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June 2014, Week 3

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Tue, 17 Jun 2014 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (175 lines)
Expires:201406172000;;546730
FPUS51 KBTV 170729
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
329 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2014

VTZ006-172000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
329 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS
LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201406171100;;553741
ASUS41 KBTV 171030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   62  56  80 CALM      30.00R                  
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   56  55  97 CALM      30.07R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     55  53  93 CALM      30.03R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  53  86 MISG      30.01R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    58  54  85 CALM      30.05R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      63  61  93 CALM      30.01R                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     59  54  82 SE7       30.04R                  
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     56  55  97 CALM      30.04R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      63  59  87 CALM      30.01R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      57  53  86 SW6       30.03R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     56  54  93 CALM      30.04R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A NW14        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  61  88 S1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  59  82 W1          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  59  82 S1          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;548848
FXUS61 KBTV 170828
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
428 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH SOME SUNSHINE AND 
WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO EARLY 
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEDNESDAY WILL REMAIN WARM WITH THE CHANCE OF A 
FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS AS A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH 
ACROSS THE AREA. A VERY PLEASANT CANADIAN AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL 
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS WITH 
HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY MOSTLY IN THE 70S.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 422 AM EDT TUESDAY...A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT 
SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION INTO MID AFTERNOON...
PROVIDING THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WITH AT 
LEAST PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. 850 MB TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO +14 TO +15C 
THIS AFTERNOON...SUPPORTING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 
80S. CLOUD COVER INCREASES DURING THE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING. IT
SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH THERE IS THE
CHANCE THAT SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM MAY ENTER WESTERN
ZONES TOWARDS EVENING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 422 AM EDT TUESDAY...WEATHER WILL TURN MORE ACTIVE TONIGHT
WITH SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN ON WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY TRACK SOUTH OF OUR CWA AS DECAYING
STAGE OF THESE FEATURES TENDS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
ANTICYCLONIC TURN...INTO REGION OF GREATER INSTABILITY. BUT WE
WILL SEE INCREASED THREAT OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT DUE MID LEVEL VORT AND ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE LOW WHICH
WILL TRACK NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER OVERNIGHT. HAVE GONE WITH
A PERIOD OF AT LEAST LIKELY POPS FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...THOUGH ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE WITH CAPE VALUES GENERALLY 500 J/KG OR LESS. MAIN THREAT
WOULD BE SOME BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS A RIBBON OF PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.75 INCHES CROSSES THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
IT WILL BE A MILD NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
WITH PASSAGE OF SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE EARLY 
WEDNESDAY...WE WILL BE LEFT WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND CONTINUED 
WARM TEMPERATURES. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DIMINISH EARLY IN THE 
DAY...BUT THEN INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD 
FRONT DROPS SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. HAVE CONTINUED WITH 
CHANCE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS. TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO TODAY 
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR A STORM 
CONTINUE WEDNESDAY EVENING...BUT AS FRONT PUSHES SOUTH...WE WILL SEE 
DRIER AND COOLER AIR GRADUALLY WORK INTO THE REGION...ALTHOUGH 
CLOUDS MAY LINGER FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. EXPECT LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 
50S. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THURSDAY WITH LARGE CUTOFF LOW 
OVER EASTERN CANADA AND BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT 
LAKES. EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS 
WITH NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 422 AM EDT TUESDAY...EXTENDED FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR AT OR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH DRY WEATHER FOR FIRST HALF OF THE
PERIOD AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE SECOND HALF.
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES 
WILL KEEP THE AREA IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER...PLENTY OF 
SUNSHINE...AND TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. THE FLOW 
ALOFT BECOMES MORE WEST AND SOUTHWEST SUNDAY INTO MONDAY IN RESPONSE 
TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE 
CHANCES FOR SOME SHOWERS AND WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST 
WHICH ALREADY HAS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MENTIONED...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY 
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 
SEASONAL NORMALS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH MOST OF
THE PERIOD. THE ONLY REAL EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KMSS...KSLK...AND
KMPV THROUGH 12Z WHERE IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FROM TIME TO
TIME DUE TO LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE EARLY...THEN BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS UNDER
10 KNOTS. SOME SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 02Z...BUT VFR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
00Z WED THRU 12Z THU...GENERALLY VFR WITH A PERIOD OF MVFR SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED IFR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
12Z THU THRU 00Z SUN...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/MUCCILLI

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