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April 2014, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Tue, 1 Apr 2014 06:50:01 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (177 lines)
Expires:201404012000;;996652
FPUS51 KBTV 010759
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
358 AM EDT TUE APR 1 2014

VTZ006-012000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
358 AM EDT TUE APR 1 2014
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS AROUND 40. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
$$

Expires:201404011100;;003112
ASUS41 KBTV 011030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE APR 01 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-011100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     27  20  75 N6        30.16S                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     23  18  81 NW3       30.14F                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     23  17  78 CALM      30.16S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     26  18  71 MISG      30.11S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      25  17  71 N3        30.12S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      28  26  91 NW6       30.12F                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     27  23  86 N8        30.10F                  
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     31  21  66 VRB7      30.09F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      28  18  65 N3        30.18F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      23  13  66 N6        30.15S                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     28  23  81 NW6       30.07F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     28  21  74 N1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  23  74 N10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  19  59 N16         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;998152
FXUS61 KBTV 010834
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
434 AM EDT TUE APR 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME
CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED
PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE TONIGHT. ANOTHER RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL
REMAIN OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR MOST OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THE
NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL BE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 433 AM EDT TUESDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST
OVER THE REGION TODAY WITH MAINLY SUNNY SKIES...WITH JUST SOME
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES TODAY.
UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
INTO THE 40S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 433 AM EDT TUESDAY...EXPECTING SKIES TO BECOME PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AS AN UPPER SHORTWAVE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES SWINGS NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC LATE TONIGHT. HAVE GONE WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK FOR A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND
RAIN SHOWERS AS THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY LATE TONIGHT. EXPECTING MAINLY CLOUD COVER ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES UP TONIGHT. HAVE GONE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN GFS MOS
GUIDANCE FOR MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.
ANOTHER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST FROM THE GREAT
LAKES ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
EXPECTING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM EDT TUESDAY...A FAIRLY ACTIVE BUT PROGRESSIVE PATTERN
ANTICIPATED ACRS THE CONUS WITH SEVERAL SYSTEMS EXPECTED TO IMPACT
OUR CWA. FIRST SYSTEM WL ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WITH
MAIN SFC LOW PRES TRACKING TO OUR WEST. THIS WL RESULT IN
OVERRUNNING MIXED PRECIP FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A TRANSITION TO RAIN
SHOWERS BY SATURDAY. THINKING WITH WEAK SFC WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG
TRIPLE POINT BY 12Z SAT...LLVL WARM AIR WL HAVE DIFFICULTIES
MAKING IT INTO OUR CWA...EVEN WITH PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 4 AND
6C. WL MENTION LIKELY TO CAT POPS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...WITH EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF FEATURE AMONG THE
MODELS. OVERALL QPF WL RANGE BTWN 0.10 AND 0.30"...WITH HIGHEST
VALUES OVER THE MTNS...SNOWFALL A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY MTNS/NEK. TEMPS WARM INTO THE MID 40S
WESTERN DACKS...BUT STRUGGLE IN THE U30S TO L40S ELSEWHERE...WITH
CLOUDS/PRECIP RESULTING IN LIMITED MIXING. BY SUNDAY...CLOSED
MID/UPPER LVL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ACRS EASTERN CANADA WHILE
WEAK EMBEDDED 5H VORTS AND LEFTOVER RIBBONS OF ENHANCED 850 TO
500MB RH IMPACT OUR CWA. THIS WL RESULT IN MAINLY MTN SNOW AND
VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS WITH SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL EXPECTED
SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. PROGGED 85H TEMPS DROP BTWN -4C AND
-8C BY 12Z SUNDAY...SUPPORTING HIGHS BACK INTO THE U20S TO M30S
MTNS TO M40S VALLEYS WITH MAYBE A 50F IN THE LWR CT RIVER VALLEY
WITH DOWNSLOPE WARMING ON WESTERLY WINDS. SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS
INTO OUR REGION BY MONDAY WITH CLRING SKIES AND NORMAL TEMPS.
GIVEN DEEP DRY LAYER IN PLACE ANTICIPATE LARGE SWINGS IN TEMPS
BTWN LOWS AND HIGHS ON MONDAY. NEXT LARGE SCALE SYSTEM WITH
PLENTY OF DEEP GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACRS
THE SE CONUS ON MONDAY AND MOVE TWD OUR REGION BY TUESDAY. THIS
WELL DEFINED CLOSED 5H/7H CIRCULATION ALONG WITH SFC LOW PRES
MOVING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
A WIDESPREAD MODERATE PRECIP EVENT ACRS OUR CWA. AS WITH THE
SYSTEM OVER THIS PAST WEEKEND...THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST A MIX OF
RAIN/SNOW WL BE POSSIBLE. WL MENTION TEMPS IN THE 30S MTNS TO 40S
VALLEYS ON TUES WITH INCREASING CHCS FOR PRECIP.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...SFC HIGH PRES BUILDING ACRS OUR TAF SITES
THIS MORNING WITH RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS. EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS
AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS TODAY WITH A SLOW SHIFT TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST
THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRES MOVES INTO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. NEXT
SYSTEM WL INCREASE MID/UPPER LVL CLOUDS FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR
TAF SITES THIS AFTN/EVENING.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
WEAK WARM FRNT FEATURE WL INCREASE THE CHCS FOR PRECIP ACRS
NORTHERN NEW YORK BY 06Z WEDS...WITH MVFR CIGS/VIS POSSIBLE AT
SLK/MPV. LIMITED IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED ACRS THE CPV/VT TAF SITES
WITH BEST MOISTURE/LIFT NORTH OF OUR REGION BY 18Z WEDS. SOUTH
WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY. NEXT SYSTEM
ARRIVES LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS AND MVFR/IFR
CIGS/VIS IN A WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER

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