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March 2006, Week 2

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Subject:
Re: Upslope Snow Event Accumulations
From:
Peter Salts <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Tue, 14 Mar 2006 13:48:15 -0500
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (64 lines)
Scott - maybe you have discussed this before, but, what exactly is an upslope event?  I have a general idea but I'm sure it can do with some more explanation.

Thx,

PS

-----Original Message-----
From: Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports
[mailto:[log in to unmask]]On Behalf Of Scott Braaten
Sent: Tuesday, March 14, 2006 1:18 PM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: [SKIVT-L] Upslope Snow Event Accumulations


To keep those of you who care, informed...

Will have a full discussion out later but here's my overall thinking:

This event will be a moderate to borderline significant snowfall for VT 
ski resorts from MRG/SB region northward...and a significant snowfall for 
Whiteface in the Adirondacks based on my own terms of significant being 8" 
or greater.  

Snow showers over the Adirondacks and Green Mountains increase in coverage 
tonight with minimal accumulation by Wednesday morning in the Greens with 
up to 3" in parts of the 'Dacks.

Snow continues in the 'Dacks on Wednesday with an additional 4-8" across 
northern and western Adirondacks before tapering off on Wednesday night.  
Total accumulations in the higher terrain of the north and western facing 
slopes will be in the 6-12" range.  

In the Green Mountains, snow continues on Wednesday with the heaviest snow 
falling later Wednesday afternoon into Thursday.  Total accumulations will 
be 6-12" at Jay Peak with 5-10" at Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton and 4-8" down in 
the SB/MRG region.  From Killington on southward, locally up to 4" may 
accumulate with most areas seeing a dusting to 2".

This will be a significantly more localized event than the last one.  
Total precipitation amounts are going to be slightly less but the big 
difference will be the ratios will be less.  Not often do you see 30 or 40 
to 1 snow ratios and I expect this to start out at 10:1 and go to 15:1 due 
to warmer airmass in place and mid-March insolation during the day on 
Wednesday.  Thus, accumulations will be kept down.  As always with upslope 
events, all I can do is give a rough estimate and see what happens 
(nowcast later tonight and tomorrow).  My overall mindset with this event 
has been conservative as I think the wind direction is not as favorable as 
it could be for Vermont.  It is certainly more favorable for the northern 
Adirondacks, possibly allowing Whiteface to pick up a foot or more.

More technical discussion and thoughts later this evening but 

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