Expires:201806032000;;360222
FPUS51 KBTV 030738
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
336 AM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018
VTZ006-032000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
336 AM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018
.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then showers after midnight.
Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Light and variable
winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 60.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$
Expires:201806031100;;367740
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 03 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 52 43 71 N3 30.01R
MONTPELIER FOG 45 45 100 CALM 30.11R VSB 1
MORRISVILLE FAIR 39 39 100 CALM 30.07R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 43 40 89 MISG 30.06R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 42 35 75 CALM 30.09R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 59 47 65 SE7 30.02R
RUTLAND* FAIR 56 50 80 SE14 30.03R
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 52 51 97 CALM 30.08R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 45 40 83 E3 30.02S
NEWPORT* FAIR 38 38 97 CALM 30.09R
BENNINGTON FAIR 60 48 64 E8 30.01R
ISLAND POND* N/A 32 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 36 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 46 N/A N/A SE14 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 55 37 50 NE1 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 54 48 82 NW10 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 54 48 82 SE5 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;362184
FXUS61 KBTV 030822
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
422 AM EDT Sun Jun 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure aloft and at the surface will provide the North
Country with dry conditions and near normal temperatures today.
Clouds and showers will quickly increase across northern New York by
late today and spread into the Champlain Valley and Vermont
overnight into Monday. The upcoming week with feature cool
temperatures and unsettled weather through Wednesday, before drier
and warmer temperatures return by Thursday and Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 421 AM EDT Sunday...Water vapor shows a complex pattern across
the eastern conus with mid/upper lvl ridge and deep dry air
over northern New England, while potent s/w energy and
negatively tilted trof was located over the Great Lakes. This
energy and moisture will interact with closed 5h/7h system over
the mid Atlantic to produce a deep negatively anomaly trof acrs
the ne conus. The forecast challenge today into tonight will be
timing of clouds/precip as ridge/dry air breaks down and sharp
850 to 500mb moisture axis develops ahead of approaching trof.
RAP/NAM and ECMWF show 850 to 500mb moisture >70% approaching
the SLV by 18z and mainly west of the cpv thru 00z this evening,
as initial potent 5h short energy associated with negatively
tilted trof and weak sfc low pres lift acrs the Great Lakes.
Based on upper level forcing and moisture have included likely
to cat pops btwn 21- 00z for the slv. Thinking CPV and points
east will stay dry today, as initial moisture surge will mainly
impact the slv/western dacks, with sfc high pres holding strong
and deep dry layer. Meanwhile...secondary vorticity and
developing southwest 850 to 700mb jet of 25 to 40 knots will
help to advect much deeper moisture from southwest to northeast
across our cwa overnight. Pws start near 0.50 but increase to
1.25 to 1.50" overnight as deeper moisture advection occurs
ahead of approaching short wave trof. This moisture and dynamics
will produce a period of showers overnight and have mention
pops near 100%. QPF fields will be complex with first surge of
better forcing/moisture lifting across our western cwa and
secondary surge with sfc low pres moving along the coast
impacting our central/southern cwa of vt. This will result in
parts of the cpv seeing less qpf with values btwn 0.50 and 0.75
slv/western dacks and parts of central/southern VT and 0.25 and
0.40 for cpv and parts of northern VT. Progged 85h temps range
btwn 9-10c this aftn, which supports mainly 70s, except upper
50s to lower 60s mtn summits. Tonight, expect some wet bulb
cooling to occur as precip arrives with lows ranging from the
mid 40s to mid 50s.
Monday...Deep closed 5h/7h and associated sfc reflection become
vertically stacked just south of Hudson Bay, while potent 5h short
energy approaches our western cwa by 18z. Initial surge of
moisture/lift should exit our eastern section by 15z, with brief
midday break in showers, before additional activity develops ahead
of strong dynamics. Still some uncertainty if dry slot develops and
parts of our cwa break into some sun and potential impacts on
temps/instability. Currently thinking mostly cloudy with limited
instability, but combination of strong dynamics and very cold 5h
temps of -22c to -24c moving across our cwa...a few rumbles of
thunder are possible on Monday aftn. For pop fields will mention cat
pops exiting our cwa by 15z...with high chc/likely redeveloping aft
18z Monday from west to east. The aftn activity will be more
convective in nature and pin pointing exact qpf is always
challenging, but generally a 0.10 to 0.25, but localized higher
amounts in areas that receive multiple rounds of showers. Temps with
cool easterly sfc flow across central/eastern vt hold in the mid 40s
to lower 50s, with mid/upper 50s cpv/northern ny, except near 60f
for the slv. If more sun develops in dry slot, these temps will be
several degrees warmer, especially cpv and parts of the western
dacks.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 409 AM EDT Sunday...Low pressure remains over the region
Monday night and Tuesday continuing to bring cool and wet
conditions through the short term period. Models continue to
agree that low pressure will continue to slide southeast from
Canada to right over the CWA by afternoon. Chances for showers
will be prevalent throughout the day with the greatest chance in
the afternoon at peak daytime heating with the northern
counties see most of the activity. Look for rainfall totals of a
tenth of an inch down south to up to a half inch around the
international border. Look for lows Monday night in the 40s and
highs on Tuesday in the 50s with some valley locations making it
to 60.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 409 AM EDT Sunday...Low pressure continues it slow progression
to the southeast Wednesday, leaving with it continued chances
for showers early on Wednesday, especially across the eastern
counties. Wednesday night the low finally moves off into
Atlantic Wednesday night bringing an end to the cool wet
weather. Thursday leads to a short reprieve as a ridge of high
pressure moves in to the CWA, bringing drier and warm conditions
for the back end of the week with another chance for a shot of
precip next Friday. Models differ going into next weekend but
all show unsettled weather at some point before the weekend is
over. Expect low temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Highs will be
in the upper 50s to 60s Wednesday and then will push to the low
to mid 70s by the end of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Surface analysis places 1026mb high pres
over hudson bay with developing easterly 925mb to 850mb flow of
20 to 25 knots per KCXX VAD profile. VFR conditions will prevail
overnight into Sunday, with clear skies and light winds thru
sunrise. Difficult in taf forecast is the potential for some
shallow ground fog/br to develop at mpv/slk toward sunrise this
morning. Temps have already fallen below cross over values and
low level stabilization has resulted in light winds at the sfc,
so thinking a brief period of mvfr/ifr vis is possible btwn
08-10z at both slk/mpv. Have utilized tempo to mention mvfr vis.
Otherwise...gradient continues to increase on Sunday with breezy
southeast winds of 10 to 20 knots developing, some localized
gusts to 25 knots possible at rutland. Clouds thicken after 18z
with rain showers arriving btwn 03-06z Monday, along with some
mvfr cigs developing aft 06z.
Outlook...
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Verasamy
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Taber
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