Expires:201507032000;;017739
FPUS51 KBTV 030748
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015


VTZ006-032000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
345 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF
RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

$$


Expires:201507031100;;024095
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI JUL 03 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    50  47  89 CALM      29.95R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       45  44  97 CALM      30.00R VSB 1/2          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       45  43  93 CALM      29.97S VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     47  45  93 MISG      29.95R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      45  44  97 CALM      29.97R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      47  47 100 CALM      29.97R                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     46  41  81 SE7       29.99R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       47  46  97 CALM      29.98R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      50  49  94 CALM      29.94R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      47  45  93 SW5       29.95S                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     47  46  97 CALM      29.98R                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     45 N/A N/A NW12        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  52  77 SE9         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  54  82 S9          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     55  52  88 S7          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;017767
FXUS61 KBTV 030750
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
350 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE COMBINATION OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND PLENTY OF DRY AIR
ALOFT WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY. A FEW CLOUDS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING INTO THE 70S. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS TOWARD MORNING. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT FRIDAY...WATER VAPOR SHOWS LARGE AREA OF 
SUBSIDENCE ACROSS OUR CWA...WHILE A RIBBON OF MID LVL MOISTURE 
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK VORT IN FLOW ALOFT APPROACHES NORTHERN NEW 
YORK. THIS WILL PRODUCE A FEW CLOUDS...BUT GIVEN DEEP DRY LAYER NOT 
EXPECTING ANY PRECIP. AFTER A CHILLY START WITH AREAS OF VALLEY FOG 
THIS MORNING...TEMPS WILL QUICKLY WARM INTO THE U60S MTNS TO UPPER 
70S WARMER VALLEY WITH PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 7-9C. LIGHT 
TRRN/THERMALLY DRIVEN WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 
WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH TODAY. OVERALL A BEAUTIFUL DAY EXPECTED WITH 
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...PLEASANT TEMPS...AND LOW RH VALUES. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT FRIDAY...HAVE MADE SOME CHANGES WITH 
REGARDS TO THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WHICH FEATURES 
MORE CLOUDS AND INCREASED CHCS FOR RAIN SHOWERS. LATEST TRENDS IN 
THE MODELS HAS BEEN FOR SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM TO TRACK FURTHER 
NORTH ON SATURDAY. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH HOW TO HANDLE NORTHERN 
STREAM ENERGY DROPPING DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES...WHILE 
PLENTY OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH SOUTHERN STREAM VORT IS
LOCATED OVER THE MS VALLEY. THIS ENERGY AND MOISTURE WILL STREAK
NORTHEAST TONIGHT...BEFORE GETTING SHEARED OUT TO OUR SOUTH ON
SATURDAY NIGHT FROM APPROACHING NORTHERN STREAM TROF.
HOWEVER...LATEST TRENDS SHOW DEEPER 850 TO 500MB MOISTURE
IMPACTING OUR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWA...ALONG WITH SOME ENHANCED 850
TO 700MB UVVS. GIVEN DEEP DRY LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS OUR
CWA...THINKING INITIAL SURGE OF MOISTURE/LIFT WILL FALL APART
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN FA ON SATURDAY AFTN. HAVE NOTED A STRONG RRQ
OF 25H JET LIFTING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA...WHICH WILL HELP PULL
PRECIP NORTH. GIVEN DYNAMICS AND LATEST TRENDS I WILL MENTION LOW
LIKELY POPS SOUTHERN RUTLAND/WINDSOR COUNTIES AND TAPER OFF TO CHC
CENTRAL AND SCHC NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER ON SATURDAY. QPF
WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY <0.10" ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN CWA.
ANOTHER CHANGE WITH MORE CLOUDS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS...EXPECTING HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...ADDITIONAL NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY 
IMPACTS OUR NORTHERN CWA. ONCE AGAIN MOISTURE PROFILES ARE 
LIMITED...BUT 5H VORT IS PRETTY POTENT. WILL MENTION SCHC TO LOW CHC 
POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS ON SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY ASSOCIATED 
WITH THIS SYSTEM. QPF WILL BE LIGHT GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER 
MOISTURE. MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE BUILDS INTO OUR FA BY 18Z 
SUNDAY...RESULTING IN CLEARING SKIES AND WARMING TEMPS. PROGGED 85H 
TEMPS WARM BTWN 12-14C BY 00Z MONDAY...SUPPORTING HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S MTNS/NEK TO LOWER 80S CPV. 

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT FRIDAY...A VERY QUESTIONABLE AND FLUID FORECAST
PERIOD WITH A HINT OF SUMMER THEN PERHAPS A RETURN TO A JUNE
PATTERN.

SHORT WAVE RIDGING SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY ADMIST A SPLIT FLOW AROSS NE 
CONUS THEN THE APPROACH OF NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM ALONG WITH 
INTERACTION FROM A UPPER TROUGH AS PART OF THE SPLIT FLOW WILL 
LIKELY BRING SHOWERS/TSRA THREAT TUE AFTN THROUGH WED. FRONTAL 
BOUNDARY APPEARS IT MAY TRY TO HANG UP ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AS 
INDICATED YESTERDAY AND WPC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS. THEREFORE...CAN'T 
RULE OUT THREAT OF SHOWERS THROUGH END OF THE WEEK.

SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERRATURES AND DRY EARLY THEN A RETURN TO 
SEASONABLE LEVELS. NO HEAT WAVE AS ALONG AS WE STAY DOMINATED BY 
NORTHERN CYCLONIC FLOW WHICH IS BEING SUGGESTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH PERIOD
WITH THE ONE EXCEPTION BEING POTENTIAL IFR CONDITIONS FOR
KSLK/KMPV AND MVFR CONDITIONS FOR FOR KBTV/KMSS AROUND 07Z-11Z
DUE TO FOG/STRATUS. CONDITIONS WILL NOT PERSIST AND WILL CLEAR
RAPIDLY FOR ALL STATIONS. WINDS FOR THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BEFORE BECOMING WESTERLY AT 05-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

VFR WITH WEAK SFC HIGH PRES...EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE MVFR/IFR IN
FOG/BR AT MPV/SLK BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z FRIDAY NIGHT. UNCERTAINTY ON
SHOWER POTENTIAL THIS WEEKEND...WITH LATEST TRENDS SHOWING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS BEING LIMITED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND CONFINED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...MV/SLW

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