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| Date: | Tue, 14 Mar 2006 13:57:04 -0500 |
| Content-Type: | text/plain |
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Scott, Thanks for the update...there are still plenty of us who care and
want to be informed regarding the snow forcast for this week--remember that
some of us will be out skiing this stuff at night while you are reading
college books, surfing the web, and drinking coofee in a dorm somewhere at
UVM!
On Tue, 14 Mar 2006 13:17:39 -0500, Scott Braaten <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>To keep those of you who care, informed...
>
>Will have a full discussion out later but here's my overall thinking:
>
>This event will be a moderate to borderline significant snowfall for VT
>ski resorts from MRG/SB region northward...and a significant snowfall for
>Whiteface in the Adirondacks based on my own terms of significant being 8"
>or greater.
>
>Snow showers over the Adirondacks and Green Mountains increase in coverage
>tonight with minimal accumulation by Wednesday morning in the Greens with
>up to 3" in parts of the 'Dacks.
>
>Snow continues in the 'Dacks on Wednesday with an additional 4-8" across
>northern and western Adirondacks before tapering off on Wednesday night.
>Total accumulations in the higher terrain of the north and western facing
>slopes will be in the 6-12" range.
>
>In the Green Mountains, snow continues on Wednesday with the heaviest snow
>falling later Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. Total accumulations will
>be 6-12" at Jay Peak with 5-10" at Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton and 4-8" down in
>the SB/MRG region. From Killington on southward, locally up to 4" may
>accumulate with most areas seeing a dusting to 2".
>
>This will be a significantly more localized event than the last one.
>Total precipitation amounts are going to be slightly less but the big
>difference will be the ratios will be less. Not often do you see 30 or 40
>to 1 snow ratios and I expect this to start out at 10:1 and go to 15:1 due
>to warmer airmass in place and mid-March insolation during the day on
>Wednesday. Thus, accumulations will be kept down. As always with upslope
>events, all I can do is give a rough estimate and see what happens
>(nowcast later tonight and tomorrow). My overall mindset with this event
>has been conservative as I think the wind direction is not as favorable as
>it could be for Vermont. It is certainly more favorable for the northern
>Adirondacks, possibly allowing Whiteface to pick up a foot or more.
>
>More technical discussion and thoughts later this evening but
>
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