Expires:202209012000;;052933
FPUS51 KBTV 011038
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
634 AM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022
VTZ018-012000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
634 AM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022
.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...Sunny, warmer with highs in the mid 70s. Light and
variable winds, becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the lower 50s.
.LABOR DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$
Expires:202209011100;;052706
ASUS41 KBTV 011030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU SEP 01 2022
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-011100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 62 52 69 N8 29.81R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 62 51 67 W9 29.81R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 57 53 86 VRB3 29.79R
LYNDONVILLE* N/A N/A N/A N/A MISG N/A
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 56 55 96 CALM 29.81R
RUTLAND* PTCLDY 61 54 77 SW9 29.83R
SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 55 54 96 CALM 29.82R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 57 56 96 W5 29.80R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 56 53 92 NW8 29.79R
BENNINGTON CLEAR 58 57 97 SW5 29.86R
ISLAND POND* N/A 59 N/A N/A W13 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 55 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 46 N/A N/A W29 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 63 55 77 N14G22 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 63 52 67 NW15 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 64 50 59 W12G17 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;046184
FXUS61 KBTV 010759
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
359 AM EDT Thu Sep 1 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
A much cooler day is expected today with temperatures struggling to
get above the 60s. Tonight will be quite chilly as high pressure
settles directly overhead, but temperatures will begin to trend
upward again starting Friday. The next chance for rain will be
Sunday as a cold front moves through.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Thursday...The final cold front in a series of
frontal boundaries to move through the North Country over the last
couple of days will move through this morning. 850 mb temperatures
will drop from 10 deg C early this morning to around 3 deg C by
midday today, supporting a chilly day overall for the area. There
may be some isolated light showers through midday today as the front
pushes through, but the afternoon will trend completely dry. High
temperatures today will be quite chilly given the degree of cold air
advection...topping out only in the 60s. The steepening lapse rates
will result in some breezy northwest winds in the 10 to 20 mph
range, especially this afternoon. We also should see a blossoming
shallow cumulus field this afternoon in response to the cold air
advection.
Tonight, clouds will quickly dissipate and clear skies with calm
winds are anticipated. High pressure will settle directly over the
region, leading to idea radiational cooling conditions. Have
continued to hedge forecast towards the NBM 10th percentile
temperature forecast given the conditions, yielding forecast lows in
the 40s for much of the area. However, the coolest hollows of the
Northeast Kingdom and the northern Adirondacks are forecast to drop
into the upper 30s.
The surface high pressure begins to shift to our east on Friday and
temperatures will warm amid developing return southwesterly flow.
Highs for Friday are forecast in the mid 70s to low 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 357 AM EDT Thursday...Increasing southwesterly flow under
mostly clear skies and high pressure will promote warming of the
temperature column over the North Country heading into Saturday with
925mb temperatures exceeding 20C. Temperatures aloft will be
supportive of high temperatures running 3-6 degrees above seasonal
averages in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees for northeastern
Vermont and low/mid 80s elsewhere. Aside from rising temperatures,
conditions will remain for most locations through the evening except
for the Saint Lawrence Valley where cloud cover and chances of a
rain shower start to increase along surface convergence ahead of the
next system. Mid level lapse rates begin to steepen as synoptic lift
increases overnight. As such, 30-50% chances of showers and isolated
thunderstorms spread west to east Saturday night with cold frontal
passage some time towards Sunday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Thursday...Models show the surface boundary
beginning to stall towards the New England coast with more
anafrontal characteristics across the North Country. This will
support continued chances of precipitation Sunday and Monday.
However, cloud cover and more stable nature of precipitation
processes should keep thunder at bay for most locations; best
chances will be more towards the frontal boundary in the Connecticut
River Valley and portions of the Northeast Kingdom. Model consensus
favors amplification of the longwave trough Monday night into
Tuesday which should kick the lingering surface boundary out of the
region with drier conditions returning Tuesday. Temperatures will
likely remain below seasonal averages Sunday and Monday with trends
warming towards seasonal average by Tuesday. Ridging is more
probable for mid week with some models extending the axis north of
Quebec City. The result will be dry conditions and warming
temperatures back above seasonal averages with highs pushing 80
degrees again for broader valleys.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...A cold front pushing through between 06Z
and 15Z today will bring some widely scattered light showers and
some MVFR/IFR ceilings to higher terrain. In addition, expect
some patchy mist to develop, but shouldn't be too persistent
given northwest flow. After 15Z, any low stratus will have
lifted and widespread VFR conditions expected for the remainder
of the TAF period with just some afternoon shallow cumulus
developing. Winds will be light west overnight becoming
northwest behind the front. Some gusty northwest winds 10 to 20
knots are expected during the afternoon hours.
Outlook...
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Labor Day: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Duell
NEAR TERM...Duell
SHORT TERM...Boyd
LONG TERM...Boyd
AVIATION...Duell
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