Expires:201812142100;;768249
FPUS51 KBTV 140738
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
235 AM EST Fri Dec 14 2018


VTZ006-142100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
235 AM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

.TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of rain or snow showers this afternoon.
Highs in the mid 30s. South winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
this afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Rain showers likely, mainly until midnight. Lows
in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 17. Light and variable
winds. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Light and variable
winds. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.MONDAY...Snow likely. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the
lower 30s. Chance of snow 60 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Snow likely. Lows 15 to 20. Chance of snow
70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs around 20. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 5 to 10 above. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 20s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 

$$


Expires:201812141200;;777246
ASUS41 KBTV 141130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-141200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    34  27  75 S10       30.40S WCI  26          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    27  24  89 S6        30.43F WCI  20          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    16  16 100 CALM      30.42R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     25  20  81 MISG      30.43S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    25  21  85 S5          N/A  WCI  19          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    31  25  78 CALM      30.42F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    31  27  85 E10       30.42S WCI  22          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    25  22  88 CALM      30.48S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      32  28  86 S8        30.38R WCI  25          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      22  19  89 S5        30.39S WCI  16          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    32  27  81 CALM      30.41F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     23 N/A N/A E2          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     28 N/A N/A SW25G44     N/A  WCI  14          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     34  32  93 S18G25      N/A  WCI  23          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  32  93 S30         N/A  WCI  20          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  28  86 S14         N/A  WCI  22          

$$


Expires:No;;777306
FXUS61 KBTV 141133
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
633 AM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper trough passing north of the region will bring a scattered 
to numerous rain and snow showers to northern portions of the area 
late this afternoon through midnight before dry conditions return 
again for the weekend. A series of upper disturbances will bring 
periods of snow showers to the region next week, with the only 
potential dry day being Wednesday under high pressure.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Friday...Overall little change from the 
previous forecast thinking for the next 36 hours as the main 
weather-maker for the North Country will be an upper trough 
passing north of the region through central/southern Quebec. 
Through the day today we'll continue to see warm air advection 
move in from south to north associated with cutoff low pressure 
over the Ark-La-Tex region with temperatures moderating into the
mid/upper 30s and southerly winds gusting up the deeper valleys
in the 20-30 mph range. Precipitation in the form of mainly 
rain shifts across our northern tier zones late in the afternoon
through midnight as the upper trough moves from Ontario to 
Quebec, and thereafter significant mid-level drying develops so 
the remainder of the night should just be cloudy and dry with 
temps remaining mild in the 30s.

For Saturday, upper level ridging develops in the wake of the
exiting trough so a dry day is expected. Forecast challenge will be
temps as northerly flow develops early in the day as a weak surface
front drops into the region. Expect daytime highs to occur early
during the mid-morning to noon hours with temps thereafter slowly
falling. Just how warm we get will depend on fropa timing which is
difficult to pin down, but best guess is for another day of
mid/upper 30s before temps drop into the upper 20s to low 30s by
sunset.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Friday...Relatively quiet weather is expected
Saturday night into Sunday as high pressure is centered over
southern Quebec Province and Maine. As a result...dry weather is
expected for much of the period. The high eventually moves east
Sunday afternoon and we could see some moisture associated with a
low pressure system south of Long Island spread up into our southern
areas late in the day and bring some light rain or snow. Lows
Saturday night will be in the mid teens to mid 20s with highs on
Sunday in the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Friday...Moisture continues to lift up into 
the region Sunday night and there may be some light snow across 
the area with lows generally in the 20s. Better chances for 
precipitation will occur starting Monday afternoon and continue 
Monday night into Tuesday as well defined shortwave trough moves
down into the region. Dynamic support will be increasing over 
the area and with the flow aloft eventually turning 
northwest...upslope conditions will develop to further enhance 
precipitation...especially in the mountains. Highs on Monday 
will be in the 30s and valley locations could see a mix of rain 
or snow...but all areas will be cold enough for snow Monday 
night into Tuesday. Not a lot of moisture with this system...but
favorable sources of lift suggest mountains will see some 
accumulations. The northern Adirondacks of New York and 
especially the mountains across northern Vermont should see at 
least one to three inches with locally higher amounts possible. 
Cold air advection on Tuesday will keep highs only in the upper 
teens to mid 20s. Tuesday night will be the coldest night in the
extended as high pressure builds in with clearing skies and 
light winds developing. Should see lows in the zero to 10 above 
range and would not be surprised to see some below zero readings
in the northern Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom of Vermont. 
High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday and dry 
weather is expected along with a gradual warming trend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 12Z Saturday...Very tricky aviation forecast in regards
to cloud cover and ceilings this morning. Generally we've been
looking at a mix of MVFR and VFR from SKC-OVC, and ceilings are
mainly below 2500ft where it's BKN-OVC. Progressing through the
day any gaps in the clouds should fill and ceilings will 
gradually lower to MVFR area-wide by this afternoon as a 
disturbance aloft approaches from the NW. This feature will 
bring the some showers to mainly northern terminals after 18Z 
with perhaps a reduction to 5SM at times. Winds south/southeast 
through the period becoming gusty at 18-22kts at KBTV this 
afternoon.

Outlook...

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SN.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with areas VFR possible.
Likely SN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 303 AM EST Friday...A lake wind advisory remains in 
effect for Lake Champlain today as gusty south winds will 
persist. Sustained winds from 15 to 25 kts with occasional gusts
to 30 kts are expected through midnight before speeds slowly 
abate into Saturday morning. These conditions will produce a 
modest chop on open waters and in bays with southerly exposures.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Lahiff
MARINE...Lahiff

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