Expires:202301021800;;953771
FPUS51 KBTV 021102
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
558 AM EST Mon Jan 2 2023
VTZ018-021800-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
558 AM EST Mon Jan 2 2023
.TODAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
around 10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. Light and variable winds,
becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain
near 100 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain showers. Light snow accumulation.
Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs around
30.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 30.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. Highs
in the upper 20s.
$$
Expires:202301021200;;955262
ASUS41 KBTV 021130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON JAN 02 2023
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-021200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 36 31 82 CALM 30.00F
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 33 27 78 CALM 30.02S
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 32 29 88 CALM 30.00S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 32 29 88 MISG 29.98F
LYNDONVILLE* N/A 32 29 90 SE5 29.99F WCI 27
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 36 33 90 CALM 30.01S
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 37 34 87 W3 30.02R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 31 29 92 CALM 30.02R
HIGHGATE* N/A 35 34 96 CALM 30.01S
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 33 30 90 CALM 29.99S
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 38 30 73 S5 30.05R
ISLAND POND* N/A 30 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 30 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 30 N/A N/A CALM N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 27 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 36 34 93 E2 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 39 32 75 S9 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 36 32 87 S5 N/A WCI 32
$$
Expires:No;;955704
FXUS61 KBTV 021143
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
643 AM EST Mon Jan 2 2023
.SYNOPSIS...
A weak disturbance will bring light rain and mountain snow to mainly
northern areas today, with minimal snow accumulations expected. A
low pressure system will bring widespread precipitation to the area
on Tuesday, beginning as a brief period of freezing rain on Tuesday
morning before changing over to rain. A cold front will bring
additional precipitation chances on Wednesday, along with cooling
temperatures for mid to late week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 624 AM EST Monday...No significant changes were needed
with this morning update. Still seeing light precipitation on
radar across mainly northern areas. Surface obs and webcams
indicate this is mainly falling as either light rain or snow, so
have removed the drizzle/freezing drizzle wording from this
morning's forecast. Also adjusted temperatures for today as some
locations stayed warmer than anticipated overnight and were
close to forecasted highs. Otherwise the forecast is in good
shape and no other changes were needed.
Previous discussion...Already seeing some light precipitation
spreading over northern NY and into VT early this morning. This is
associated with a weak upper elongated upper vort moving overhead.
Moisture is pretty scanty and mostly confined to lower levels, so
expect precipitation will be light in nature, and perhaps even just
some drizzle or freezing drizzle, especially this morning.
Temperatures will be slow to warm today, and many locations outside
of the wider valleys will remain in the mid 30s at best; therefore
some of the precipitation will likely fall as snow. As mentioned
though, it will be light with little to no accumulation away from
the mountain summits. Highest chances for any sort of precipitation
will remain confined to the northern Adirondacks eastward into
northern Vermont; the bulk of our area will be dry under mostly
cloudy skies. Ridging briefly builds over the Northeast CONUS
tonight into early Tuesday, keeping conditions dry. Many areas will
see breaks in the clouds this evening, but clouds will increase
overnight ahead of our next system. After daytime highs in the mid
30s to lower 40s, tonight's lows will mainly be in the mid and upper
20s, with the cloud cover helping to limit cooling.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 329 AM EST Monday...Fairly big changes have been made to the
mid week forecast, particularly in temperatures. Overall the setup
remains the same; ridging will begin to shift east of our area on
Tuesday while an upper low cuts off over the Upper Midwest. A warm
front will stretch eastward from the Midwest surface low, gradually
lifting into the northeast CONUS. However, the southwest jet
associated with this front is looking weaker, and the front will
have a harder time making it north toward the international border,
especially in the face of stronger ridging. Warm air advection
precipitation will spread northward into our region Tuesday, though
with the weaker jet, it's arrival has been slowed by a few hours and
the bulk of the rain should hold off until afternoon. Still, with
temperatures likely hovering near or just below freezing in the
usual sheltered spots, especially east of the Greens, expect there
could be some freezing rain at the onset Tuesday morning. Any ice
accumulation would be light, a glaze to a few hundredths at worst,
but this could enough to make for slick travel conditions for the
Tuesday morning commute, especially on untreated roads. Rain will
become widespread Tuesday afternoon into the evening hours as a wave
of low pressure traverses along the front, which looks to stall
somewhere near the international border. The rain will taper to
showers overnight Tuesday night once the low exits to our east.
Given the abundant cloud cover and the fact that the warm front is
not expected to move as far north as previously indicated, Tuesday's
highs will be cooler than previously advertised, generally in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. Temperatures will hold steady or even rise
overnight Tuesday night (especially in south central VT), but once
the low pushes by, the warm front begins to start shifting back
south as a cold front. Exact timing and placement of the front's
return back south on Wednesday is still a bit uncertain, but
northern areas at the least will likely struggle to reach 40F.
Further south, where the front will move through later in the day,
they may break into the lower 50s. After a brief break in the rain
late Tuesday night/early Wednesday, another weak wave of low
pressure will bring another round of rain to the area Wednesday
afternoon, mixing with/changing to snow from north to south as
colder temperatures follow the front southward. Daytime accumulation
will be less than an inch and mostly confined to the higher terrain
just south of the international border.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 329 AM EST Monday...Models are starting to come into better
agreement on the Upper Low over the midwest that is supporting the
cold front moving over our region Wednesday night and into Thursday.
With the deepening low, the system is a bit slower and keeps the
cold front a bit further to our south, with the occluded front
moving slowing over the region instead. This tempers the very cold
air we were originally going to see and instead brings overnight
lows in the high teens to mid 20s, while bringing seasonable highs
in the lower 30s for Thursday. The front also brings with it
increased moisture as precipitation will stretch into Thursday, with
a dusting to a couple inches across the region.
With the slower moving nature the Upper Low, things now look a bit
more unsettled for the rest of the Thursday and Friday with chances
of snow into Friday evening. While things look quiet for the
weekend, some snow showers in the higher elevations are not out of
the question. Temperatures should be around seasonal normals with
highs in the 30s and lows in the teen to low 20s for the remainder
of the week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 12Z Tuesday...Currently a mix of IFR and MVFR across
the region. Outside of SLK and MSS, all other stations will
slowly trend to VFR by 21z. While SLK and MSS will bounce
between IFR and MVFR for the entire TAF period. Winds will be
southwesterly at 10 knots or less, with the exception being MSS
and SLK which will see afternoon gusts up to 15kts.
Outlook...
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Definite RA,
Slight chance FZRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly IFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA,
Definite RA.
Wednesday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely
SHSN, Definite SHRA.
Thursday: MVFR. Chance SN.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHSN.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NOAA Weather Radio WXM-44 atop Mount Ascutney is currently off
the air due to a suspected problem with the RF transmission
cable/jumper at the antenna. A site visit will be necessary to
isolate the issue and, unfortunately, a return to service is
unknown at this time.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Hastings
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Verasamy
EQUIPMENT...BTV
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.
To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html
|
