Expires:202103102100;;749624
FPUS51 KBTV 101104
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
600 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021
VTZ018-102100-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
600 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021
.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. Windy with lows in the upper 30s. South winds 20 to
30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly sunny with
a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Windy with highs in
the mid 50s. South winds 20 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph,
increasing to 55 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain
showers. Windy with lows in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 20 to
30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the lower 20s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the lower 30s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny and breezy. Highs in the upper 20s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and brisk. Lows 5 to 10 above.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 10 to 15.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s.
$$
Expires:202103101200;;750998
ASUS41 KBTV 101131
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED MAR 10 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-101200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON PTCLDY 24 20 84 CALM 30.48S
MONTPELIER CLEAR 16 15 96 CALM 30.50F
MORRISVILLE CLEAR 16 13 88 CALM 30.49F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 20 17 88 MISG 30.49S
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 19 17 93 CALM 30.49S
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 23 21 92 CALM 30.49R
RUTLAND* CLEAR 23 22 96 S3 30.49R
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 20 16 84 CALM 30.52R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 24 21 87 CALM 30.48S
NEWPORT* FAIR 19 17 91 SW6 30.49F WCI 11
BENNINGTON CLEAR 22 17 81 CALM 30.48R
ISLAND POND* N/A 7 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 10 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 9 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 23 N/A N/A NW10 N/A WCI 12
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 30 93 S15 N/A WCI 22
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 30 28 93 S3 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;750617
FXUS61 KBTV 101120
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
620 AM EST Wed Mar 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
If you enjoyed the temperatures yesterday, you'll really enjoy the
temperatures over the next several days as high temperatures are
expected to range from the upper 40s to upper 50s. A cold front will
push through the region Friday afternoon and will bring the return
of below normal temperatures to the region through Monday before a
steady warming trend develops by the middle of next week. Scattered
showers will develop ahead of the front Thursday night into Friday
morning but rainfall totals will be rather unimpressive.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 617 AM EST Wednesday...The high clouds have begun to
dissipate as expected with clear skies presiding across the
North Country. Temperatures will warm quickly underneath
abundant spring sunshine today with the current temperature
forecast right on track.
Previous Discussion...High clouds have begun to move into the
region this morning and have really squashed any potential for fog
development. Nevertheless, with multiple reporting sites well past
their crossover temperatures, any areas that aren't under the
influence of these high clouds could see a brief period of patchy
fog prior to sunrise. These high clouds won't linger much into the
morning after sunrise as model soundings show additional dry air
entering the region which should, in essence, help evaporate the
clouds over the region. The net result will be mostly sunny skies by
mid morning at the latest which will continue through at least
sunset. Temperatures will rebound nicely as we continue to see warm
air advection into the region and full sun today. Afternoon highs
will easily warm into the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Winds will increase this afternoon, especially across the northern
Champlain Valley as channeled southerly winds and boundary layer
mixing help support wind gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range. While we
expect some of these winds to weaken as we head into the evening
hours, most places will see winds remain around 10 to 15 mph through
the overnight period. The combination of these winds and increasing
mid-level clouds will yield a very warm night across the region with
lows only dropping into the mid 30s to mid 40s. This should set the
stage for even warmer temperatures on Thursday as we will start
significantly warmer than this morning. Even with abundant clouds
cover on Thursday, we expect highs to climb into the mid to upper
50s with a few places in southern Vermont approaching 60 degrees. We
will have the potential to see some record high temperatures on
Thursday and you can find more information in the climate section
below.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 307 AM EST Wednesday...Cold front will be moving across the
area Thursday night into Friday as a well defined shortwave trough
passes to our northwest. Best dynamics will remain north and west of
the area and convergence not that strong with the front. Thus can
see precipitation amounts decreasing from west to east as the night
wears on. Still looks like a tenth to quarter inch for parts of
northern New York, but a tenth of an inch or less across Vermont.
Air mass behind the front on Friday is not that cold and thus
looking at above normal temperatures continuing with highs in the
mid 40s to mid 50s. Drier air behind the front should limit the
threat of precipitation for much of the day.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 307 AM EST Wednesday...Shortwave trough moves down from Canada
Friday night to bring about a noticeable change to the weather.
First precipitation chances will be increasing across northern New
York and the northern half of Vermont. Snow Squall Parameter
suggests conditions are favorable for some snow squalls across
northeast New York and the northern third of Vermont Friday evening.
Right now the depth of the dry adiabatic lapse is forecast to about
10,000 feet so instability would be present for the convective snow
showers. Would like to see a greater depth to the dry adiabatic
lapse rate for more impactful snow squalls, but something that will
need to be monitored. Winds will be increasing from the north behind
the snow showers and temperatures will be falling as cold air
advection develops. So will need to keep an eye on any flash freeze
potential. Cold air advection on Saturday helps to return
temperatures back to seasonal normals and if anything a couple of
degrees below. Another shortwave trough moves down into the area on
Sunday with northwest flow aloft established over the region. Can
see some additional snow showers with this, but a reinforcement of
colder air on brisk northwest winds. Highs on Sunday will be in the
mid 20s to lower 30s. As high pressure builds in for Sunday night
and Monday the stage should be set for clear skies and light winds
which will promote low temperatures in the single digits and teens.
Despite sunshine on Monday northwest flow aloft keeps us in the
colder pattern with highs once again in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Tuesday into Wednesday an upper ridge will build in and allow for a
warming trend to take place. Dry conditions will persist with high
pressure over the area.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12Z Thursday...VFR conditions will continue through the
forecast period with just some mid to high level clouds moving
in from the west this afternoon and overnight tonight. Otherwise,
southerly winds will ramp up across the northern Champlain
Valley this afternoon with wind gusts approaching 20-25 knots
after 16Z. Elsewhere, southerly winds of 12 knots or less are
expected during the daylight hours. After 20Z, a strong low
level jet is poised to enter the region with wind shear expected
at all terminals this evening and through the overnight period.
Based on the latest guidance, we will see winds ranging from
35-50 knots at 2000 ft with the strongest winds across northern
New York.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Below are forecast highs for March 11th and the record below.
KBTV KMPV KMSS KPBG KSLK
58 57 57 57 54
56|1977 61|1977 60|1985 57|1977 60|1977
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Clay
NEAR TERM...Clay
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Clay
CLIMATE...Team BTV
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