Expires:202105082000;;773532
FPUS51 KBTV 080719
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
315 AM EDT Sat May 8 2021
VTZ018-082000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
315 AM EDT Sat May 8 2021
.TODAY...Cloudy. A slight chance of showers this morning, then a
chance of showers this afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. Light
and variable winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers until
midnight, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper
30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Light and variable
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Light and variable winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Light and variable winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 50s.
$$
Expires:202105081100;;781658
ASUS41 KBTV 081031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT MAY 08 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-081100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 50 35 56 SE7 29.82F
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 40 35 83 CALM 29.88F
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 42 37 82 CALM 29.85F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 41 35 79 MISG 29.85S
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 40 34 79 CALM 29.86F
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 49 36 61 SE7 29.83S
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 43 37 79 SE9 29.84R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 39 37 92 CALM 29.86S
HIGHGATE* FAIR 49 33 53 E8 29.84R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 41 35 80 CALM 29.87S
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 44 39 82 CALM 29.82S
ISLAND POND* N/A 34 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 37 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 37 N/A N/A SE17 N/A WCI 28
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 46 41 81 SW5 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;776779
FXUS61 KBTV 080820
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
420 AM EDT Sat May 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Occasional rain showers over northern New York will slowly spread
into parts of Vermont by this afternoon, as cloudy conditions
prevail with temperatures in the 50s to near 60. Any lingering
showers will dissipate overnight with dry conditions and near normal
temperatures for Sunday. The threat for light rain mainly across
southern Vermont returns for late Sunday night into Monday with
temperatures trending below normal to start the new work week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 419 AM EDT Saturday...Water vapor early this morning shows a
rather unorganized mid/upper lvl pattern acrs the northern CONUS
with several features of note. First, developing coastal system will
pass east of the 40/70 benchmark today, while some mid/upper lvl
moisture is pulled back into our VT zones. Meanwhile, secondary 700
to 500mb vort is located over the eastern Great Lakes, along with
enhanced mid lvl moisture, which is helping in the development of
additional showers. These showers wl slowly move acrs northern NY
today, as mid level deformation axis slowly shears apart. Difficult
to determine areal coverage of precip, but have placed highest pops
acrs the SLV/Dacks, with likely/cat. QPF is also tricky with
relatively slow movement of showers, caused by weak steering flow
aloft, as winds thru 500mb are generally 10 knots or less. Thinking
most areas in the 0.10 to 0.30 range, but localized higher amounts
possible in the heavier showers. Have noted the RAP/HRRR and latest
06z NAM guidance has additional shower activity developing aft 18z
acrs the central/southern mtns of VT. Some very weak instability
develops, which combined with easterly flow up wl provide enough
lift to produce scattered showers this aftn acrs the mtns of VT.
Have mention chc pops to cover this potential with temps mainly in
the 50s to near 60F. Tonight, any lingering activity dissipates by
04z with some stratus/drizzle possible in the higher trrn of the
dacks and parts of the green mountains. NAM is most aggressive with
llvl moisture profiles, supporting this thinking. Temps with clouds
hold mainly in the 40s. On Sunday, weak 1015mb high pres located
from eastern Lake Ontario into southern New England wl keep us dry
with increasing mid/upper lvl clouds ahead of our next system
develop during the aftn hours. Progged 925mb temps btwn 5-6c, should
support highs mid 50s to lower 60s most locations, with mainly light
trrn driven winds.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 419 AM EDT Saturday...The North Country will be caught between
two areas of low pressure late Sunday into Monday. A shortwave
trough will result in a surface low passing to the south, while a
broad area of low pressure will be situated to the north associated
with an upstream upper-level low. Ultimately, this will bring cloud
skies and a chance of rain to the North Country for late Sunday into
Monday morning. However, recent trends in model guidance have
shifted south with the track of the surface low, keeping the best
chances for rain across the southern Adirondacks and southern
Vermont. Meanwhile, models are hinting at a narrow axis of dry air
and relatively higher pressure squeezing in between the the two
lows, keeping areas along the international border dry. Dry air will
further advect in from the west during the day on Monday as the
surface low pulls aways from the coast. This will cause rain to
briefly diminish, but will also help provide a little bit of
elevated instability with steeper lapse rates and cooling aloft.
Therefore, we could see some terrain driven scattered rain showers
late on Monday, especially as the upper low begins to pivot into the
Northeast during this time. The challenge will be the magnitude and
depth of the dry air and whether it is enough to stem rain
altogether. Overall, less than a quarter of an inch of rain is
expected for late Sunday through Monday. Temperatures will stay
slightly below normal on Monday with early morning lows in the 40s
and daytime highs in the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 419 AM EDT Saturday...Tuesday will bring additional chances for
rain, especially late in the day, as the upper low passes directly
overhead. Temperatures will be even cooler under brisk northwest
flow and subsequent cold air advection. Highs are expected in the
upper 40s to low 50s. Winds will be breezy with sustained speeds up
to 15 mph and gusts up to 20 mph. A warm and dry pattern is expected
thereafter as high pressure builds in, with temperatures warming
into the mid to upper 60s. By the end of the week, there exists a
chance of rain, though model guidance lacks agreement at this time.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...Mid level clouds continue to develop acrs
our taf sites this morning with some light rain approaching the
western parts of the SLV. This precip will slowly move eastward
and impact MSS aft 12z and SLK aft 15z. Given very dry low
levels initially, thinking moisture will help saturate column
and produce mvfr cigs at SLK/MSS by 12z. Elsewhere, anticipating
vfr conditions prevail through Saturday with light and variable
winds. Sounding profiles only show 5 to 10 knots up to 20,000
feet agl, so any winds will be light and trrn driven.
Outlook...
Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...Taber
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