WITH SHRTWV MOVG ACRS NORTH COUNTRY WITH WK SFC LOW
FCST TO BE OFF MID ATLC CST. WL INCLUDE CHC -SHSN.

RJS

.BTV...NONE.






     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 211557
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1057 AM EST SUN NOV 21 1999

LATEST STLT PICS SHOWING EXTENSIVE LOW CLDNSS OVR ADRNDKS AND ST LWR
VLY...WHILE A GOOD DEAL OF SUN PREVAILS ACRS REST OF FA.  WL BE
ADJUSTING FCST FOR VT ZONES AND CHMPLN VLY TO ACCOUNT FOR ADDED
SUN. WL ALSO TWEAK TEMPS UP A BIT IN THESE SAME ZONES...AND DOWN
A BIT IN ADRNDKS.

RJS

.BTV...NONE.






     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [2]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


576
ASUS51 KALB 221102
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 22 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-221200-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    45   41   86  CALM    30.24R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    38   37   96  CALM    30.30S
RUTLAND         N/A      46   41   83  CALM    30.26S
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      36   35   96  CALM    30.29R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    40   39   96  CALM    30.31R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    39   38   96  CALM    30.27S
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    47   44   89  CALM    30.26S

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$




                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      8:00 AM Friday November 19, 1999
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Andrew Lafleur_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Today: Cloudy start to the day then becoming mostly sunny in the late
   afternoon with highs in the upper 40's to near 50 degrees with a light
   southerly breeze.

   Tonight: Moonlit sky to start the night with clouds moving in during
   the late night and early morning hours keeping lows in the mid 30's
   with a south wind between 5-10 mph.

   Saturday: Partly sunny start to the day then by late afternoon
   increasing cloudiness giving us a chance of some scattered rain
   showers. It will be a mild day as highs will reach the low 50's.

   Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy night with the continued chance of
   scattered rain showers and lows will be in the low to mid 40's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday: Cloudy with the chance of scattered sprinkles in the morning
   then becoming partly sunny in the late afternoon with highs in the mid
   to upper 40's and overnight lows in the 30's.

   Monday: A beautiful start to the work week as we'll see plenty of
   sunshine and mild temperatures as highs will reach the low to mid
   50's.

   Tuesday: Another great day to get outside to enjoy the sunshine as
   highs again will reach the low 50's and overnight lows in the upper
   30's to lower 40's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Today looks to be a nice day as we'll sun plenty of sunshine to warm
   up the area making it a great day to take a walk around downtown St.
   Johnsbury as highs will approach the fifty degree mark. It will be a
   good sleeping night as lows will reach the mid 30's and will be a nice
   breeze to keep you cool. Saturday and Sunday don't look the best of
   days as we'll see some scattered rain showers start late Saturday
   afternoon and continue through Sunday morning before giving way to
   sunny skies again. Saturday looks to be the best chance of rain as a
   cold front will be moving through the area and will be out of the
   Northeast Kingdom on Sunday. After that front passes through the
   region we will see a high pressure system move into place and will
   give us plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures to start Thanksgiving
   week. The highs for the beginning of the work week will reach the low
   to mid 50's on both Monday and Tuesday. Have a great week and a great
   Thanksgiving!!!

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