Expires:202305241800;;987437
FPUS51 KBTV 241011
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
607 AM EDT Wed May 24 2023
VTZ018-241800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
607 AM EDT Wed May 24 2023
.TODAY...A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms this morning, then showers this afternoon. Highs in
the lower 60s. Temperature falling into the upper 40s this
afternoon. Southwest winds around 10 mph, becoming north with
gusts up to 25 mph this afternoon. Chance of rain near
100 percent.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers until
midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance
of rain 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s.
$$
Expires:202305241100;;988112
ASUS41 KBTV 241030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAY 24 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-241100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 61 48 62 S14G24 30.00S TC 16
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 51 47 86 NE3 30.07S TC 11
MORRISVILLE MOCLDY 53 50 89 SE3 30.01F TC 12
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 51 43 74 MISG 30.03F TC 11
LYNDONVILLE* DRIZZLE 49 45 86 SE3 30.05F TC 10
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 58 49 71 S7 30.05S TC 14
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 51 48 89 SE10 30.07F TC 11
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 47 44 90 CALM 30.09F TC 8
NEWPORT* DRIZZLE 52 48 87 S7 30.03S TC 11
BENNINGTON PTCLDY 48 32 53 CALM 30.08F TC 9
ISLAND POND* N/A 54 N/A N/A SW6 N/A TC 12
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 45 N/A N/A MISG N/A TC 7
LAKE EDEN* N/A 52 N/A N/A CALM N/A TC 11
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 50 N/A N/A SW31 N/A TC 10
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 57 50 77 SW12 N/A TC 14
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 55 48 76 S17 N/A TC 13
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 59 48 67 S15 N/A TC 15
$$
Expires:No;;987661
FXUS61 KBTV 241018
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
618 AM EDT Wed May 24 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will cross the region today, bringing widespread
showers and possible thunderstorms, some of which may produce gusty
winds. Temperatures will fall sharply behind the front, making for a
chilly and blustery afternoon and evening. High pressure takes hold
thereafter, with a trend toward warmer and drier weather for
Memorial Day weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 615 AM EDT Wednesday...The cold front still lies poised to
to the north and west of the St Lawrence Valley this morning.
However, a prefrontal trough/wind shift line is making its way
into northern NY/VT, allowing some scattered showers to pop up
ahead of the main area of precipitation. Latest CAM runs
indicate that this preceding trough will serve as a focus for
additional shower development, especially over central/southern
sections closer to peak heating. Have updated PoPs and weather
accordingly. Also increased cloud cover this morning as per the
latest satellite. Otherwise the forecast remains in good shape
and no other changes were needed.
Previous discussion...The cold front can be seen making its
approach from Canada this morning. It should move into the St
Lawrence Valley by 7 am or so, then quickly scoot southeastward
across the forecast area through the day as an upper trough pivots
through Canada and becomes negatively tilted. The swath of showers
associated with front can already be seen on upstream radars;
although a few isolated showers will be possible ahead of the front,
it is this area of rain that will bring the bulk of today's
precipitation. As has been the trend over the past few forecast
packages, expect ample convergence with this boundary, though
instability is looking a little more meager, generally less than 500
J/kg and mainly confined to areas along and south of a line from
roughly St Johnsbury VT to Newcomb NY. So have continued with the
idea of a slight chance of thunder for those areas. Winds will
become gusty out of the south ahead of the front, and then quickly
surge out of the north/northwest as it passes through. Gusts of 30
mph will be possible with/just after the frontal passage. Brief
heavy downpours will be possible as well, though given the quick
forward movement of the front, total rainfall should be a third of
an inch or less in most spots. The temperature forecast is a bit
tricky for today, as much colder air will follow in the front's
wake. Most locations will have early daytime highs (potentially even
before or shortly after sunrise) as temperatures will in the 60s to
near 70 will quickly fall through the 50s and into the 40s this
afternoon/early evening. The incoming airmass will be much drier
too, and showers will quickly come to an end by midnight.
Temperatures will drop into the 30s areawide, coldest in the
Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. Continued north winds should be
enough to preclude frost development though, so no frost headlines
will be needed.
The upper low will stall over northern Maine Thursday, keeping us
under brisk north flow. Fair weather cumulus will pop up as we see
daytime heating, especially over the higher terrain. The airmass
will be pretty dry, but can't rule out a stray sprinkle over the
Northeast Kingdom, closest to the upper low. Highs will top out in
the mid 50s to lower 60s, several degrees below normal for late May.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 327 AM EDT Wednesday...Some unseasonably cold temperatures
linger around Thursday night. Overnight lows will be in the 30s to
low 40s, which is about 10 degrees below normal this time of year.
These chilly temperatures combined with lack of wind will support
the development of frost, particularly in the Adirondacks and
portions of eastern Vermont.
Luckily, this cold spell will come to end as high pressure starts to
nose its way into the region. Temperatures will be in the mid to
upper 60s. Some mostly sunny skies along with the warmer
temperatures will make for a beautiful end of the work week.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 327 AM EDT Wednesday...A beautiful Memorial Day weekend is in
store for the region as high pressure continues to build.
Temperatures on Saturday will be low to upper 70s, warming into the
80s for Sunday. Skies should continue to be mostly clear, allowing
for abundant sunshine.
The most recent model guidance is even drier than previous runs,
keep the next chance of appreciable precipitation outside of the
forecast period. Dry weather and warming temperatures can be
expected for the first portion of next week as high pressure
continues to be the dominate feature across the region.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...VFR conditions will prevail through 12Z
Wednesday with increasing mid-clouds through daybreak ahead of
an approaching cold front. The front will be at KMSS around 12Z
with cigs/vsby lowering to MVFR at all sites through the morning
in light to moderate rain, and winds rapidly shifting from the
south to northwest. Locally some gusts from 06-14Z are possible
at KBTV from the south, then all sites will see the potential
for gusts up to 25 kt along the frontal passage. Brief IFR is
additionally possible along the front. Conditions will improve
from northwest to southeast during the afternoon, but likely
after 00z.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Kremer
LONG TERM...Kremer
AVIATION...Hastings
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