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October 2002, Week 2

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Subject:
From:
Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 13 Oct 2002 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (262 lines)
Expires:200210132000;;654224
FPUS51 KBTV 130737
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
337 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-132000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
337 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

.TODAY...CLOUDY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
DEVELOPING LATE. HIGH 55 TO 60. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY. LOW IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY. CHANCE OF RAIN 40
PERCENT.
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COOLER. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY. LOW 30 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
40S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 130725
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
325 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

CURRENTLY...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF AREA...WITH
TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT COOLER THAN LAST NIGHTS READINGS ACROSS THE
NORTH...DUE TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF RADIATIONAL COOLING AFTER SUNSET.
SPOTTY -RA/DZ ONGOING AS OLD MARITIME AIRMASS BEGINS TO BE DRAWN
NORTHWARD IN ADVANCE OF GREAT LAKES SYSTEM APPROACHING AREA.

TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...SHARP 500 HPA TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT RAPIDLY SWEEP THROUGH AREA LATER TODAY. ALL GUIDANCE HAS
QUICKENED PACE OF THIS SYSTEM...AND WILL ADVERTISE HIGHER POPS
TODAY...AND LEAVE A LINGERING CHANCE POP EASTERN ZONES THIS EVENING.
MOST QG FORCING/DYNAMICS PASS TO THE NORTH...BUT SPEED AND SHARPNESS
OF SFC AND 850 FRONT...AND PWAT PLUME OF 1 TO 1.25 INCHES SHOULD
PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR ALL AREAS TO RECEIVE A 2-3 HOUR PERIOD OF
STEADY SHOWERS. DEEP MOISTURE RAPIDLY EXITS NE TONIGHT...WITH MANY
VALLEY AREAS BEGINNING TO CLEAR OUT BEFORE SUNRISE. BLUSTERY NIGHT
ON TAP WITH PLENTY OF MIXING IN NW FLOW.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...COOL AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON
MONDAY...WITH GOOD MIXING TO 850 HPA. WINDS DIE DOWN RAPIDLY AFTER
SUNSET AND LARGE 1025 HPA RIDGE AXIS DIRECTLY OVERHEAD SUGGESTS
IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING. COLDEST NIGHT OF SEASON...WITH ALL AREAS
EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE LAKE CHAMPLAIN SHORE AND THE ISLANDS
EXPERIENCING A HARD FREEZE.

AFTERWARDS...LATEST GLOBAL ENSEMBLES CONTINUE ADVERTISEMENT OF
COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS WITH TROPICAL ORIGINS TO OCCUR TUESDAY ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST...AND RIDE NORTH TOWARDS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND DURING WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. SOLUTIONS OFFER VARYING DEGREES
OF STRENGTH AND SPEED WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT WILL ADVERTISE POSSIBLE
HEAVY RAIN IN HWO PRODUCT...AS CANADIAN AND UKMET SUGGESTING
POTENTIAL OF SLOWER SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS...SEASONABLY COOL AS AREA IN
BROAD WSW FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF FILLING POLAR VORTEX INVOF HUDSON BAY.

.BTV...NONE.

JMG








FXUS61 KBTV 130130
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
930 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002

SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NE VT AT TIME...
WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELESEWHERE. WILL WORD FCST AS BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN VT ZONES...AS SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING CLOUDS OVER NY
STATE SLOWLY MOVG EASTWARD INTO VT. COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING
SOME WEAK RETURNS ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NY...SO WILL ADD A MENTION OF SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT TO
THE ST LAWRENCE VLY AND THE ADIRONDACK ZONES. WIND SPEEDS ALSO
LIGHTER THAN PREVIOUS FCST...SO WILL LOWER THEM OVERNIGHT. MADE A
FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS AS WELL. OTHERWISE...
NO CHANGES TO THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH






FXUS61 KBTV 121856
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
255 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002

THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE RAIN THIS AFTERNOON IS JUST
ABOUT THROUGH SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND ONLY A FEW SHOWERS LINGER IN
OUR SOUTHERN VERMONT ZONES.  A SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS OVER SAINT
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD DISSIPATE
PRETTY QUICKLY AS WELL.  WILL CARRY EVENING CHANCE POPS ONLY IN
RUTLAND/WINDSOR ZONES...OTHERWISE DRY FORECAST TONIGHT.

