Expires:201606062000;;040519
FPUS51 KBTV 060750
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016


VTZ006-062000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
348 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

$$


Expires:201606061100;;047296
ASUS41 KBTV 061030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON JUN 06 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-061100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    65  60  84 S12G21    29.49R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      59  57  93 S6        29.56S                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    58  56  93 CALM      29.52R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  57  87 MISG      29.52S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    58  57  97 SE3       29.55S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    64  59  83 S6        29.58R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    59  59 100 CALM      29.58S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    63  61  93 S10       29.48R                  
NEWPORT*       RAIN      59  57  94 S5        29.52R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A NW31G43     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  63 100 S17         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  63  94 S12         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;042506
FXUS61 KBTV 060826
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
426 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Today will see warm temperatures accompanied by dry and mostly
sunny conditions with gusty southwesterly winds. Conditions will
become much more unsettled as a large upper low shifts from
Ontario southeastward to over the North Country for the mid-week
period. Occasional showers and temperatures below early June
normals are anticipated Tuesday through Thursday with the coolest
temperatures expected Wednesday and Thursday to only reach the
upper 50s to lower 60s for maxes. High pressure builds in from the
west for Friday with partly to mostly sunny conditions and
temperatures moderating back into the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 426 AM EDT Monday...Drier air filters into the region as
occluded front exits east of Vermont this morning. Deck of stratus
clouds expected to diminish this morning, but be replaced with
diurnal cumulus. Even in the drying conditions, cannot rule out a
slight chance of a rain shower as an area of PVA brushes the
northern perimeter of the forecast area.

Low pressure will center just south of James Bay, keeping the
North Country in southwesterly flow. Surface winds will be gusty
at times through the early evening. With 850mb temperatures
warming to around 9.5C-11.5C, expect maxes in the mid 70s to low
80s.

Overnight, winds will decrease and any diurnally driven clouds
will diminish. 500mb long wave trough will approach from the Great
Lake region, increasing clouds and chance for rain showers late
tonight into early Tuesday. Min temperatures will be generally be
in the 50s in persistent southwest flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 331 AM EDT Monday...an active period of weather is expected
associated with 3 to 4 std below normal trough across the great
lakes into the ne conus. timing of individual short waves in flow
aloft and associated impacts will be forecast focus. first piece
of energy along with some enhanced 850 to 500mb moisture is
located across our region on tuesday morning...with additional
energy and greater instability arriving on tuesday afternoon. nam
soundings show surface based capes between 1000 and 1500
j/kg...while gfs is much less around 400 to 800 j/kg...with main
instability axis across our eastern cwa. based on developing cool
pool aloft with 500mb temps around -18c and modest surface heating
with temps in the 70s...will create enough instability to support
mention of thunder...associated with scattered to widespread
showers. both gfs/nam and local wrf's show the best
instability/shear interaction across our central/eastern cwa
around 18z tuesday with 0 to 6 km shear between 40 and 50 knots. i
have mention small hail/gusty winds most of the region...with the
best chance for localized severe being across central/eastern vt.
progged 850mb temps around 9c with good mixing supports highs
mainly in the 70s. expect areal coverage and intensity of
convection to decrease after sunset on tuesday night...with mainly
slight chance to chance wording. some areas of patchy fog are
possible.

on weds another interesting day as core of closed 5h circulation
and associated potent 5h vort move directly overhead. have noted
very cold 5h temps of -26c across our region...which combined with
some surface heating will produce additional showers. in
addition...given the very cold sounding profiles and less moisture
will be limited...but with very low wet bulb zero
values...thinking some small hail is possible. have mention likely
pops during the afternoon hours with slight chance of thunder.
progged 850mb temps between 1-3c support highs only in the 50s to
lower 60s most locations...about 10 degrees below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 331 AM EDT Monday...deep mid/upper level trof continues to
impact our region on weds night through friday...before slowly
lifting by the weekend. the combination of northwest upslope flow
and associated cold air advection will result in additional
showers and brisk conditions on weds night. have noted progged
850mb temps drop between -1c and +1c by 12z thurs...supporting
some mixed wet snow above 4000 feet on weds night. a light coating
is possible on the summits. otherwise...another vort on thursday
crosses our region...but available moisture in dry nw flow aloft
is limited with pws <0.50". will mention chance pops on Thursday
mainly in the mountains associated with upslope flow and lingering
moisture in trof axis. given thermal profiles and development of
strato cumulus clouds...expect highs mainly in the upper 40s to
upper 50s depending upon elevation.

a progressive northwest flow aloft continues into the
weekend...which will keep warmest temps and greatest instability
to our south. difficult to time short wave energy in flow
aloft...along with amount of available moisture...so have keep
forecast mainly dry attm...except mention chance pops on saturday.
temps will slowly rebound to near normal values over the
weekend...with highs mainly in the 70s and lows in the 40s and
50s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Through 06z Tuesday...Mix of flight conditions over the North
Country. Isolated spots of fog, but increased pressure gradient
keeps southerly winds at 5-12kts with gusts of 18-22kts from time
to time early this morning. Therefore, cigs will be the main
concern with IFR to MVFR through sunrise. Conditions improve to
vfr with gusty winds Monday into early Monday evening.

Outlook 06z Tuesday through Friday...

12Z Tuesday through Thursday...Broad scale upper trough will be
associated with scattered -SHRA mainly daytime hrs Tuesday,
Wednesday & Thursday, with intervals of MVFR cigs/VSBY possible,
especially at SLK/MPV.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos/KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...Taber
LONG TERM...Taber
AVIATION...KGM

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