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June 2018, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 6 Jun 2018 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (221 lines)
Expires:201806062000;;508071
FPUS51 KBTV 060806
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
404 AM EDT Wed Jun 6 2018


VTZ006-062000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
404 AM EDT Wed Jun 6 2018

.TODAY...Patchy fog this morning. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance
of showers this morning, then partly sunny this afternoon. Highs in
the mid 60s. Light and variable winds, becoming northwest around
10 mph this afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows in the upper 40s. Light and variable winds. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a
slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 70.
Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. 

$$


Expires:201806061100;;514288
ASUS41 KBTV 061030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 06 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-061100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    54  50  86 CALM      29.79R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       44  44 100 CALM      29.82R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    45  45 100 CALM      29.80R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     50  49  96 MISG      29.76R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    50  47  90 CALM      29.80R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    51  49  94 CALM      29.81R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    48  48 100 CALM      29.81R FOG              
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       43  43 100 CALM      29.80R VSB<1/4          
HIGHGATE*        N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    48  48 100 CALM      29.80R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    51  49  92 S3        29.80R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     50 N/A N/A W6          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A NW14        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     54  54 100 SW3         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     52  50  93 W5          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     52  54 100 SW2         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;507720
FXUS61 KBTV 060800
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
400 AM EDT Wed Jun 6 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An area of high pressure will generally prevail across the 
North Country today and through the end of the week. Low clouds
and areas of fog will dissipate early this morning, with skies
becoming mostly sunny. Temperatures will reach the mid to upper
60s this afternoon, and moderate into the 70s for Thursday
through Sunday. An upper level disturbance moving eastward along
the International Border may bring a few light showers across
northern sections on Thursday afternoon, but overall chances 
for precipitation will generally be low over the next 3 to 5 
days.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Wednesday...Relatively quiet forecast for the
next 24 to 36 hrs. The mid-tropospheric low that resulted in 
the cool/unsettled conditions across the North Country during 
the past 2 days has become an open 700-500mb wave and is 
translating east of New England this morning with a lessening
influence on our weather. Partial clearing with light winds and
wet ground conditions has resulted in areas of low clouds and 
patchy radiational fog early this morning, with temperatures 
mainly in the upr 40s to lower 50s. With the high June sun 
angle, generally expect the fog and low cloudiness to dissipate 
rather quickly after sunrise, leaving partly to mostly sunny 
conditions for the balance of the day. Can't completely rule out
a brief afternoon shower - mainly over the higher terrain - 
with development of shallow instability with daytime heating. 
Kept PoPs below 20%. Not much change in temperatures with 
afternoon highs expected in the mid-upr 60s. 

Weak high pressure in place tonight and Thursday. Should see
continued light winds, though they will shift into the S-SW at
5-10mph on Thursday. Overnight lows expected to range from the 
mid 40s to low 50s. A weak shortwave trough translating ewd 
across srn Quebec and the International Border will bring a 
slight chance of a daytime shower on Thursday, mainly across 
n-central into nern VT (PoPs around 30% in the Northeast 
Kingdom). Otherwise, air mass will continue to moderate with 
partly sunny skies contributing to afternoon highs in the low- 
mid 70s for Thursday. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday...Thursday night through Friday morning, 
a front will push through the forecast area from north to 
south. A few areas may see a rain shower or two when the front
passes, however expecting a mainly dry frontal passage due to 
limited moisture in the northwesterly flow. By Friday afternoon,
surface ridging will build behind the front and we should see a
good bit of sunshine during the afternoon. Temperatures will 
remain fairly close to seasonal norms with highs generally in 
the low 70s and lows in the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 320 AM EDT Wednesday...Quiet weather overall will persist 
through the long term. A longwave trough over eastern Canada 
will induce enough northwesterly steering flow over New England 
to keep a stalled frontal boundary suppressed to our south over 
the weekend. Much of the Mid-Atlantic Region will see measurable
rainfall from this feature, but models continue to keep the 
impacts from this system just to the south of our forecast area.
North of the front, expecting a pleasant and mainly dry weekend
for the North Country.

Omega block still looks on track to set up early next week over 
the CONUS. For us in western New England, that means more 
northwesterly flow bringing down mostly dry air from Canada, 
with the most active weather being kept well to our south. This 
pattern will, however, open us up to the influence of any 
shortwaves digging into the East Coast trough from Canada. Can't
rule out some light showers with any of these disturbances that move
through, but certainly no wash-outs expected for the first half
of next week under this pattern. 

Temperatures will be fairly moderate for June. Highs will
continue to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s and lows in the upper
40s to mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12Z Thursday...Predominant MVFR to IFR conditions 
expected thru 12Z owing to combination of fog and low cloudiness
in moist/light wind regime across the North Country early this 
morning. May see a brief shower or sprinkle, but measurable
precipitation is not expected at the TAF sites. The high June 
sun angle will allow fog and low clouds to generally dissipate 
by 12-14Z, leaving VFR conditions for the balance of the TAF 
period. Weak pressure field across the region will maintain 
light winds generally 5 kts or less thru the period, with wind 
direction generally NW or N. 

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...RSD
LONG TERM...RSD
AVIATION...Banacos

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