Expires:201511292100;;038148
FPUS51 KBTV 291140
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
636 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2015


VTZ006-292100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
636 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...THEN CLEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 14. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE
OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

$$


Expires:201511291200;;037655
ASUS41 KBTV 291130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      26  21  81 E6        30.27F WCI  19          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      18  15  88 CALM      30.25S                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    19  15  84 S3        30.26S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     21  17  84 MISG      30.23S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      21  17  83 W5        30.23R WCI  15          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      25  25 100 CALM      30.27R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    27  19  74 CALM      30.26R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      22  19  89 CALM      30.25R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    24  22  91 CALM      30.29R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    24  19  79 CALM      30.24R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    30  23  75 N7        30.25R WCI  23          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     18 N/A N/A NW52G63     N/A  WCI  -6          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  27  86 NW6         N/A  WCI  24          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  28  86 E6          N/A  WCI  26          

$$


Expires:No;;031340
FXUS61 KBTV 290856
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
356 AM EST SUN NOV 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING IN ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH CALM AND QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEKEND AND TO START THE WORK WEEK. BY MID WEEK EXPECT
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM TO BRING A CHANCE OF WINTRY MIX SWITCHING
TO RAIN AND THEN ENDING WITH A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE FORECAST ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE AT OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMALS FOR THE END OF NOVEMBER INTO EARLY
DECEMBER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 350 AM EST SUNDAY...CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
TRICKY PORTION OF THE FORECAST TODAY. THE ONLY AVAILABLE MOISTURE
IS A THIN LAYER OF SATURATED AIR BETWEEN 1000-900MB WITH FORECAST
MODELS CONTINUING TO POINT TO THIS STARTING TO ERODE RIGHT AROUND
DAY BREAK. HOWEVER, A SECOND INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND
WILL SEE CLOUDS BUILD BACK IN BEHIND THE ERODING CLOUD COVER FROM
THIS MORNING. BASED ON LATEST HIRES GUIDANCE AND FORECAST
SOUNDINGS I CLEARED OUT MUCH OF SOUTHERN VERMONT IN THE AFTERNOON
WHEREAS ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH NEW YORK VERMONT AND
CANADA EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE TO OVERCAST CONDITIONS BY MID
AFTERNOON.

THE MODERATE COLD AIR ADVECTION BELOW A WEAK SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE TODAY WITH THE TYPICAL
COLDER LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM AND OVER THE ADIRONDACKS
ONLY WARMING INTO THE UPPER 20S WITH THE CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY WARMING TO THE MID 30S. LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS DOWN
THOUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SO AS WE TURN TOWARDS THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS THE FORECAST 925MB TEMPS WILL BE AROUND -7C TO
-10C. COLDER TEMPS ALOFT WITH SPOTTY CLOUD COVER OVER WILL LEAD TO
A LARGE RANGE OF OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT
INCLUDING THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM WILL LIKELY RADIATE OUT TO THE LOW
TEENS OR EVEN NEAR SINGLE DIGITS WHEREAS THE CLOUD COVER SHOULD
PREVENT TEMPERATURE COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT ELSEWHERE. EXPECT
TEMPS IN THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM TO DROP TO THE LOW TEENS WITH THE
CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS COOLING TO THE UPPER TEENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 322 AM EST SUNDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...WITH FAIR AND DRY WEATHER
EXPECTED. ON TUESDAY...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES. ECMWF AND GFS MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
HOLDING OFF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL
BE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE LOWER 40S BY THE TIME THE RAIN SHOWERS MAKE IT INTO
THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 322 AM EST SUNDAY...MODELS SHOW A WET TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED. HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. EXPECTING RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING EAST
FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT.
EXPECTING RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AS COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVES INTO THE REGION.
EXPECTING ANY RESIDUAL RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO MIX
WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS IN VALLEY LOCATIONS AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW ON THURSDAY FROM A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE AREA
OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON THURSDAY. HAVE SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE
POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH FAIR AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. GFS MODEL SHOWING AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA ON FRIDAY. HAVE GONE WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAIN ON FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND REMAIN
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH FAIR AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...VFR/MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO ALL VFR BY 9-12Z THIS MORNING. CURRENTLY
VFR OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE AND WESTERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AS THE
LOW LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY CLEAR. THIS WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY
THROUGH THE EVENING WITH BTV IMPROVING BY 09Z AND THEN FOLLOWED
LATER BY RUT AND SLK. THERE IS SOME DRY AIR WORKING INTO THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE GREENS SO EXPECT MPV TO STAY VFR WITH ONLY
SCATTERED CLOUDS AROUND 2500FT. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME
INCREASED MOISTURE MOVING IN BETWEEN 21-00Z TOMORROW WHICH WOULD
ALLOW FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A MVFR CLOUD DECK BUILDING INTO THE
NORTHERN TAFS SITES BUT FOR THE MOMENT HAVE JUST CARRIED A CEILING
OF 3500-4000FT BUILDING IN AT ALL SITES OTHER THAN RUT.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING
NORTHWESTERLY AT 05-10 KNOTS MID DAY SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

06Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. WEAK
AND DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE 18Z SUNDAY TO 00Z MONDAY TO BRING SOME
CLOUDS AND MVFR POSSIBLE AT KSLK.

18Z TUESDAY ONWARD...VFR CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO MVFR/IFR AS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY. RAIN TRANSITIONS TO SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DEAL
NEAR TERM...DEAL
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...DEAL/MV

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