Expires:202011182100;;019384
FPUS51 KBTV 181006
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
503 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020
VTZ006-182100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
503 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020
.TODAY...Cloudy with snow showers likely this morning, then
partly sunny this afternoon. Additional snow accumulation a
dusting to 1 inch. Highs in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of snow 60 percent.
.TONIGHT...Clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows around 11. West winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming
light and variable.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40. South winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s.
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of
rain 60 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance
of rain 60 percent.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s.
$$
Expires:202011181200;;022301
ASUS41 KBTV 181130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED NOV 18 2020
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-181200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FLURRIES 23 12 62 NW16G24 30.35R WCI 10
MONTPELIER LGT SNOW 18 14 84 NW13 30.30R FOG WCI 5
MORRISVILLE FLURRIES 20 13 74 N9G20 30.31R WCI 9
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 22 11 62 MISG 30.25R
LYNDONVILLE* FLURRIES 19 13 78 W8 30.25R WCI 8
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 21 11 65 N10 30.35R WCI 9
RUTLAND* MOCLDY 20 10 65 NW10G17 30.31R WCI 9
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 24 9 52 N12 30.28R WCI 13
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 23 9 54 NW5 30.37R WCI 17
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 19 12 73 W8 30.29R WCI 9
BENNINGTON PTCLDY 22 9 57 N9G21 30.29R WCI 12
ISLAND POND* N/A 18 N/A N/A NW6 N/A WCI 9
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 18 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 18 N/A N/A N1 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 9 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
$$
Expires:No;;021957
FXUS61 KBTV 181123
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
623 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the region today with morning
clouds/flurries giving way to partly cloudy/clear skies by
tonight. Milder weather returns for Thursday into the upcoming
weekend. The next chance of significant precipitation occurs by
later Sunday into Monday of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 505 AM EST Wednesday...Minor update to introduce higher
coverage of flurries/snow showers across northern higher
terrain and eastern Champlain Valley through mid-morning per
latest observational trends. Additional accumulations will be
quite light, but enough to perhaps cause a few slick spots in
elevated terrain where coverage has been more persistent
overnight. Have a great day!
Prior discussion...
Mainly a persistence forecast will be offered today.
Considerable clouds with scattered flurries/mtn snow showers
will continue this morning under blustery northwest flow, with
conditions trending partly cloudy to mostly clear by later
today/early evening as high pressure builds eastward and winds
abate. Highs today on the chilly side in the 20s to around 30,
and continued cold tonight - single digits/teens. Thicker high
cloud cover associated with robust warm thermal advection aloft
will arrive later at night allowing temperatures to trend steady
after midnight. Winds light, PoPs nil.
Variable, on and off high clouds then pass across the region for
Thursday as surface high slides east and winds trend south and gusty
over time. Dry weather continues as temperatures rebound nicely into
the upper 30s to mid 40s and locally near 50 in the SLV.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 252 AM EST Wednesday...No significant changes were
needed. The weather will be quiet and dry on Friday as surface
high pressure remains over the North Country. Main story will be
breezy southwesterly winds, mainly across our western-most
northern New York zones, as ~35-40 kt 925mb low level jet moves
overhead. Daytime mixing will allow for a period of vreezy winds
Friday afternoon with gusts in the 25-35 mph range for St
Lawrence, Franklin and western Clinton counties in NY.
Elsewhere, winds will be out of the south between 10-20 mph.
This jet exits northward towards 00z Saturday with wind gusts
overnight mainly in the 10-15 mph range. Persisent winds should
keep temps fairly mild going into Saturday with most locations
remaining in the lower to upper 30s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 252 AM EST Wednesday...Surface boundary sinks southward
out of southern Quebec Saturday but have continued to maintain
idea of a relatively dry passage. A few flurries/sprinkles may
be possible across the northern tier as best available moisture
is within the 1000-850mb layer. Sounding profiles do depict some
weak instability within this layer therefore cannot rule out
completely some very light precipitation. Expect near normal
temperatures on Saturday in the low/mid 40s. Guidance remains
fairly consistent in a dry Sunday with increasing southerly
winds as warm front begins to push northward. Will note that
there are some indications that a brief period of freezing rain
may be possible as this surface warm front lift northward Sunday
night. If this were to occur it would be fairly brief, a 1-2 hr
window, as snow transitions over to rain and confined mainly
across the hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom.
Will continue to monitor this potential over the next several
forecast cycles. At the moment, only have mention of rain/snow
in the forecast for the time period of concern late Sunday. Any
potential for frozen precipitation will be through by Monday
morning as surface boundary moves north of the international
border. Still some variability in the timing of the actual
passage of the cold front Monday, however best chances for
widespread precipitation with this feature will be late Monday
morning into the afternoon hours. A brief dry period will be
possible between warm front and cold front passages Monday
morning. Precipitation will initially begin as rain for most
locales and then transition to snow on the backside as colder
air begins to work in. Generally looking at 0.25" of
precipitation with a dusting to a couple inches of snow
possible, highest across the high terrain. Cooler and drier
conditions are expected on Tuesday as high pressure briefly
builds in.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12Z Thursday...A mix of VFR/MVFR cigs through 15Z, then
VFR thereafter. Most prevalent MVFR cigs at KSLK/KMPV,
elsewhere mainly VFR. Cigs generally ranging in the 025-045 AGL
range at 12Z, scattering out to between 035-060 AGL after 15Z,
then SKC by 00Z. Scattered very light shsn/flurries still
possible through 15Z, but have only carried at KBTV and KMPV for
now where highest confidence exists. Winds northwest 7-14 kts
and gusty to 20 kts or so through 18Z time frame, abating to
light/calm by 00Z Thursday as high pressure builds into the
region.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...LaRocca
LONG TERM...LaRocca
AVIATION...JMG
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