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June 2018, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sat, 2 Jun 2018 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (215 lines)
Expires:201806022000;;306728
FPUS51 KBTV 020708
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
305 AM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018


VTZ006-022000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
305 AM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018

.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then clearing. Highs in the
lower 70s. North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 10 mph in
the morning, becoming light and variable. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs around 60. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:201806021100;;315312
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUN 02 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    63  53  70 N15G23    29.84R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    65  65 100 N8        29.84R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    63  58  83 N7        29.82R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     67  63  87 MISG      29.76R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    61  58  91 NW12      29.84R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    61  58  90 N10       29.82R                  
RUTLAND*       LGT RAIN  64  64 100 NW13G20   29.80R FOG              
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    67  66  97 CALM      29.76R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    59  51  74 N13G18    29.87R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    57  54  88 N14       29.86R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    66  64  93 CALM      29.78R FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     61 N/A N/A W2          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     64 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     64 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     61 N/A N/A NW7         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  54  77 N3G13       N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  54  77 N22         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     63  55  77 NW28G33     N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;308427
FXUS61 KBTV 020755
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
355 AM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure located over central Canada will build south into the 
North Country today with clearing skies and comfortable temperatures 
on breezy north winds. Little change is expected on Sunday with more 
sunshine and mild temperatures, but rain showers and cooler weather 
arrives for Monday and Tuesday of this upcoming week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 354 AM EDT Saturday...Forecast challenge will be timing of 
clearing from northwest to southeast across our cwa today. A 
surface cold front has pushed thru and much drier and slightly 
cooler temps will occur today across our fa. Soundings some 
lingering moisture btwn 850mb and 700mb this morning, before 
much drier air arrives by this aftn, supporting mostly sunny 
skies. A few fair wx cumulus clouds will develop as upslope flow
on north winds prevail this aftn. Good mixing and 925mb winds 
of 20 to 25 knots support localized gusts up to 25 mph, 
especially in the aligned north/south valleys. Progged 850mb 
temps cool btwn 10-12c today, supporting highs mainly in the 
70s, with near 80f for the lower ct river valley near VSF. 
Tonight...north/northeast flow conts as sfc high pres remains 
over southern Canada and weak low pres develops across the mid 
Atlantic states. Have noted some winds btwn 500 and 1000 feet 
agl of 20 to 30 knots, which may limit temps from completely 
bottoming out. Will mention lows from the mid/upper 30s slk/nek 
to lower 50s warmer valleys. Mostly clear skies will prevail.

Sunday...Mid/upper level ridge overhead and 1020mb sfc high pres 
located over central Maine will provide cwa with another beautiful 
day with low humidity values and comfortable temps. Some mid/upper 
lvl clouds will increase from southwest to northeast aft 18z as 
progged 1000 to 500mb rh fields expand north ahead of s/w trof. 
Progged 850mb temps range from 9c nek to 11c southwest 
slv...supporting mainly 70s for highs again. Light northeast winds 
will become southeast during the aftn. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 351 AM EDT Saturday...Short wave ridge shifts east late
Sunday night as deepening trough moves across the Great Lakes 
and into the CWA on Monday. An associated shortwave dives down 
from Canada quickly allowing a closed low to form at the base of
the trough. This upper low shifts southeastward across the 
region Monday and will bring cool and wet weather throughout the
day. Western and Southern counties will see 0.25" - 0.50" of 
QPF while the northern counties will see 0.25" or less as the 
low shifts through. Expect overnight lows in the lower 40s to 
low 50s Sunday night with highs only in the mid 50s to mid 60s 
on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 351 AM EDT Saturday...The aforementioned low will continue
be the main factor in the weather to start the long term as the
low gets hung up and remains over New England through Wednesday
night. Showery activity and continued clouds will lead to more 
cool and wet days through the midweek point. The low continues 
its slow southeast track through this point before finally 
getting over the Atlantic and moving off to the northeast 
Wednesday night. This leads to a short reprieve as a ridge of 
high pressure moves in to the CWA Thursday, bringing drier and 
warm conditions for the back end of the week with another chance
for a shot of precip next Friday. Expect low temperatures in 
the 40s through Wed night and 40s and 50s afterwards. Highs will
be in the upper 50s to 60s through Wednesday and then will push
to the low to mid 70s by the end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...Crnt conditions vary from vfr at
btv/mpv/mss/pgb to mvfr at slk and ifr at rut. Expect intervals
of ifr cigs to prevail at rutland thru 08z, before trending
toward mvfr and eventually vfr by sunrise. Also, a brief period
of ifr cigs/vis possible at slk thru 08z...associated with
boundary and leftover moisture. Elsewhere, anticipating mainly
vfr conditions to prevail with perhaps a period of mvfr cigs at
mpv/btv thru early this morning. North/northeast winds at 4 to 8
knots develops this morning and with better mixing some
localized gusts up to 20 knots or so is anticipated today.
Developing low level jet btwn 800-1200 feet agl is expected btwn
02-06z tonight, which may cause localized areas of wind
shear/turbulence. 

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR/MVFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Verasamy
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Taber

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