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Date: | Mon, 30 May 2016 06:50:01 -0400 |
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Expires:201605302000;;700395
FPUS51 KBTV 300654
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
252 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016
VTZ006-302000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
252 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY THIS
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS
UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
$$
Expires:201605301100;;709115
ASUS41 KBTV 301030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-301100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 69 64 84 S10 29.92R
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 59 58 96 CALM 30.02S FOG
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 61 60 97 S7 29.97F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 60 56 86 MISG 29.97F
LYNDONVILLE* DRIZZLE 58 56 96 SE5 30.01S
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 61 59 93 SE8 29.99S
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 58 56 93 S3 30.02S
HIGHGATE* DRIZZLE 68 65 89 S12G17 29.89S
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 60 59 95 S9 29.95F
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 66 64 93 CALM 29.99S
SUTTON* N/A 57 N/A N/A MISG N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 59 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 59 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 57 N/A N/A W15 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 68 64 88 SE12 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 64 100 SW15 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 68 66 94 S9 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;705034
FXUS61 KBTV 300838
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
438 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Cold front will finally push across the area today bringing
additional showers for today and cooler temperatures for the next
few days. Dry conditions are expected Tuesday through Thursday
with high temperatures generally in the mid to upper 70s and lower
humidity levels.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 430 AM EDT Monday...A surface cold front will push across
our forecast area today. We will have some showers in our area,
mainly across southern and eastern vermont. Scattered showers with
a few embedded thunderstorms can be expected. Temperatures will be
more mild than yesterday, therefore instability will be limited.
There should be enough unstable air to have a few isolated
thunderstorms though not mentioning enhanced wording at this time.
Best threat will be central into South central Vermont. Maximum
temperatures today will be in the lower to mid 80s. Drier air will
move into the region overnight behind departing cold front. Min
temperatures will be in the mid 50s to around 60.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 335 AM EDT Monday...Quiet, seasonably mild weather is then
expected for the Tuesday through Thursday time frame with surface
high pressure being the dominant weather feature. Other than a
passing sprinkle or light shower across the northern Green
Mountains on Tuesday with a passing upper shortwave trough, dry
weather is expected through the period. Daily high temperatures
will range from the mid 70s to lower 80s with overnight lows
generally in the 45 to 55 range with some variability.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 335 AM EDT Monday...By later in the week there is
increasing confidence that we'll return to an on and off showery
regime as a series of shortwave troughs/fronts push into the
region. There is broad agreement among this morning's models that
a weakening frontal zone will limp into the region by Thursday
night into Friday before washing out is it presses east by next
Saturday. Given the current consensus will maintain forecast
continuity offering chance pops for showers during this period
with little airmass change expected.
Thereafter confidence lowers in regard to potential development
of a larger-scale longwave trough or closed upper system to our
northwest and its eventual eastward movement/potential impacts.
Teleconnections and latest ensemble output does suggest
amplification of western conus ridging which would tend to foster
lowering heights/troughing from the upper Midwest/Great Lakes
eastward from Sunday onward into next week. However, deterministic
output remains at odds on how deep this feature will be, the
degree to which it digs south and east over time and what
interaction, if any it has with deeper moisture across the mid-
Atlantic/southeast. Given at least the broader consensus in this
overall troughing scenario will bring solid chance pops for
showers and possibly a few storms by later Sunday onward into next
Monday. Temperatures should remain within a few degrees of
seasonable levels with daily highs in the 70s and overnight lows
mainly in the 45 to 55 range.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Through 06z Tuesday...concerned with areas of BR possible with
locally dense fog at SLK due to today's rainfall. May see 4-6sm BR
at the remaining TAF locations during the pre-dawn period.
Generally VFR for the daylight hours on today. May see some
additional showers/isolated thunderstorms with peak afternoon
heating...with best chance of thunderstorms development across
central and s-central VT. Surface winds becoming generally S-SW
10-15kts late morning through the afternoon hours on Monday.
Outlook 06z Tuesday through Friday...Primarily VFR TUE-THU with
just a chance of late night fog each night at SLK/MPV mainly
07-11Z. Next frontal system and attendant upper level trough
approaching from the Great Lakes region will bring a chance for
showers Thursday night into Friday with brief intervals of MVFR to
IFR possible associated with rainfall.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Neiles
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