Expires:200305302000;;445834
FPUS51 KBTV 300748
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-302000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
345 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY LATE. HIGH 65 TO 70. SOUTHEAST WIND
5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOW 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN. COOLER. HIGH IN THE 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. WINDY. LOW
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. WINDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER
40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 300857
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
450 AM AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003

A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE SHOWERY WX LATER TDY THRU EARLY
SATURDAY...THEN A SOAKING RAIN FOR LATER SAT INTO SUN.

CLOSED LOW LIFTING SLOWLY NORTH THRU ERN CANADA. A COULE OF WEAK
VORT LOBES AND ASSOCD SFC TROFS STILL TO CONTEND WITH TDY...BUT
DO NOT EXPECT AS MUCH SHWR ACTIVITY AS ON PREVIOUS 2 DAYS. SOMEWHAT
DRIER WL ARRIVE IN WRN ZONES BY LATER AM BUT NOT IN EAST TILL LATE IN
DAY. HAVE LIMITED ANY MENTION OF SHWRS IN NRN NY TO THIS AM...BUT CHC
WL CONTINUE THRU PM HRS IN VT. MARGINAL INSTABILTY ONCE AGAIN. CANT
RULE OUT ISOLD TSRA...BUT BETTER CHC WL BE EAST OF FA...SO OPTED FOR
NO MENTION ATTM. INBETWEEN SYSTEMS TONITE...EXPECT P/C KIES WITH
TEMPS IN 40S TO AROUND 50.

WEEKEND: ALL MODELS STILL INDICATING A MAJOR WX EVENT FOR SAT/SUN.
SHRTWV DIVING SEWRD ACRS WRN GRTLKS TDY WL DIG INTO OH VLY TONITE AND
CARVE OUT ANOTHER CLOSED LOW IN DELMARVA RGN SAT NITE. SFC LOW
BECOMES CAPTURED VERY EARLY...AND THEN STRENGTHENS AS THE WHOLE
SYSTEM LIFTS NEWRD SAT NITE/SUN ACRS SRN AND ERN NEW ENG. GFS
CONTINUES TO BRING IN RAIN VERY QUICKLY ON SATURDAY. ETA A BIT SLOWER
REGARDING THE ARRIVAL TIME OF THE RAIN...AND THIS SEEMS MORE
REASONABLE WITH SYSTEM CUTTING OFF WELL TO OUR SOUTH. WDSPRD RAIN FOR
SAT NITE INTO SUN. INCREASING NORTH WNDS DURING SUNDAY. H8 TEMPS
FALLING DURING DAY...APRCHG ZERO. NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THE
HIR PEAKS MAY SEE SOME SNOW MIX IN AT SOME POINT. EXPECT MAX TEMPS
SUNDAY TO BE CLOSE TO THE EARLY MORNING VALUES...THEN STEADY OR
SLOWLY FALLING DURING THE DAY. PCPN AMTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
PSBL...WITH THE GREATEST AMTS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN VT. SEEING THAT IT
WL BE FALLING OVER A PERIOD OF 24 HRS OR MORE...THE RIVERS SHOULD BE
ABLE TO HANDLE THE AMT OF RAIN FCST...BUT LATER SHIFTS WL HAVE TO
EVALUATE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL.

SUN NITE/MON: PCPN GRDLY DIMINSHES FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT. SHWRS MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN NE VT. BRISK
NW WNDS WITH TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL.

EXTENDED: NO CHANGES TO EARLIER FCST. CLOSED LOW MAKES ITS WAY
SLOWLY UP THRU MARITIMES TUE/WED. TEMPS MODERATING...BUT STILL BELOW
NORMAL. MAINLY DRY TUE/WED WITH CHC SHWRS RETURNING BY THURSDAY.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





FXUS61 KBTV 300057
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION....UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
900 PM EDT THU MAY 29 2003

CRNT: PESKY...VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SLOWLY LOSING ITS GRIP AND
LIFTING NE ACRS ERN QUEBEC/NEW BRUNSWICK. DIURNAL INSTABILITY -SHRA
LOSING STEAM AND SHLD SEE CONT DECREASING OF -SHRA ACTVTY AND SOME
PRTL CLRG. GIVEN THE ABV AND SOME PAST HISTORY OF PTCHY FOG THE LAST
FEW NGTS...WL GO WITH PERSISTENCE AND ADD IT TO FCST.

OTHERWISE...PRVS FCST LOOKS GOOD AND THX TO ALY/GYX FOR PROVIDING
BACK-UP ERLR TDY.

