Expires:202109302000;;405027
FPUS51 KBTV 300804
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
400 AM EDT Thu Sep 30 2021
VTZ018-302000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
400 AM EDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Scattered showers. Highs around 50. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of rain 50 percent.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers until
midnight. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s.
North winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.FRIDAY...Patchy dense fog in the morning. Partly sunny. Highs in
the mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 60.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60.
$$
Expires:202109301100;;411259
ASUS41 KBTV 301030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU SEP 30 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-301100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 50 48 93 N3 30.07R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 47 44 90 CALM 30.08R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 47 46 97 CALM 30.06R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 46 45 96 MISG 30.02S
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 45 43 94 CALM 30.05S FOG
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 46 46 99 CALM 30.08R
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 46 46 100 CALM 30.08R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 46 45 96 CALM 30.05R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 48 47 96 N6 30.09R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 46 44 91 N5 30.06S
BENNINGTON LGT RAIN 48 47 96 CALM 30.06R FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 45 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 43 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 46 N/A N/A E1 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 39 N/A N/A NW26 N/A WCI 28
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 52 46 82 MISG N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 52 46 82 NE18 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 52 45 76 NW15 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;404988
FXUS61 KBTV 300803
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
403 AM EDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Additional rain showers will redevelop today and taper off
during the overnight hours. Temperatures will be about ten
degrees below seasonal normals today but will warm back above
normal through the weekend. Drier conditions are expected on
Friday, but more chances for showers return on Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...Upper level low pressure system
centered over Maine will rotate moisture into our forecast area
today, especially across Vermont, leading to continuing
scattered showers today. Early this morning we have had areas of
rain showers influenced by warm waters of Lake Champlain with
cold air advection on northerly flow, blossoming over Chittenden
County and then drifting southward. We have had pretty
persistent rain showers in Chittenden and Addison counties.
Today will be cloudy with northerly flow continuing,
temperatures will be about ten degrees below seasonal normals,
generally maxing out in the upper 40s to mid 50s. As we head
into the evening hours, a ridge of surface high pressure will
move into our region from the northwest. Rain showers will
finally come to an end. Upper level low will slowly move north
and east. This will keep northwesterly flow in place across our
region, but drier air will remain for tonight and Friday with
ridge of surface high pressure in place. Will have some breaks
in the clouds tonight, and with abundant surface moisture in
place and winds slackening at night, could see some patchy fog
develop especially in typical fog prone spots and across Vermont
where showers have lingered. Friday will be pretty cloudy with
continued northwesterly flow due to some mid level moisture in
place. Temperatures on Friday will be warmer than today, but
still cooler than seasonal normals, generally ranging from the
mid 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...Upper low continues to slowly
migrate NE but still under the influence of NW flow with a weak
shortwave, surface trof and some moisture pooling along the
boundary with a decent thermal gradient along the backside of
the upper low, thus still need to keep a chance for some
showers, esp northern areas as the day progresses Saturday but
may stay dry until then.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...Despite being in some shortwave
ridging between the departing upper low and the next approaching
digging shortwave on Sunday, there is the above mentioned
boundary lingering with some residual moisture for a chance of
showers.
As the upper Midwest low deepens and moves south, increased
backing flow will bring moisture from the lower MS River Valley
and Gulf coast into that boundary along with a developing wave
for the wettest day of this period. Blocking pattern becomes
more amplified Tue/Wed with Midwest system dropping into the
lower MS River Valley and Western CONUS Upper ridge attempting
to build north of the closed low. Each day should be slightly
drier, leaning DRY for Wed, as the upper ridge builds and the
closed low stays well south but we still have that nagging
boundary.
Details and timing are low confidence as with any blocking
pattern with the overall theme of not much change until we can
get a change in the pattern which seems to be dominance of the
upper ridge Wed/Thu time frame. At the same time...milder
temperatures returning.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...SLK and RUT are currently IFR with low
ceilings in place and will remain that way until later today,
EFK is MVFR. Other terminals are just above MVFR, and ceilings
will likely lower to MVFR in the next couple of hours. These
MVFR conditions likely to linger through 18Z-21Z, and brief dips
towards 900 ft agl will be possible at EFK and SLK between
roughly 08Z and 15Z. Some lingering lake effect showers off Lake
Champlain continue in the immediate Champlain valley, but
unlikely to impact any TAF terminals. After 21Z, ceilings should
rise towards 3500-5000 ft agl. Winds mainly north to northwest
3 to 8 knots through the period.
Outlook...
Friday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Friday Night: VFR. Isolated SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Monday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...Neiles
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