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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 2 Mar 2017 06:50:04 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (226 lines)

Expires:201703022100;;885962
FPUS51 KBTV 021130
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
627 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2017


VTZ006-022100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
627 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...Snow showers likely...mainly this morning. Total snow
accumulation a dusting to 2 inches. Breezy with Highs in the mid
30s. Temperature falling into the lower 20s this afternoon.
Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. Chance of snow
70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight...then mostly cloudy with a
slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Lows around 8 above.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph...decreasing to
30 mph after midnight. Chance of snow 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 20. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder with Lows around 2 below.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Wind chill
values as low as 24 below. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 11. Northwest winds around
15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as
22 below. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear, cold with Lows around zero. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 30s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 40s. 

$$


Expires:201703021200;;886084
ASUS41 KBTV 021130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU MAR 02 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-021200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    40  23  50 W15G23    29.28F WCI  32          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    39  24  55 SW14G25   29.28F WCI  31          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    39  21  48 MISG      29.26R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     38  34  85 MISG      29.23F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    36  29  75 SW13G23   29.23F WCI  28          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    38  17  41 CALM      29.32R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    41  23  48 W10G32    29.32F                  
HIGHGATE*      FLURRIES  32  28  87 W7G16     29.31R WCI  25          
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    37  22  55 SW32G45   29.24F WCI  23          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    39  29  67 MISG      29.37F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     37 N/A N/A W14         N/A  WCI  29          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A W45         N/A  WCI   2          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     37  25  60 W26G35      N/A  WCI  26          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  23  52 W28G40      N/A  WCI  28          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     43  23  45 SW28G38     N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;886684
FXUS61 KBTV 021148
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
648 AM EST Thu Mar 2 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
The region will remain under cyclonic flow from departing low
pressure today with gusty winds of 40 to 50 mph and scattered 
snow showers or flurries, mainly this morning. Much colder 
weather will move into the north country remain through Sunday. 
A high pressure area will build slowly east from the Great Lakes
and will crest over the north country on Sunday morning with 
mostly clear skies. Warmer weather will return early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 647 AM EST Thursday...

Wind advisories continue today for much of the area for winds 
gusting from 45 to 50 mph. Strongest this morning in NY but 
lingering in eastern VT through sunset.

Core of strongest winds now overhead and have a noted a few power 
outages. NY mesonet site at Ellenburg gusted to 56 mph earlier this 
morning and Elmore VT to 53 mph.

Slight tweaks with this update to adjust rate of temperature 
fall which is slightly slower than forecast earlier.

A secondary cold front will be passing southeastward through the 
area this morning with a second surge of gusty winds, falling 
temperatures and snow showers/flurries. Snow showers most 
persistent over and downwind of the mountains with 1 to 3 inches
possible at the higher elevations and just some flurries 
elsewhere. Froude numbers jumping super critical with deep mixed
layer and strong boundary layer winds of 30 to 40 knots which 
means snow falls over and downwind of the mountains. Also means 
downslope winds will be strongest on the east slopes of the 
Green mountains at places like Westfield, Stowe, Waitsfield in 
VT and the east slopes of the Adirondacks.

Temps will be steady or falling through the day with readings 
in the 20s except a few teens by afternoon in the higher 
elevations mainly in the Adirondacks while SE VT is the warm 
spot today in the mid 30s before falling.

Clearing is expected most places later today and overnight
tonight as much drier air moves into the region except perhaps 
lingering clouds and flurries in the northern Greens. Still 
under enough NW flow to keep the boundary layer mixed. Low temps
generally 5 to 15, warmest in the Champlain Valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 416 AM EST Thursday...Upper level low moves southeast 
across eastern Canada during this time period. Pronounced 
northwest flow aloft develops on Saturday as this feature moves 
east of the area. This scenario will essentially support below 
normal temperatures Friday through Saturday on strong cold air 
advection. Highs on Friday will be in the upper teens to upper 
20s and only in the single digits and teens on Saturday. Lows 
Friday night will be in the single digits above and below zero. 
Of note will be the gusty winds that develop Friday night into 
Saturday. This will create wind chill values in the 15 to 25 
below range with even colder values in the mountains. From 
record temperatures on Wednesday to wind chill issues three days
later...interesting. Drier air moving down from Canada in this 
pattern should essentially keep much of the area dry during this
period.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 416 AM EST Thursday...The cold snap will be short lived 
with below normal temperatures continuing Saturday night and 
Sunday...but above normal temperatures are expected for the 
Monday through Wednesday time period. Dry weather continues on 
Sunday but a weak warm front Sunday night into Monday could 
bring some light snow to the area...but should not be anything 
significant. At this time looks like the best chance for 
precipitation will come Tuesday night into Wednesday as upper 
trough approaches from the west. Southwest flow aloft over the 
area will provide a warmer and more moist flow of air into the 
region for the bulk of the precipitation to be in the form of 
rain.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Through 12Z Friday...Mainly VFR at KBTV/KPBG/KMPV/KRUT today 
but with locally MVFR/IFR in snow showers until 16Z at 
KMSS/KSLK. Can't rule out a brief flurry elsewhere as winds 
shift to W-NW with strong cold advection. Some VFR ceilings 
lingering overnight.

Expecting WNW surface wind gusts at or above 30 knots continuing
through about sunset decreasing to 5 to 10 knots overnight.

Outlook 12Z Friday through Monday...

06Z Friday through 06Z Monday...Mainly VFR as a ridge of high 
pressure builds slowly east from the Great Lakes through the 
period.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for VTZ003-004-
     006>008-010-012-016>019.
NY...Wind Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NYZ026-027-
     029>031-034-087.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Sisson
NEAR TERM...Sisson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Sisson

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