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September 2016, Week 1

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Subject:
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 4 Sep 2016 06:50:03 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (188 lines)
Expires:201609042000;;916665
FPUS51 KBTV 040745
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016


VTZ006-042000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
343 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.LABOR DAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 

$$


Expires:201609041100;;923501
ASUS41 KBTV 041030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 04 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-041100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    55  51  86 CALM      30.27R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       50  49  96 CALM      30.33R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       47  46  97 CALM      30.31R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     50  49  96 MISG      30.29R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       47  47  98 CALM      30.32R VSB 1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FOG       51  51 100 CALM      30.28R VSB 3/4          
RUTLAND*       PTCLDY    51  50  96 SE6       30.28R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    48  46  93 CALM      30.30R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      51  51  98 CALM      30.28R                  
NEWPORT*       FOG       45  45  99 SW5       30.30R VSB 3/4          
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     48  46  93 CALM      30.27R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A W7          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  57  88 SE7         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  57  88 N1          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  55  94 SE6         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;918878
FXUS61 KBTV 040830
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
430 AM EDT Sun Sep 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong high pressure across the Great Lakes and northern New
England continues to dominate the North Country's weather through
the middle of next week. Clear skies and seasonal to slightly
above normal temperatures are in store for the next several days,
with any effects from post-tropical cyclone Hermine remaining
well south of the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...As from the previous discussion, there's
little to talk about in the near term. Dome of high pressure at
the surface and aloft is entrenched over the CWA, and with that
Sunday will feel much like Saturday with high temps slightly
warmer as mean 925-850mb temps warm a couple degrees to perhaps
three Celsius. Lows won't be quite as cold as this morning, but
will still run on the cool side of normal, generally in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Clear skies and light winds have once again led to
the development of radiational fog in the favored valley
locations. The fog will burn off by mid-morning with mostly sunny
skies expected though slightly filtered through an increasing
thin cirrus deck associated with tropical storm Hermine to our
south. Highs bump up a couple degrees to above normal in the mid
70s to about 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Sunday...The ridge of high pressure at the
surface and aloft will remain over the region through the period
with fair and dry weather expected. Models showing some cloud
cover from the remnants of Hermine moving into south central
Vermont by Monday night and Tuesday, so have gone with partly
cloudy skies there. Highs will be mainly in the upper 70s to lower
80s Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Sunday...Fair and dry weather to continue over
the north country Tuesday night and Wednesday as the ridge of high
pressure at the surface and aloft remains over the region. ECMWF
and GFS models suggesting some rain showers will move into the
Saint Lawrence valley in northern New York Wednesday night, so
have followed superblend pops here.

A more active weather pattern will take place over the north
country from Thursday onward. On Thursday, models show westerlies
moving in from the Great Lakes that will break down the upper
ridge which has been sitting over the region the past several
days, so expecting some scattered rain showers to develop across
the region on Thursday. A cold front moving east from the Great
Lakes will bring more showers to the region Thursday night and
Friday, so have followed superblend pops. Another cold front will
approach the region late Saturday and Saturday night with a chance
for more showers.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 06Z Monday...VFR conditions are largely expected through
the period under strong high pressure with IFR to VLIFR fog once
again at KSLK/KMPV from 08-14z later this morning. KMSS is seeing
MVFR conditions and may seeing short periods of IFR just like last
night as well before sunrise. Clear skies overnight trend to
partly sunny under a high cirrus deck tomorrow. Winds light
and varible through the period.

Outlook 06Z Monday through Thursday...

Strong high pressure over the region will keep conditions mainly VFR
through the period with IFR/LIFR likely in BR/FG at KSLK/KMPV
05-13Z each morning. Only exception will be across southern
terminals Monday night into Tuesday morning where some low/mid
clouds could briefly intrude with the passage of tropical cyclone
Hermine. Flight categories should largely remain VFR though.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...MV
NEAR TERM...MV
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...MV

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