Expires:202008172000;;372670
FPUS51 KBTV 170718
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020
VTZ006-172000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
316 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.TODAY...Partly sunny. Patchy dense fog this morning. Showers
likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon.
Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain
70 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely with a slight chance of
thunderstorms until midnight, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s. Light and
variable winds, becoming southwest around 10 mph after midnight.
Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY...A chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in
the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Light and variable winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
$$
Expires:202008171100;;380237
ASUS41 KBTV 171030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON AUG 17 2020
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 62 56 80 E5 29.90R
MONTPELIER FOG 52 52 100 CALM 29.98R VSB 3/4
MORRISVILLE PTCLDY 54 53 97 S6 29.93S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 55 54 96 MISG 29.94R
LYNDONVILLE* FOG 54 53 97 CALM 29.97R VSB<1/4
RUTLAND* PTCLDY 57 57 100 SE8 29.95R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 58 56 93 CALM 29.95R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 63 57 82 CALM 29.90R
NEWPORT* FAIR 55 54 94 CALM 29.95R
BENNINGTON CLEAR 53 51 93 CALM 29.94R
ISLAND POND* N/A 48 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 57 N/A N/A SW7 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 66 59 77 SE14 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 66 59 77 S16 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 64 59 82 S7 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;375723
FXUS61 KBTV 170825
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
425 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
This evening will be another pleasant one with a few lingering
showers possible. Precipitation chances increase from west to east
on Monday as a cold front crosses the region. After the frontal
passage, cooler and drier conditions will prevail through much
of the latter half of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Monday...An area of scattered showers and some
embedded thunderstorms is continuing to push eastward across
our area early this morning. These showers are tied to an
approaching 700mb trough. A cold frontal boundary and mid-level
shortwave trough will cross the region today into tonight. The
front will come through in pieces, with one boundary/surface
trough to come through during the daylight hours followed by
another trough/secondary front in the evening and overnight.
This means we'll have a couple separate rounds of storms.
Our environment is lacking any significant instability due to
weak mid level lapse rates. Shear will increase a bit as an
upper trough approaches from the west. This means will have a
bit better dynamic support for the evening convection, though
instability will be waning with the loss of daytime heating at
that time. Widespread strong/severe storms are not anticipated,
but some of the more robust cells could produce some gusty
winds, mainly across the St Lawrence Valley into portions of the
Adirondacks. Showers will likely continue overnight as the
secondary front pushes across the region, with perhaps a bit of
lightning overnight as well. Maximum temperatures today will
range through the 70s due to lots of clouds and a couple rounds
of precipitation expected. Low temperatures tonight will range
through the 50s, warmest along Lake Champlain. We will still
have the upper level trough over our region for Tuesday,
therefore further showers are anticipated, especially tied to
the higher terrain along our northern zones. Highs on Tuesday
will also range through the 70s. These temperatures are very
close to seasonal normals though will likely feel cool after the
above normal temperatures that we've recently experienced.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 303 AM EDT Monday...Base of upper trough swings through
the region during the Tuesday night/Wednesday time frame along
with partly cloudy skies and seasonable to slightly below normal
temperatures. Can't rule out a brief northern mountain sprinkle
or light shower through this period but by and large dry
weather should be the rule. Lows Tuesday night mainly from the
upper 40s to mid 50s with corresponding highs on Wednesday in
the upper 60s to mid 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 303 AM EDT Monday...Building model consensus that upper
trough then lifts out through late week with a gradual warming
trend and dry weather through Friday as upper flow trends more
zonal in nature. A northern stream shortwave trough and
attendant surface front still appears likely to affect the
region by next Sat/Sun with increasing chances of showers and
perhaps a few storms. Highs in the 70s on Thursday warm into the
upper 70s to mid 80s by Saturday ahead of the aforementioned
surface front, then cool slightly by early next week as the
trough clears east.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Area of showers with isolated thunder
pushing through MSS currently, and will impact SLK in the next
hour or so. This line of showers will fall apart as it pushes
eastward. Still think we'll see some more showers push through
the area this afternoon. Some fog formation is anticipated at
MPV between about 7-11z. Typical gap winds expected at RUT, and
elsewhere light winds overnight. By daybreak, a front
approaches MSS and SLK, causing prevailing wind to shift from
south to southwest between 12 and 18Z. Scattered showers will
affect these terminals mainly in the 3 to 5 hour period before
the FROPA, which will be around 14-15Z at MSS and SLK. Front
will hang up west of PBG, with southerly winds remaining through
00z at all VT sites, except in any showers and thunderstorms
that develop. At this time, uncertain on precisely when and
where these showers will develop, especially in VT, so have VCSH
with TSRA also possible with gusty winds after 18Z.
Outlook...
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
The NOAA Weather Radio transmitter atop Mount Mansfield remains
off the air due to equipment failure. Our technicians have
ordered parts, but time of return to service is unknown at this
time.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Neiles
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV
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