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| Date: | Tue, 14 Mar 2006 13:48:15 -0500 |
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Scott - maybe you have discussed this before, but, what exactly is an upslope event? I have a general idea but I'm sure it can do with some more explanation.
Thx,
PS
-----Original Message-----
From: Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports
[mailto:[log in to unmask]]On Behalf Of Scott Braaten
Sent: Tuesday, March 14, 2006 1:18 PM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: [SKIVT-L] Upslope Snow Event Accumulations
To keep those of you who care, informed...
Will have a full discussion out later but here's my overall thinking:
This event will be a moderate to borderline significant snowfall for VT
ski resorts from MRG/SB region northward...and a significant snowfall for
Whiteface in the Adirondacks based on my own terms of significant being 8"
or greater.
Snow showers over the Adirondacks and Green Mountains increase in coverage
tonight with minimal accumulation by Wednesday morning in the Greens with
up to 3" in parts of the 'Dacks.
Snow continues in the 'Dacks on Wednesday with an additional 4-8" across
northern and western Adirondacks before tapering off on Wednesday night.
Total accumulations in the higher terrain of the north and western facing
slopes will be in the 6-12" range.
In the Green Mountains, snow continues on Wednesday with the heaviest snow
falling later Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. Total accumulations will
be 6-12" at Jay Peak with 5-10" at Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton and 4-8" down in
the SB/MRG region. From Killington on southward, locally up to 4" may
accumulate with most areas seeing a dusting to 2".
This will be a significantly more localized event than the last one.
Total precipitation amounts are going to be slightly less but the big
difference will be the ratios will be less. Not often do you see 30 or 40
to 1 snow ratios and I expect this to start out at 10:1 and go to 15:1 due
to warmer airmass in place and mid-March insolation during the day on
Wednesday. Thus, accumulations will be kept down. As always with upslope
events, all I can do is give a rough estimate and see what happens
(nowcast later tonight and tomorrow). My overall mindset with this event
has been conservative as I think the wind direction is not as favorable as
it could be for Vermont. It is certainly more favorable for the northern
Adirondacks, possibly allowing Whiteface to pick up a foot or more.
More technical discussion and thoughts later this evening but
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