SLW

...PRVS DISC ISSUED BY ALBANY...
.DISC...NUMEROUS SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MAINLY THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS THUS FAR. SOME OF THE
RAIN HAS BEEN BRIEFLY HEAVY WITH THESE. SURPRISINGLY...MUCH LESSER
SHOWERS COVER THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM BUT THE TREND IS BUILDING THERE.
SO FAR...ONLY ONE OR TWO LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN NOTED NORTH OF
THE BORDER. THE SPECIAL 15Z ALY RAOB SHOWS A WARM LAYER AT 875 MB
WHICH MIGHT BE INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT THUNDER. VILS THUS FAR
HAVE BEEN A FRACTION OF WHAT THEY WERE YESTERDAY...BUT THE AFTERNOON
IS STILL YOUNG. NEVERTHELESS...THE CORE OF THE UPPER AIR LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST...AND BY TOMORROW...WILL FINALLY BE OUT OF
OUR HAIR. I BELIEVE SOLAR HEATING IS THE MAIN IMPETUS BEHIND THE
SHOWER FORMATION...THEREFORE EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO WITHER DOWN
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AND HAVE THUS INCLUDE AN EARLY EVENING PERIOD.
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER AS WELL. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE IN THE NE KINGDOM WHERE I KEEP SHOWER
CHANCES ALL NIGHT LONG.

.FRIDAY...ONCE THE ACTIVITY DIES DOWN...WE INITIALLY WILL BE LEFT
WITH LOTS OF LOW CLOUDS. IN THE NE KINGDOM WILL ADD SOME DRIZZLE AND
FOG  LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. WHILE NO REAL HIGH PRESSURE IS EVIDENT ON
FRIDAY...SOMETHING RESEMBLING DRYING AND DOWNWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT.
THE ETA STILL INDICATES AFTERNOON SURFACE BASED CAPES AROUND 200
J/KG SO ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS...BUT
LOOKS BELOW THE 30 PCT THRESHOLD REQUIRED TO LEGALLY CALL A
CHANCE. FOR BETTER OR WORSE...WILL REMOVE THE CHANCE IN ALL AREAS.

.WEEKEND...THE NEXT INSTALLMENT OF THE TROUGH WILL EVOLVE AS
ANOTHER STRONG PIECE OF ENERGY DUMB BELLS AROUND THE OLD TROUGH
CENTER...TO CARVE OUT AN NEW UPPER LOW AND RESULTANT SURFACE
LOW...ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND TRACKING ALONG...OR SLIGHT IN FROM
THE COAST. THE WHOLE THING WILL LIFT NORTH. THE SCENARIO LOOKS
WINTRY...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE GFS IS INDICATING H850 TEMPS TO
DROP BELOW 0C BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY! 1000-850
THICKNESSES DROP TO 1320. THE SCARIEST PART IS WE ARE ABOUT TO
START JUNE BY SUNDAY. A CHILLY SOAKING RAIN STILL LOOKS IN THE
OFFING LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE GFS PROJECTING AMOUNTS
UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE. INDEED THIS WOULD APPROACH OR
EVEN EXCEED FFG VALUES WHICH ARE ABOUT 2 INCHES OR LESS ACROSS THE
REGION. SOMETHING FOR LATER CREWS TO CONSIDER...A POSSIBLE FFA.
ALSO...THE AIR MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME WET SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...ALTHOUGH AT THIS POINT WAY TOO EARLY TO REALLY MENTION.

.EXTENDED...THE UPPER LOW "CAPTURES" THE SURFACE LOW BY SUNDAY...AND
SLOWLY THEY DEPART TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. A GUSTY NW FLOW WILL
FOLLOW KEEPING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. THE LATEST GFS KEEPS
THE LOW CENTER NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY. WILL KEEP IT DRY MON AND TUESDAY...BUT WITH TYPE
OF FLOW...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS
OF THE MOUNTAINS. FINALLY...BY WEDNESDAY...THIS TROUGH LIFTS
OUT...ONLY TO ALLOW ANOTHER DISTURBANCE...FURTHER WEST...TO BEGIN TO
MOVE IN. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO STAY AT OR BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.

.BTV...NONE.








FXUS61 KBTV 292003
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
400 PM EDT THU MAY 29 2003

WORKZONES AVAILABLE. GRIDS WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE. MY APOLOGIZES FOR
RUNNING A LITTLE LATE WITH THIS PACKAGE.

