Expires:202209030800;;148147
FPUS51 KBTV 030509
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
105 AM EDT Sat Sep 3 2022
VTZ018-030800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
105 AM EDT Sat Sep 3 2022
.REST OF TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming
partly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.LABOR DAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of
rain 70 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Highs in the
mid 70s. Lows in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
$$
Expires:202209031100;;161107
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 03 2022
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 57 52 83 CALM 30.25R
MONTPELIER FOG 50 46 86 CALM 30.33R VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE FOG 47 46 97 SW3 30.30R VSB 1/4
LYNDONVILLE* N/A N/A N/A N/A MISG N/A
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 59 52 77 SE3 30.28R
RUTLAND* CLEAR 52 51 97 SE5 30.31R
SPRINGFIELD FOG 49 48 97 CALM 30.33R VSB 1/4
HIGHGATE* FAIR 55 54 96 CALM 30.24R
NEWPORT* FAIR 51 49 92 S5 30.29S
BENNINGTON PTCLDY 48 48 100 CALM 30.31R FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 43 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 45 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 50 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 59 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 66 55 68 N16 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 55 72 S22 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 63 55 77 S10 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;153892
FXUS61 KBTV 030752
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
352 AM EDT Sat Sep 3 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures will be on the warmer side today with dry conditions,
some breezes, and slowly increasing cloud cover. Scattered showers
and potential for thunderstorms return Sunday as a cold front drops
through the North Country before stalling towards the New England
coast. Better chances of wetting rains are expected for Monday as a
wave moves northward along the surface boundary with heaviest rains
across southern Vermont.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Saturday...Model consensus has changed very little
about expected conditions over the next 36 hours. After some morning
fog, another sunny day for the most is on tap. Temperatures will be
starting warmer than yesterday with slightly stronger southerly flow
for the region. The result will be afternoon highs running 3-8
degrees above seasonal averages in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Winds
aloft are slowly increasing this morning and will have enough mixing
to allow for some breezes today with gusts generally up to around 20
mph for locations like the northern Champlain and St Lawrence
valleys. Expect some choppy conditions on Lake Champlain especially
for the northern half. Cloud cover will slowly increase ahead of the
next system with high clouds for the afternoon lowering overnight.
Chances for rain showers a some thunderstorms start to increase
after midnight tonight as a cold front drops through the North
Country. Lapse rates could be steep enough for a few rumbles
overnight as the front moves from northwest to southeast. Rain
totals will generally be less than 0.25" outside of a few heavier
rains associated with convective elements. The front continues to be
presented as a progressive wave, but lifting upper level support
will cause the boundary to stall just south of Vermont late Sunday.
Heating Sunday will continue to support some chances for
thunderstorms, but will be more focused over the Adirondacks and
southern half of Vermont closer to the frontal boundary.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Saturday...Heading from Sunday night and into
Monday, Sunday's system becomes stalled. A thickness gradient will
be roughly stationary across the North Country while a compact upper
low over Missouri occasionally ejects convectively enhanced pieces
of vorticity and subtropical moisture across that boundary. For the
most part, activity seems widely scattered without too much to
provide a focus synoptically or convectively. The best instability
will be to the south, along with the better axis of moisture. So,
PoPs and rainfall totals will likely be highest southwards.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Saturday...Heading into Monday night and early
Tuesday, the main uncertainty will be how quickly a northern stream
trough descends across the area and moves moisture southwards.
There's also question about whether subtle waves along that moisture
axis could phase with that norther stream trough into a more well-
defined upper low. The precipitation forecast has a number of
nuances to it, but with northerly flow, it will continue to favor a
sharp gradient with the southern zones receiving the most
precipitation. Rain may be slow to pull away depending on the
evolution of the trough, but by midweek, the northern stream system
will dig well to our south with deep layer ridging arcing across the
northern US and surface high pressure taking the reins. After cloudy
and cool weather, we should trend warmer for the middle of the week
as skies clear out. We should warm above seasonal normals with dry
weather likely to continue into the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...Clear skies and winds that are more slowly
increasing aloft may allow for more widespread fog overnight
including at MSS and SLK. For now, have patchy fog mentioned,
but any restrictions to the airfields will be brief and
sporadic with 09-12Z being the best chance for AM fog. MPV
should see more persistent fog and ideal radiation conditions.
Winds pick up today with gusts generally around 15-18kts after
daybreak through the afternoon for MSS/PBG/BTV where flow is
more channeled by valleys. Elsewhere, winds will still increase
but will likely be less gusty with sustained speeds 08-12kts. No
precipitation will occur through the period except possibly
towards the end of the forecast period at MSS, but clouds will
begin to thicken and slowly lower after 03Z Sunday.
Outlook...
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Labor Day: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Boyd
NEAR TERM...Boyd
SHORT TERM...Haynes
LONG TERM...Haynes
AVIATION...Boyd
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