SKIVT-L Archives

July 2021, Week 3

SKIVT-L@LIST.UVM.EDU

Options: Use Monospaced Font
Show Text Part by Default
Show All Mail Headers

Message: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Topic: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Author: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]

Print Reply
Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 21 Jul 2021 06:50:03 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (205 lines)
Expires:202107212000;;209884
FPUS51 KBTV 210728
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
322 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021


VTZ018-212000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
322 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021

.TODAY...Cloudy. Patchy fog this morning. A chance of showers
this morning, then scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms
this afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around
10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms until midnight. Lows in the mid 50s.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of
rain 20 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:202107211100;;217309
ASUS41 KBTV 211010
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 21 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-211100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     NOT AVBL                                               
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    62  60  93 W5        29.88S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    63  61  93 N3        29.85R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  61 100 MISG      29.82R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       60  60  97 CALM      29.86S VSB<1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    62  61  98 CALM      29.85R FOG              
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    63  63 100 CALM      29.86R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    63  62  97 CALM      29.84S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    60  59  96 NW3       29.85R FOG              
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    61  59  94 CALM      29.85R                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    61  60  97 CALM      29.86F FOG              

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  72 100 W3          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  59  88 N17         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  63  94 N13         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;209936
FXUS61 KBTV 210728
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 21 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Unsettled but generally benign weather will continue through the 
remainder of the work week as an upper trough persists over the 
region. Daily chances for light rain showers exist, but only 
isolated to scattered in nature. Saturday will feature sunny skies 
and warm temperatures, followed by a rainy Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 326 AM EDT Wednesday...Pre-frontal trough which brought a line
of severe storms to the forecast area has exited southeast of the
region this morning with the parent upper trough and surface cold
front lagging behind. These features will slowly traverse the area
today with scattered showers developing after the noon hour with
some weak surface instability and steepening low-level lapse rates
supporting the chance for some isolated thunder, but nothing 
should turn the corner towards severe. Highs today will be quite
cool by late July standards under thick cloud cover, only 
topping out in the low/mid 70s in the valleys and upper 60s 
across the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom.

Any afternoon shower activity will wane this evening with a quiet
and cool night on tap with lows ranging through the 50s. Thursday
begins quiet, but the region remains under control of a broad
upper trough with another weak impulse of shortwave energy 
approaching from the northwest in the afternoon. Best progged 
instability, albeit very weak, will be located over north- 
central and northeast Vermont where a chance of showers will 
exist, but elsewhere the forecast is for drier conditions under 
partly sunny skies. Highs will range through the 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 326 AM EDT Wednesday...Northwesterly flow will continue over
the forecast area for Thursday night through Friday. An upper level
shortwave within the northwesterly flow will move through the
Northeast Friday morning, providing enough lift for some scattered
rain showers. Morning timing of the disturbance will limit
instability (and coverage of showers), so have continued with PoPs
in the 20 to 40% range for Friday. In addition to limited
instability, deep moisture will also be marginal, further limiting
rain potential. So while some areas will see a brief shower, should
be an otherwise dry day. High temperatures Friday in the low to mid
70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 326 AM EDT Wednesday...A dry start to the weekend is expected
along with slightly warmer temperatures with brief ridging building
in. Precipitation chances then ramp up Saturday night through Monday
as a series of fronts move through associated with a Canadian low
pressure system. Should see several waves of showers resulting from
the frontal passages. Some embedded thunderstorms are possible,
especially during the afternoon hours, though morning cloud cover
each day should limit diurnal instability somewhat. Severe threat
will be conditional based on amount of instability able to be
realized...but progged 0-6 km shear 40+ knots would favor some more
organized storms should the other parameters line up. Still looks
rather messy however with the fronts coming through piecemeal, so
not overly concerned about any severe threat at this point...but
will continue to monitor. Once the system clears the area later on
Monday, looking at a stretch of dry weather through the middle of
the week with high pressure taking control.  Temperatures will stay
within a few degrees of climatological norms (highs upper 70s/low
80s) through Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Lowering ceilings across the board are
expected during the remainder of the overnight hours with
generally MVFR/VFR visibilities and MVFR/IFR ceilings. After 
12Z conditions gradually improve to VFR by late morning into
early afternoon with scattered showers developing after noon.
Winds will be less than 10kts through the period, variable in
direction overnight becoming NNW mid-morning onward.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Duell
LONG TERM...Duell
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html

ATOM RSS1 RSS2