.DISC...NUMEROUS SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MAINLY THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS THUS FAR. SOME OF THE
RAIN HAS BEEN BRIEFLY HEAVY WITH THESE. SURPRISINGLY...MUCH LESSER
SHOWERS COVER THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM BUT THE TREND IS BUILDING THERE.
SO FAR...ONLY ONE OR TWO LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN NOTED NORTH OF
THE BORDER. THE SPECIAL 15Z ALY RAOB SHOWS A WARM LAYER AT 875 MB
WHICH MIGHT BE INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT THUNDER. VILS THUS FAR
HAVE BEEN A FRACTION OF WHAT THEY WERE YESTERDAY...BUT THE AFTERNOON
IS STILL YOUNG. NEVERTHELESS...THE CORE OF THE UPPER AIR LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST...AND BY TOMORROW...WILL FINALLY BE OUT OF
OUR HAIR. I BELIEVE SOLAR HEATING IS THE MAIN IMPETUS BEHIND THE
SHOWER FORMATION...THEREFORE EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO WITHER DOWN
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AND HAVE THUS INCLUDE AN EARLY EVENING PERIOD.
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER AS WELL. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE IN THE NE KINGDOM WHERE I KEEP SHOWER
CHANCES ALL NIGHT LONG.

.FRIDAY...ONCE THE ACTIVITY DIES DOWN...WE INITIALLY WILL BE LEFT
WITH LOTS OF LOW CLOUDS. IN THE NE KINGDOM WILL ADD SOME DRIZZLE AND
FOG  LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. WHILE NO REAL HIGH PRESSURE IS EVIDENT ON
FRIDAY...SOMETHING RESEMBLING DRYING AND DOWNWARD MOTION IS EVIDENT.
THE ETA STILL INDICATES AFTERNOON SURFACE BASED CAPES AROUND 200
J/KG SO ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS...BUT
LOOKS BELOW THE 30 PCT THRESHOLD REQUIRED TO LEGALLY CALL A
CHANCE. FOR BETTER OR WORSE...WILL REMOVE THE CHANCE IN ALL AREAS.

.WEEKEND...THE NEXT INSTALLMENT OF THE TROUGH WILL EVOLVE AS
ANOTHER STRONG PIECE OF ENERGY DUMB BELLS AROUND THE OLD TROUGH
CENTER...TO CARVE OUT AN NEW UPPER LOW AND RESULTANT SURFACE
LOW...ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND TRACKING ALONG...OR SLIGHT IN FROM
THE COAST. THE WHOLE THING WILL LIFT NORTH. THE SCENARIO LOOKS
WINTRY...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE GFS IS INDICATING H850 TEMPS TO
DROP BELOW 0C BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY! 1000-850
THICKNESSES DROP TO 1320. THE SCARIEST PART IS WE ARE ABOUT TO
START JUNE BY SUNDAY. A CHILLY SOAKING RAIN STILL LOOKS IN THE
OFFING LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THE GFS PROJECTING AMOUNTS
UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE. INDEED THIS WOULD APPROACH OR
EVEN EXCEED FFG VALUES WHICH ARE ABOUT 2 INCHES OR LESS ACROSS THE
REGION. SOMETHING FOR LATER CREWS TO CONSIDER...A POSSIBLE FFA.
ALSO...THE AIR MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME WET SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...ALTHOUGH AT THIS POINT WAY TOO EARLY TO REALLY MENTION.

.EXTENDED...THE UPPER LOW "CAPTURES" THE SURFACE LOW BY SUNDAY...AND
SLOWLY THEY DEPART TO THE EAST ON MONDAY. A GUSTY NW FLOW WILL
FOLLOW KEEPING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. THE LATEST GFS KEEPS
THE LOW CENTER NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH
AT LEAST TUESDAY. WILL KEEP IT DRY MON AND TUESDAY...BUT WITH TYPE
OF FLOW...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS
OF THE MOUNTAINS. FINALLY...BY WEDNESDAY...THIS TROUGH LIFTS
OUT...ONLY TO ALLOW ANOTHER DISTURBANCE...FURTHER WEST...TO BEGIN TO
MOVE IN. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO STAY AT OR BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.

.BTV...NONE.






   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

628
ASUS51 KBTV 301105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-301200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    58  55  90 CALM      29.54R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    54  54 100 CALM      29.57R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    57  53  86 N5        29.55R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     55  54  96 CALM      29.51R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    55  54  94 CALM      29.56S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    54  53  97 CALM      29.55R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    57  51  80 CALM      29.58R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 345 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2003

 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 70.
 NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
 .SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY LATE. HIGH 65 TO 70. SOUTHEAST WIND
 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOW 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
 .SUNDAY...RAIN. COOLER. HIGH IN THE 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100
 PERCENT.
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. WINDY. LOW
 IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
 .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. WINDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
 50S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER
 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

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