WITH TODAYS RAIN ENDING...ATTENTION TURNS TO THE COLD FRONT DUE IN
HERE ON SUNDAY.  GOING FORECAST HAD TIMING WELL COVERED...WITH RAIN
MOVING WEST TO EAST. LIKELY POPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM LAKE CHAMPLAIN
WEST...THEN ENDING WEST TO EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. COOL AND BREEZY BEHIND
FRONT...WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES LOWER ON MONDAY.  SHOULD
FINALLY GET A FREEZE EVERYWHERE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING...WHEN
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER FORECAST AREA AND FEW CLOUDS WILL
LET TEMPERATURES RADIATE DOWN.

IN EXTENDED...GFS MODEL BLOWS UP TROPICAL SYSTEM AND BRINGS IT UP THE
COAST BY MID WEEK.  STILL A BIT FAR OUT TO JUMP IN WITH BOTH FEET...
BUT I LEFT CHC SHOWERS IN FOR WEDNESDAY.  AT THE SAME TIME...RIDGE
BUILDS IN WEST WITH UPPER TROUGH BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE EAST
FOR THE LAST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPS REMAIN COOLER ALL NEXT WEEK
UNDER LOWER HEIGHTS.

.BTV...NONE.

HANSON





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

940
ASUS51 KBTV 130805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-130900-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    53  45  74 S9        30.16F
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    45  43  93 CALM      30.24F
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    50  45  83 VRB3      30.21F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     41  40  96 CALM      30.22F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    52  46  82 S13G17    30.19F
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    50  49  96 CALM      30.22F FOG
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    54  47  77 E14G20    30.17F
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                      12 P.M Saturday October 12, 2002
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Paul Gebelein
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Saturday: Weather conditions will not be to bad for the Lyndon
   Institute football game, or for the LSC cross country meet. It will be
   cloudy with a few breaks for sun, there is also a chance of a few
   scattered showers. Highs will 58 to 63. Winds will be south 5 to 10
   mph.

   Tonight: Skies will be mostly cloudy with a chance of a few showers.
   Overnight lows will be 44 to 48, which is about 10 degrees warmer then
   they should be for this time of year. Winds will be light out of the
   south.

   Sunday: Cloudy skies with a chance of rain in the afternoon as a cold
   front will be moving into the area. So head to Redemption for the AMS
   car wash in the morning. High temperatures will be 55 to 60. Winds
   will be south 5 to 10 mph.

   Sunday Night: Rain likely, then ending after midnight. The rain could
   end as a few flurries of the higher elevations. Lows will be in the
   upper 30's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: Any morning showers will give way to afternoon sunshine. It
   will be much cooler with highs only in the upper 40's

   Tuesday: The weather looks great for looking at the foliage. Expect
   lots of sunshine with highs near 50.

   Wednesday: Any morning sunshine will give way to afternoon clouds.
   Highs will be 48 to 54.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Enjoy todays weather because it will be going down hill tomorrow. A
   cold front will be moving in from the west on Sunday bring a chance of
   rain in the afternoon. The front will move offshore early Monday
   Morning. The weather looks good in the afternoon on Columbus Day.
   Expect chilly weather for the balance of the week. Highs will be near
   50 during the day and in the 20's at night. In the tropics, Tropical
   Storm Kyle has been in the Atlantic for over 20 days. This is final
   advisory that the Hurricane Center is going to release on Kyle. Kyle
   is located 320 miles south of Nantucket Island with top winds of 45
   mph. The storm is moving off to the northeast and will not bother
   anyone except shipping interests in the north Atlantic.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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