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Expires:201507022000;;969735
FPUS51 KBTV 020744
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
341 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015
VTZ006-022000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
341 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
$$
Expires:201507021100;;976562
ASUS41 KBTV 021030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU JUL 02 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-021100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 60 51 72 W12G18 29.85R
MONTPELIER PTCLDY 56 53 90 CALM 29.88R
MORRISVILLE PTCLDY 57 52 83 CALM 29.85R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 56 53 90 MISG 29.82R
RUTLAND* CLEAR 55 52 88 N5 29.87R
SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 57 55 93 W3 29.84R
BENNINGTON PTCLDY 59 55 87 SW6 29.88S
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 45 N/A N/A NW35G48 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 61 52 72 SW9 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 61 52 72 W15 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 63 52 67 NW14 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;970260
FXUS61 KBTV 020802
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS TODAY WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THIS TREND OF DRIER
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...ALONG WITH WARMING
TEMPERATURES. SOME MORNING FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS...WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT THURSDAY...WATER VAPOR SHOWS LARGE AREA OF
SUBSIDENCE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY...WHICH WILL RESULT
IN CLEARING SKIES TODAY. SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE QUICKLY
DISSIPATING/THINNING BY 12Z THIS MORNING...BUT THINKING WITH STEEP
SFC TO 800MB LAPSE RATES AND PLENTY OF BOUNDARY LAYER RH...SOME
FAIR WX CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TRRN TODAY.
ALSO...UPSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL HELP
ENHANCE LIFT OVER THE MTNS TODAY. GIVEN LACK OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AND NVA ALOFT...NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIP. PROGGED 85H
TEMPS BTWN 7-9C SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN THE 60S MTNS TO MID 70S
VALLEYS. A FEW UPPER 70S POSSIBLE IN THE CPV AND NEAR VSF FROM
DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON WESTERLY WINDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT THURSDAY...VERY QUIET WX PATTERN
DEVELOPING ACROSS OUR CWA...WITH SFC HIGH PRES AND PLENTY OF DRY AIR
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS WITH LARGE DAILY SWINGS IN
TEMPS FROM COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS. EXPECTING AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT MAINLY TRRN DRIVEN WINDS. SOUNDINGS SHOW
A WEAK 975MB JET OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE CPV AND PARTS OF THE
SLV...WHICH MAY LIMIT FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS. TEMPS WILL
FALL QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S
SLK/NEK TO M/U 40S WARMER VALLEYS. NOT EXPECTING ANY FROST TO
DEVELOP IN COLDER VALLEYS...GIVEN ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. FRIDAY WILL FEATURE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WITH A
FEW CUMULUS CLOUDS OVER THE MTNS. PROGGED 85H TEMPS WARM A DEGREE OR
TWO FROM TODAY...AND SUPPORT HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 60S MTNS/NEK TO
M/U 70S WARMER VALLEYS. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TEMP AND
FOG DEVELOPMENT WISE TO THURSDAY NIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID/UPPER 30S COLDER PROTECTED VALLEYS OF THE DACKS AND NORTHERN VT
TO LOWER 50S WARMER CPV/UHI AREAS. SFC HIGH PRES OVERHEAD WILL
RESULT IN LIGHT MAINLY TRRN/THERMAL DRIVEN WINDS...WITH A SHARP
NOTURNAL INVERSION LIKELY.
ON SATURDAY...TWO PIECES OF ENERGY ALOFT WILL APPROACH OUR
CWA...BUT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING. 1ST S/W WILL PASS
TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH BETTER MOISTURE OVER
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. MEANWHILE...NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL
APPROACH THE SLV BY 18Z AND INTO NORTHERN NY/VT BTWN 00Z AND 06Z
SATURDAY. BOTH GFS/NAM SHOW A VERY NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS...ALONG
WITH WEAK RIBBON OF ENHANCED 850 TO 500 MB RH. THIS MAY BE JUST
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN NY INTO VT.
DURATION AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS WILL BE VERY LIMITED ALONG WITH
ANY QPF. WILL MENTION JUST SCHC POPS WITH HIGHEST VALUES OVER THE
DACKS AND NORTHERN GREENS. PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 11-13C SUPPORT
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S WITH A FEW LOWER 80S POSSIBLE IN THE
WARMER VALLEYS ON SATURDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT THURSDAY...WE CONTINUE THE OVERALL
DRIER TREND BUT A FLY IN THE OINTMENT POSSIBLE TUE NGT-WED TIMEFRAME.
THERE ARE HINTS OF A PATTERN CHANGE WITH A RETURN TO MORE SUMMER-
LIKE PATTERN BUT THE REAPPEARANCE OF NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVES
DAMPENING THE FLOW AND BRINGING ABOUT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL
RETURN MID WEEK AND POSSIBLY NEXT WEEKEND (STILL EARLY).
FOURTH OF JULY NIGHT...A RENEGADE SHOWER OR TWO IS POSSIBLE EARLY
BUT ONLY HAVE SLIGHT POPS AS A NORTHERN STREAM TROF SWEEPS ACROSS
AREA WITH LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.
NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH TROF ON SUNDAY EVENTUALLY GIVES
WAY TO BUILDING UPPER RIDGE FOR LATE SUN THRU EARLY TUESDAY WITH
MODERATING TEMPERATURES THEN A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DAMPENS UPPER
FLOW ACROSS FA WITH SYSTEM RUNNING PARALLEL TO FLOW PATTERN.
DYNAMICS ARE NOT THAT MUCH BUT IT WILL PLACE A WEAK COLD FRONT
BOUNDARY TUES NGT-WED AND NOT FAR TO OUR SOUTH THEREAFTER FOR A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSRA.
THEREFORE...ENJOY THE UPCOMING WARMTH AND DRY WEATHER AS MORE
SHOWERS RETURN MID WEEK AND POSSIBLY LATER.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...FRONT AND SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS PASSED NY/VT
WITH GRADUAL DRYING TAKING PLACE AND BKN CIGS 035-045 BUT SOME
SCT-BKN020-025 THROUGH 10-12Z. KSLK MAY SEE MVFR/IFR BRIEFLY THIS
MORNING DUE TO CIGS/VSBY. THEREAFTER...DRIER AIR WILL BRING SCT
CLOUDS AND VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT. HIGH PRESSURE AND
RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH ABUNDANT SOIL MOISTURE SHOULD SPELL FOG
AND POSSIBLY MVFR/IFR/LIFR FOR NORMAL FOG PRONE LOCATIONS EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL BE WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY AT 05-15 KNOTS FOR THE ENTIRE
PERIOD.
OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... VFR WITH WEAK SFC HIGH
PRES...EXCEPT FOR IFR IN FOG/BR AT MPV/SLK BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z
THURS NIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY NIGHT. EXPECT POTENTIAL MVFR AT
ALL OTHER LOCATIONS FOR THE SAME TIME FRAMES. UNCERTAINTY ON
SHOWER POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND...WITH LATEST TRENDS SHOWING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SHOWERS SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AT SLK/MPV.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...RJS/SLW
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