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January 2021, Week 4

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Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 24 Jan 2021 06:50:02 -0500
Content-Type:
text/plain
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Expires:202101242100;;408901
FPUS51 KBTV 241117
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
614 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021


VTZ018-242100-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
614 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021

.TODAY...Mostly sunny and windy. Highs around 12. Northwest winds
20 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 60 mph, decreasing to 50 mph this
afternoon. Wind chill values as low as 25 below. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear and blustery, cold with lows around
1 above. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 19. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 6 above. North winds
around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 20s. Light and
variable winds. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10 above. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 15. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 20s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 5 to 10 above. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs 10 to 15. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold with lows around zero. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 20. 

$$


Expires:202101241200;;409475
ASUS41 KBTV 241131
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-241200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR      9  -3  58 NW12      30.14R WCI  -6          
MONTPELIER     CLEAR      3  -3  76 NW8       30.04R WCI -10          
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR      1  -4  79 CALM      30.06R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      4  -5  66 MISG      30.00R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       1  -5  75 W13G20    29.96S WCI -17          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR       1  -3  80 CALM      30.11R                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR      3  -1  83 NW7       30.08R WCI  -9          
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     10  -2  58 VRB6      30.03R WCI   0          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR       4  -6  63 W6        30.16R WCI  -7          
NEWPORT*       FAIR       3  -8  61 W10       30.00S WCI -13          
BENNINGTON     CLEAR      8  -2  63 VRB5      30.10R WCI   0          
ISLAND POND*     N/A      0 N/A N/A W1          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     -2 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -6 N/A N/A N48G71      N/A  WCI -39          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

$$


Expires:No;;410246
FXUS61 KBTV 241147
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
647 AM EST Sun Jan 24 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
The cold stretch with below normal temperatures will continue
through tonight, but we'll see a warming trend back towards
seasonally normal temperatures starting Monday. The remainder of
the week will feature very quiet weather as any impactful
weather systems are shunted to our south by Canadian high
pressure. Temperatures return to below normal Thursday night and
Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 624 AM EST Sunday...Very cold morning to wake up to with 
reported wind chills between -5 and -20 F. Wind Chill Advisories
remain in effect for portions of the forecast area through 10 
AM with no changes needed for this morning update. Previous 
discussion follows. 

Another cold and blustery day is in store for the North Country
today. Wind Chill Advisories remain in place until 10 AM for 
the northern Adirondacks as well as portions of northern 
Vermont, where wind chills as low as 25 below zero can be 
expected this morning. For the rest of the day, high pressure 
will begin to nudge in from the west, but still enough of a 
pressure gradient over our area to support gusty 
westerly/northwesterly winds with gusts generally 15 to 25 mph. 
High temperatures will be very similar to yesterday...low to mid
teens for most of the area. Wind chills today will be below 
zero for much of the area, and locally in the single digits 
above zero for the valleys. 

For tonight, just how cold we get remains a tricky forecast.  High 
pressure will continue to build in from the west, but still thinking 
we retain enough gradient flow to keep temperatures somewhat in 
check.  In addition, will see some low clouds (currently visible 
over Ontario and into Western New York) spread eastward into our 
area overnight, which will also limit degree of radiational cooling. 
Have forecast overnight lows in the low single digits for much of 
the area tonight, and between 0 and -10 degrees F for the colder 
hollows of the northern Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom.
Monday will be dry and slightly warmer, with highs in the upper
teens to low 20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 333 AM EST Sunday...High pressure to our north Monday night
will keep dry conditions over the area along with below normal low
temperatures. Readings should be in the single digits to lower teens
with a few spots in the northern Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom
of Vermont falling just below zero. Most of the area should also
remain dry on Tuesday, but moisture will be increasing across our
southern areas and this could bring a little light snow to parts of
northern New York and southern Vermont. Chances still look on the
low side and thus will go with only a slight chance for these areas
late Tuesday afternoon. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 20s to
around 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 333 AM EST Sunday...Not significant weather is expected Tuesday
night through Saturday. Still looking at a slight chance of light
snow down across southern Vermont and parts of northern New York
Tuesday night, but high pressure builds back down into the region on
Wednesday and persists into Thursday. Dry weather is expected both
days, but deepening low pressure over the mid-Atlantic region on
Thursday will increase the pressure gradient over the area and we
should see more wind across the region Thursday and Friday. Will
also be keeping an eye on an upper low moving down from Canada on
Friday which could bring some snow showers to the area and a
reinforcing shot of colder air for the weekend. Starting to see some
better agreement on this scenario. Will keep Friday and Saturday dry
for now as moisture may be very limited. However, colder air aloft
moving in could set us up for a repeat of what we have experienced
this weekend and have trended a bit colder with temperatures on
Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 12Z Monday...A few lingering low clouds over the area, 
mainly over higher terrain, but otherwise clear skies and VFR 
conditions for the majority of the TAF sites. The low clouds are
hovering around KSLK, resulting in some MVFR ceilings that are 
expected to remain in the vicinity through 14Z. After 14Z, 
widespread VFR forecast for the rest of the TAF period. Westerly
winds 5-15 knots will continue the end of the TAF period, with 
some gusts to 20 knots possible this afternoon. There is some 
low- level wind shear that will affect most terminals through 
around midday as a 40-50 knot northwesterly low-level jet moves 
through. 

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for VTZ003-
     004-006-007.
NY...Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for 
     NYZ029>031-034.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Duell
NEAR TERM...Duell
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Duell

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